Palmeiras vs Corinthians: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Copa do Brasil Palmeiras - Corinthians
Result
0:2
06/08/2025 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Copa Betano do Brasil - 1/8-finals
Palmeiras - Corinthians - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.811.05
Ball Possession
54%46%
Total shots
1914
Shots on target
27
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
86
Passes
81% (335/412)85% (306/362)
Yellow Cards
34
Red Cards
20
Expected Goals (xG)
0.811.05
xG on target (xGOT)
0.072.19
Total shots
1914
Shots on target
27
Shots off target
83
Blocked Shots
94
Shots inside the Box
98
Shots outside the Box
106
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
86
Touches in opposition box
2218
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
11
Free Kicks
1615
Passes
81% (335/412)85% (306/362)
Long passes
50% (25/50)55% (28/51)
Passes in final third
68% (76/112)70% (53/76)
Crosses
14% (3/22)33% (3/9)
Expected assists (xA)
0.390.47
Throw-ins
3010
Fouls
1516
Tackles
67% (10/15)59% (13/22)
Duels won
5458
Clearances
1647
Interceptions
77
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
52
xGOT faced
2.190.07
Goals prevented
0.190.07

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 15', Moreno A. 🟥,
  • 36', Raniele 🟨,
  • 43', 0 - 1, Matheus Bidu , Raniele (A),
  • 45', Giay A. 🟨,
  • 45', Martinez J. 🟨,
  • 45+1', Depay M. , Angel Romero ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Vitor Roque , Lopez J. ,
  • 46', Torres F. , Martinez E. ,
  • 47', Garro R. 🟨,
  • 52', Carrillo A. , Breno Bidon ,
  • 59', 0 - 2, Gustavo Henrique , Garro R. (A),
  • 61', Mauricio 🟨,
  • 70', Mauricio , Raphael Veiga ,
  • 70', Lucas Evangelista , Felipe Anderson ,
  • 76', Breno Bidon 🟨,
  • 82', Martinez J. , Charles Rigon ,
  • 82', Matheus Bidu , Angileri F. ,
  • 82', Yuri Alberto , Talles Magno ,
  • 89', Lopez J. 🟨,
  • 90+6', Martinez E. 🟥,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Palmeiras
57%
Draw
27.6%
Corinthians
15.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
58.5% 26.3% 15.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.9% 25.3% 14.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Palmeiras has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)
  • Corinthians has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Palmeiras than the current prediction. (+3.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Corinthians than the current prediction. (-0.7%)
  • Palmeiras - Corinthians Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.65
    (1.6)
    3.38
    (3.57)
    6.01
    (6.14)
    6.9%
    (6.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for Palmeiras - Corinthians?
  • Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Palmeiras will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • 1st leg result: 0-1. 2nd leg.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Palmeiras won 1.
    • Palmeiras is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • In recent matches, Corinthians has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • In this match, Palmeiras is the obvious favorite.
    • There will not play in Palmeiras: Bruno Fuchs (Injury) Bruno Rodrigues (Knee Injury) Murilo (Thigh Injury) Paulinho (Leg Injury)
    • There will not play in Corinthians: Hugo (Hernia) Maycon (Thigh Injury)
    • There are questionable in Palmeiras: Figueiredo (Inactive)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Palmeiras won 9 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 29:16. (average 1.5:0.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Palmeiras won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 19:7. (average 1.9:0.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Palmeiras - Corinthians were as follows:
    30.07.2025 Corinthians - Palmeiras 1:0
    12.04.2025 Palmeiras - Corinthians 2:0
    27.03.2025 Corinthians - Palmeiras 0:0
    06.02.2025 Palmeiras - Corinthians 1:1
    04.11.2024 Corinthians - Palmeiras 2:0
    Latest results of Palmeiras
    30.07.2025 Corinthians - Palmeiras 1:0
    26.07.2025 Palmeiras - Grêmio 1:0
    23.07.2025 Fluminense - Palmeiras 1:2
    Latest results of Corinthians
    03.08.2025 Corinthians - Fortaleza 1:1
    30.07.2025 Corinthians - Palmeiras 1:0
    26.07.2025 Botafogo RJ - Corinthians 1:1
    23.07.2025 Corinthians - Cruzeiro 0:0
    19.07.2025 São Paulo - Corinthians 2:0
    Draw
    2025

    1/64-finals
    1SantosBye
    4ByeCRB
    5CruzeiroBye
    7Inter de LimeiraVila Nova FC0 : 1
    8Rio Branco-VNAmazonas1 : 0
    9Maringa FCJuventude1 : 0
    10Uniao CarmolandenseAmerica RN4 : 2
    11TocantinopolisAtletico-MG0 : 2
    12IndependenciaManaus1 : 2
    13ConcordiaPonte Preta2 : 1
    14PortuguesaBotafogo PB1 : 2
    16ByeFlamengo RJ
    17Operario VGSport Recife1 : 0
    18Rio Branco ESNovorizontino1 : 3
    20ByeCorinthians
    21SergipeCeara0 : 2
    22ParnahybaConfianca0 : 5
    24ByePalmeiras
    25Sao PauloBye
    27MaranhaoVitoria0 : 1
    28Santa Cruz de NatalNautico0 : 4
    29TremBrusque0 : 2
    30OlariaABC1 : 0
    31Pouso AlegreAthletico-PR0 : 2
    32Guarany de BageAE Altos2 : 1
    33Tuna LusoSampaio Correa1 : 0
    34BoavistaCSA0 : 2
    35Sao Raimundo RRGremio1 : 2
    36BarcelonaAthletic Club1 : 2
    37HumaitaOperario-PR0 : 1
    38CSETombense1 : 3
    39Uniao RondonopolisVasco0 : 3
    40Barcelona RONova Iguacu1 : 4
    41Botafogo RJBye
    43Porto VelhoCuiaba1 : 0
    44CapitalPortuguesa RJ1 : 0
    45Operario MSCriciuma0 : 1
    46GASRemo0 : 4
    47SousaBragantino1 : 2
    48OratorioEC Sao Jose1 : 3
    49Aguia De MarabaFluminense0 : 8
    50DouradosSER Caxias0 : 2
    51CascavelAmerica MG1 : 0
    52VotuporanguenseAparecidense2 : 3
    53InternacionalBye
    55CeilandiaCoritiba3 : 2
    56MaracanaFerroviario2 : 1
    57ASAAtletico GO1 : 2
    58JequieRetro1 : 2
    60ByeFortaleza
    61Paysandu PABye
    64ByeBahia

    1/32-finals
    1SantosBye
    2ByeCRB
    3CruzeiroBye
    4Vila Nova FCRio Branco-VN6 : 0
    5Maringa FCUniao Carmolandense4 : 2
    6Atletico-MGManaus4 : 1
    7ConcordiaBotafogo PB0 : 4
    8ByeFlamengo RJ
    9Operario VGNovorizontino0 : 1
    10ByeCorinthians
    11CearaConfianca3 : 2
    12ByePalmeiras
    13Sao PauloBye
    14VitoriaNautico0 : 2
    15BrusqueOlaria2 : 1
    16Athletico-PRGuarany de Bage3 : 1
    17Tuna LusoCSA0 : 5
    18GremioAthletic Club4 : 3
    19Operario-PRTombense1 : 0
    20VascoNova Iguacu3 : 0
    21Botafogo RJBye
    22Porto VelhoCapital1 : 3
    23CriciumaRemo2 : 1
    24BragantinoEC Sao Jose2 : 1
    25FluminenseSER Caxias2 : 1
    26CascavelAparecidense0 : 1
    27InternacionalBye
    28CeilandiaMaracana0 : 1
    29Atletico GORetro1 : 2
    30ByeFortaleza
    31Paysandu PABye
    32ByeBahia

    1/16-finals
    1SantosCRB0 : 1, 1 : 1
    2CruzeiroVila Nova FC3 : 0, 2 : 0
    3Maringa FCAtletico-MG0 : 4, 2 : 2
    4Botafogo PBFlamengo RJ2 : 4, 0 : 1
    5NovorizontinoCorinthians0 : 1, 0 : 1
    6CearaPalmeiras0 : 3, 0 : 1
    7Sao PauloNautico2 : 1, 2 : 1
    8BrusqueAthletico-PR0 : 1, 0 : 0
    9CSAGremio0 : 0, 3 : 2
    10Operario-PRVasco1 : 2, 1 : 1
    11Botafogo RJCapital0 : 1, 4 : 0
    12CriciumaBragantino0 : 6, 1 : 0
    13FluminenseAparecidense4 : 1, 1 : 0
    14InternacionalMaracana3 : 0, 1 : 0
    15RetroFortaleza2 : 1, 1 : 1
    16Paysandu PABahia0 : 4, 0 : 1

    1/8-finals
    1CRBCruzeiro0 : 2, 0 : 0
    2Atletico-MGFlamengo RJ1 : 1, 1 : 0
    3CorinthiansPalmeiras2 : 0, 1 : 0
    4Sao PauloAthletico-PR0 : 2, 2 : 1
    5CSAVasco1 : 3, 0 : 0
    6Botafogo RJBragantino1 : 0, 2 : 0
    7FluminenseInternacional1 : 1, 2 : 1
    8RetroBahia0 : 0, 2 : 3

    Quarter-finals
    1CruzeiroAtletico-MG
    2CorinthiansAthletico-PR
    3VascoBotafogo RJ
    4FluminenseBahia

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2
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    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
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