Vasco da Gama vs Corinthians: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Brazilian Serie A Vasco da Gama - Corinthians
24/08/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Vasco da Gama - Corinthians - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Chances of winning


Vasco da Gama
44.6%
Draw
29.5%
Corinthians
25.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
37.4% 30% 32.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.3% 30.8% 31.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Vasco da Gama has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Vasco da Gama's performance.
  • Corinthians has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Corinthians might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vasco da Gama than the current prediction. (-6.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Vasco da Gama that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Corinthians than the current prediction. (+5.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Corinthians could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Vasco da Gama - Corinthians Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.15
    (2.51)
    3.23
    (3.13)
    3.66
    (2.88)
    4.7%
    (6.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for Vasco da Gama - Corinthians?
  • Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Vasco will win (votes: 7 - 58.3%). Corinthians will win (votes: 1 - 8.3%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 33.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Vasco: 30.4%86.2%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Vasco da Gama will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 16 and 14)
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Vasco won 1.
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Vasco may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Vasco won 1 match, drew 6 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 14:38. (average 0.7:1.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Vasco won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 12:22. (average 1.2:2.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Vasco da Gama - Corinthians were as follows:
    05.04.2025 Corinthians - Vasco da Gama 3:0
    24.11.2024 Corinthians - Vasco da Gama 3:1
    10.07.2024 Vasco da Gama - Corinthians 2:0
    28.11.2023 Vasco da Gama - Corinthians 2:4
    29.07.2023 Corinthians - Vasco da Gama 3:1
    Latest results of Vasco da Gama
    Latest results of Corinthians
    16.08.2025 Corinthians - Bahia 1:2
    11.08.2025 Juventude - Corinthians 2:1
    06.08.2025 Palmeiras - Corinthians 0:2
    03.08.2025 Corinthians - Fortaleza 1:1
    30.07.2025 Corinthians - Palmeiras 1:0
    Brazilian Serie A Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Flamengo RJ19134236:92743
    2Palmeiras18123324:15939
    3Cruzeiro20115432:141838
    4Bahia1896325:17833
    5Bragantino2193926:28-230
    6Botafogo RJ1885523:111229
    7Mirassol1878329:191029
    8Sao Paulo2078524:22229
    9Fluminense1983825:28-327
    10Ceara1974819:19025
    11Atletico-MG1866620:21-124
    12Internacional1966722:26-424
    13Gremio1965819:25-623
    14Corinthians2057819:25-622
    15Santos19631020:29-921
    16Vasco19541025:26-119
    17Vitoria20310718:24-619
    18Juventude19531117:38-2118
    19Fortaleza19361019:31-1215
    20Sport Recife18171012:27-1510

          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
          Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet

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