Result
24/08/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
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Chances of winning
Vasco da Gama 44.6% | Draw 29.5% | Corinthians 25.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Vasco da Gama has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Vasco da Gama's performance.Corinthians has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Corinthians might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vasco da Gama than the current prediction. (-6.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Vasco da Gama that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Corinthians than the current prediction. (+5.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Corinthians could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Vasco da Gama - Corinthians Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.15 ↓ (2.51) |
3.23 ↑ (3.13) |
3.66 ↑ (2.88) |
4.7% (6.6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Vasco da Gama - Corinthians?
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Vasco will win (votes: 7 - 58.3%). Corinthians will win (votes: 1 - 8.3%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Vasco: 30.4% – 86.2%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Vasco da Gama will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 16 and 14)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Vasco won 1.
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- Vasco may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Vasco won 1 match, drew 6 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 14:38. (average 0.7:1.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Vasco won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 12:22. (average 1.2:2.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Vasco da Gama won against Corinthians?
Vasco da Gama has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Corinthians won against Vasco da Gama?
Corinthians has won 4 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Vasco da Gama - Corinthians were as follows:
05.04.2025
Corinthians
-
Vasco da Gama
3:0
24.11.2024
Corinthians
-
Vasco da Gama
3:1
10.07.2024
Vasco da Gama
-
Corinthians
2:0
28.11.2023
Vasco da Gama
-
Corinthians
2:4
29.07.2023
Corinthians
-
Vasco da Gama
3:1
Latest results of Vasco da Gama
Latest results of Corinthians
Brazilian Serie A Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Flamengo RJ | 19 | 13 | 4 | 2 | 36:9 | 27 | 43 |
2 | Palmeiras | 18 | 12 | 3 | 3 | 24:15 | 9 | 39 |
3 | Cruzeiro | 20 | 11 | 5 | 4 | 32:14 | 18 | 38 |
4 | Bahia | 18 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 25:17 | 8 | 33 |
5 | Bragantino | 21 | 9 | 3 | 9 | 26:28 | -2 | 30 |
6 | Botafogo RJ | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 23:11 | 12 | 29 |
7 | Mirassol | 18 | 7 | 8 | 3 | 29:19 | 10 | 29 |
8 | Sao Paulo | 20 | 7 | 8 | 5 | 24:22 | 2 | 29 |
9 | Fluminense | 19 | 8 | 3 | 8 | 25:28 | -3 | 27 |
10 | Ceara | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 19:19 | 0 | 25 |
11 | Atletico-MG | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 20:21 | -1 | 24 |
12 | Internacional | 19 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 22:26 | -4 | 24 |
13 | Gremio | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 19:25 | -6 | 23 |
14 | Corinthians | 20 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 19:25 | -6 | 22 |
15 | Santos | 19 | 6 | 3 | 10 | 20:29 | -9 | 21 |
16 | Vasco | 19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 25:26 | -1 | 19 |
17 | Vitoria | 20 | 3 | 10 | 7 | 18:24 | -6 | 19 |
18 | Juventude | 19 | 5 | 3 | 11 | 17:38 | -21 | 18 |
19 | Fortaleza | 19 | 3 | 6 | 10 | 19:31 | -12 | 15 |
20 | Sport Recife | 18 | 1 | 7 | 10 | 12:27 | -15 | 10 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
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Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet
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