Covadonga vs Praviano: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 2 Covadonga - Praviano
Result
2:1
11/10/2025 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Tercera RFEF - Group 2 - Round 6
Covadonga - Praviano - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Red Cards
10

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 29', 1 - 0, Tineo Pablo ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 56', 🟥,
  • 72', 2 - 0, ,
  • 82', 2 - 1, ,

Chances of winning


Covadonga
73.3%
Draw
17.3%
Praviano
9.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
60% 24.2% 15.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.4% 24% 15.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Covadonga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Covadonga's performance.
  • Praviano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Praviano might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Covadonga than the current prediction. (-12.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Covadonga that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Praviano than the current prediction. (+6.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Praviano could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Covadonga - Praviano Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.35
    (1.51)
    5.72
    (3.75)
    10.47
    (5.73)
    1.2%
    (10.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Preview Facts
    • One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion and 8).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Covadonga won 3.
    • Covadonga is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Praviano's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Recently, Covadonga has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, Covadonga is the undeniable favorite.
    • In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Covadonga won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 11:4. (average 1.6:0.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Covadonga won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:2. (average 1.8:0.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Covadonga - Praviano were as follows:
    16.02.2025 Covadonga - Praviano 1:0
    12.03.2023 Praviano - Covadonga 2:2
    06.11.2022 Covadonga - Praviano 2:0
    Latest results of Covadonga
    05.10.2025 Lenense - Covadonga 1:4
    28.09.2025 Covadonga - San Martín 3:1
    21.09.2025 Tuilla - Covadonga 1:1
    10.09.2025 Estradense - Covadonga 2:1
    Latest results of Praviano
    05.10.2025 Praviano - Avilés Stadium 4:0
    28.09.2025 Llanera - Praviano 1:0
    21.09.2025 Praviano - Real Titánico 2:2
    13.09.2025 Llanes - Praviano 1:1
    Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Covadonga642015:51014
    2Llanera642013:4914
    3Caudal Deportivo642011:6514
    4L'Entregu632110:6411
    5Mosconia632110:6411
    6CD Colunga63128:6210
    7EI San Martin63128:9-110
    8Aviles Stadium72235:13-88
    9Gijon B61418:807
    10Union Club Ceares61415:507
    11Real Titanico61418:10-27
    12Praviano61329:726
    13Lenense61328:11-36
    14SD Navarro CF71338:11-36
    15Club Siero61239:11-25
    16Llanes61235:8-35
    17Gijon Industrial60245:10-52
    18Tuilla60155:14-91

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