Result
2:0
12/04/2025 at 17:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- : Serie A Betano - Round 3
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Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.45 | 0.27 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 34% | 66% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (217/272) | 90% (487/541) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.45 | 0.27 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.50 | 0.04 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 18 | 12 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 18 | 17 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (217/272) | 90% (487/541) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 38% (18/48) | 66% (25/38) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 60% (50/84) | 76% (80/105) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 33% (3/9) | 0% (0/10) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.79 | 0.21 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 17 | 18 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 78% (14/18) | 76% (16/21) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 50 | 51 |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 23 | 22 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.04 | 1.50 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.04 | -0.50 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 4', Andre Ramalho 🟨,
- 14', 1 - 0, Piquerez J. ⚽, Rios R. (A),
- 19', 2 - 0, Martinez E. ⚽, Torres F. (A),
- 22', Rios R. 🟨,
- 23', Martinez J. 🟨,
- 28', Depay M. 🟨,
- 29', Yuri Alberto 🟨,
- 29', Weverton 🟨,
- 31', Martinez E. 🟨,
- 38', Gomez G. 🟨,
- 45+3', Bruno Fuchs 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Matheus Bidu ↓, Angel Romero ↑,
- 46', Raniele ↓, Hugo ↑,
- 46', Bruno Fuchs ↓, Giay A. ↑,
- 56', Micael 🟨,
- 62', Rios R. ↓, Moreno A. ↑,
- 67', Matheuzinho 🟨,
- 77', Martinez J. ↓, Hernandez H. ↑,
- 77', Vitor Roque ↓, Flaco Lopez ↑,
- 77', Estevao ↓, Paulinho ↑,
Chances of winning
Palmeiras
53.1% | Draw
27.7% | Corinthians
19.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Palmeiras has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Palmeiras's performance.Corinthians has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Corinthians might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Palmeiras than the current prediction. (-8.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Palmeiras that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Corinthians than the current prediction. (+8.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Corinthians could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Palmeiras - Corinthians Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.8 ↓
(2.11) |
3.43 ↑
(3.37) |
4.95 ↑
(3.4) |
4.9%
(6.6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Palmeiras - Corinthians?
The most likely score is 1:0.
User prediction is will win! ( of users predict this).
Preview Facts
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Palmeiras won 1.
- Palmeiras is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- Recent matches Corinthians is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Corinthians could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- In this match Palmeiras is a favorite.
- There will not play in Palmeiras: Bruno Rodrigues
(Injury)
Marcos Rocha
(Hamstring Injury)
Mayke
(Inactive)
Paulinho
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Corinthians: Garro R.
(Knee Injury)
Hugo Souza
(Hamstring Injury)
- There are questionable in Palmeiras: Raphael Veiga
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Corinthians: Angileri F.
(Hamstring Injury)
- Our prediction for today's Palmeiras to win the game is with odds 1.76.
- Last 20 head-to-head matches Palmeiras won 9 matches, drawn 8 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 29:16 (average 1.5:0.8).
- Including matches at home between the teams Palmeiras won 6 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 19:8 (average 1.9:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Palmeiras won against Corinthians?
Palmeiras has won 1 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Corinthians won against Palmeiras?
Corinthians has won 1 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Palmeiras - Corinthians were as follows:
27.03.2025
Corinthians
-
Palmeiras
0:0
06.02.2025
Palmeiras
-
Corinthians
1:1
04.11.2024
Corinthians
-
Palmeiras
2:0
01.07.2024
Palmeiras
-
Corinthians
2:0
18.02.2024
Palmeiras
-
Corinthians
2:2
Latest results of Palmeiras
Latest results of Corinthians
Brazilian Serie A Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Palmeiras | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 11:4 | 7 | 22 |
| 2 | Flamengo RJ | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 17:4 | 13 | 18 |
| 3 | Cruzeiro | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 13:7 | 6 | 17 |
| 4 | Bragantino | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 11:8 | 3 | 17 |
| 5 | Ceara | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 11:7 | 4 | 15 |
| 6 | Bahia | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 9:9 | 0 | 15 |
| 7 | Fluminense | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 11:11 | 0 | 14 |
| 8 | Corinthians | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 12:14 | -2 | 13 |
| 9 | Atletico-MG | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 10:10 | 0 | 13 |
| 10 | Botafogo RJ | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 10:5 | 5 | 12 |
| 11 | Sao Paulo | 9 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 8:7 | 1 | 12 |
| 12 | Mirassol | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 14:12 | 2 | 11 |
| 13 | Vasco | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 10:11 | -1 | 10 |
| 14 | Fortaleza | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 10:8 | 2 | 10 |
| 15 | Internacional | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 11:13 | -2 | 10 |
| 16 | Vitoria | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 10:13 | -3 | 9 |
| 17 | Gremio | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 8:14 | -6 | 9 |
| 18 | Juventude | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 8:21 | -13 | 8 |
| 19 | Santos | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 7:11 | -4 | 5 |
| 20 | Sport Recife | 9 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 4:16 | -12 | 2 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet
Which TV channels are streaming of Palmeiras - Corinthians?
It is being streamed on various channels, including:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Amazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Premiere, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 China | K-Ball |
