Result
1:0
05/04/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- : Serie B - Round 1
- Referee: Bellote L. (Bra)
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Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.47 | 0.16 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 70% | 30% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 0 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (450/529) | 68% (160/236) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.47 | 0.16 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.15 | 0.00 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 3 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 0 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 29 | 6 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 21 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (450/529) | 68% (160/236) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 41% (22/54) | 27% (13/48) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 65% (82/126) | 53% (25/47) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 16% (5/31) | 50% (2/4) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.88 | 0.21 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 21 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 82% (9/11) | 57% (12/21) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 58 | 56 |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 8 | 43 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 14 | 4 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.00 | 1.15 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.00 | 0.15 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 10', Alex Silva 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 59', Filipe Machado ↓, Geovane ↑,
- 61', Nicolas Careca ↓, de Pena C. ↑,
- 63', Gabriel Silva ↓, Ruan Ribeiro ↑,
- 65', Ruan Ribeiro 🟨,
- 69', Gustavo Coutinho ↓, Dellatorre ↑,
- 73', Jean Mota ↓, Diego Torres ↑,
- 74', Junior Todinho ↓, Gabriel Poveda ↑,
- 77', Walisson Maia 🟨,
- 79', Gomez S. ↓, Wallisson ↑,
- 80', Lucas Ronier ↓, Ruan Assis ↑,
- 84', Paulinho ↓, Ralf ↑,
- 84', Igor Henrique ↓, Labandeira F. ↑,
- 86', Josue 🟨,
- 90+3', Ruan Ribeiro 🟨,
- 90+7', 1 - 0, Josue (Pen),
Chances of winning
Coritiba
54.5% | Draw
26.1% | Vila Nova
19.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Coritiba has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)Vila Nova has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Coritiba than the current prediction. (+3.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vila Nova than the current prediction. (+0.2%)
Coritiba - Vila Nova Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.72 ↓
(1.73) |
3.55 ↓
(3.6) |
4.83 ↑
(4.33) |
7.1%
(8.8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Coritiba - Vila Nova?
Users Predictions:
Coritiba will win
(4 of 5 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 44.94% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Coritiba won 3.
- Recent matches Coritiba is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Vila Nova is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- Vila Nova could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- In this match Coritiba is a favorite.
- There will not play in Vila Nova: Guilherme Parede
(Knee Injury)
Marcondes
(Injury)
- Last 8 head-to-head matches Coritiba won 5 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 13:5 (average 1.6:0.6).
- Including matches at home between the teams Coritiba won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6:1 (average 1.5:0.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Coritiba won against Vila Nova?
Coritiba has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Vila Nova won against Coritiba?
Vila Nova has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Coritiba - Vila Nova were as follows:
19.10.2024
Vila Nova
-
Coritiba
0:3
29.06.2024
Coritiba
-
Vila Nova
1:1
Latest results of Coritiba
Latest results of Vila Nova
Brazilian Serie B Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Coritiba | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 15:6 | 9 | 30 |
| 2 | Goias | 14 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 18:11 | 7 | 29 |
| 3 | Novorizontino | 14 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 18:10 | 8 | 26 |
| 4 | Avai | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 19:13 | 6 | 24 |
| 5 | Remo | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 17:13 | 4 | 24 |
| 6 | Athletico-PR | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 19:19 | 0 | 23 |
| 7 | Cuiaba | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 15:16 | -1 | 22 |
| 8 | CRB | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 15:14 | 1 | 21 |
| 9 | Atletico GO | 15 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 16:14 | 2 | 21 |
| 10 | America MG | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 16:16 | 0 | 20 |
| 11 | Chapecoense-SC | 14 | 6 | 1 | 7 | 17:14 | 3 | 19 |
| 12 | Vila Nova FC | 14 | 6 | 1 | 7 | 11:14 | -3 | 19 |
| 13 | Ferroviaria | 14 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 14:14 | 0 | 18 |
| 14 | Operario-PR | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 16:17 | -1 | 17 |
| 15 | Criciuma | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 16:15 | 1 | 16 |
| 16 | Botafogo SP | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 12:17 | -5 | 16 |
| 17 | Paysandu PA | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 9:15 | -6 | 14 |
| 18 | Volta Redonda | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 7:14 | -7 | 14 |
| 19 | Amazonas | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 12:20 | -8 | 14 |
| 20 | Athletic Club | 14 | 4 | 0 | 10 | 13:23 | -10 | 12 |
Promotion ~ Serie A Betano
Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )
Which TV channels are streaming of Coritiba - Vila Nova?
It is being streamed on various channels, including:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Amazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Premiere, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
