Belenenses vs Covilhã: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Portuguese Liga 3 Belenenses - Covilhã
Result
3:0
11/10/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Liga 3 - Round 5
Belenenses - Covilhã - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Ball Possession
56%44%
Total shots
166
Shots on target
72
Corner Kicks
54
Yellow Cards
11
Total shots
166
Shots on target
72
Shots off target
94
Corner Kicks
54

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 23', 1 - 0, Silva M. (Own goal),
  • 31', 2 - 0, Paulo D. , Sambu M. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Jailson , Coelho R. ,
  • 46', Garcia F. , Mica ,
  • 52', Coelho R. 🟨,
  • 54', Cesinha 🟨,
  • 66', Afonso A. , Valente A. ,
  • 66', Horta Leitao D. , David Rebelo ,
  • 71', 3 - 0, David Rebelo , Valente A. (A),
  • 73', Souza E. , Paredes J. ,
  • 73', Cruz F. , Peixoto R. ,
  • 80', Paulo D. , Cuca ,
  • 80', Morgado T. , Eduardo W. ,

Chances of winning


Belenenses
60.1%
Draw
24.7%
Covilhã
15.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
59.9% 24.3% 15.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.8% 26.3% 14.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Belenenses has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)
  • Covilhã has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Belenenses than the current prediction. (+4.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Covilhã than the current prediction. (-0.6%)
  • Belenenses - Covilhã Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.34
    (1.54)
    3.25
    (3.8)
    5.3
    (5.85)
    24.2%
    (8.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Belenenses - Covilhã?
  • Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Belenenses will win (votes: 7 - 100%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Belenenses will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Recent performances by Belenenses have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Covilhã is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • In this match, Belenenses is the undisputed favorite.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Belenenses won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:4. (average 2:2).
    • Including home match between the teams, Belenenses won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Belenenses - Covilhã were as follows:
    13.12.2024 Belenenses - Covilhã 2:2
    01.09.2024 Covilhã - Belenenses 2:2
    Latest results of Belenenses
    04.10.2025 Belenenses - Caldas 0:2
    28.09.2025 Amora - Belenenses 0:2
    20.09.2025 Belenenses - Marítimo 2:0
    30.08.2025 Belenenses - Amora 1:0
    Latest results of Covilhã
    28.09.2025 Covilhã - Lusitano GC 1:1
    20.09.2025 Ovarense - Covilhã 2:3
    14.09.2025 Covilhã - Mafra 0:0
    Portuguese Liga 3 Table
    2025/26

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Trofense742112:5714
    2Braga B73317:6112
    3Sanjoanense725010:7311
    4Varzim723210:739
    5AD Fafe72328:9-19
    6Paredes71518:718
    7AD Marco 0971513:4-18
    8Vitoria Guimaraes B71427:707
    9Amarante71245:10-55
    10Sao Joao Ver70434:12-84


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Caldas74219:6314
    2Os Belenenses74129:7213
    3Mafra73319:7212
    4Academica740310:5512
    5Atletico CP73048:629
    61u00ba Dezembro72326:10-49
    7Santarem72234:7-38
    8Lusitano GC72148:807
    9Amora72145:8-37
    10Covilha71334:8-46

          Promotion ~ Liga 3 (Promotion Group: )
          Liga 3 (Relegation Group: )

    Which TV channels are streaming of Belenenses - Covilhã?
    It is being streamed on channel
    portugalPortugalCanal 11
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