Result
1:1
31/08/2025 at 17:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- : Serie A Betano - Round 22
- Referee: Abatti R. (Bra)
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Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.37 | 2.14 |
Ball Possession |
---|
42% | 58% |
Total shots |
---|
9 | 19 |
Shots on target |
---|
1 | 7 |
Big Chances |
---|
0 | 3 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
3 | 10 |
Passes |
---|
74% (228/308) | 81% (337/414) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
2 | 3 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.37 | 2.14 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
0.01 | 2.77 |
Total shots |
---|
9 | 19 |
Shots on target |
---|
1 | 7 |
Shots off target |
---|
5 | 8 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
3 | 4 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
3 | 10 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
6 | 9 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
0 | 3 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
3 | 10 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
9 | 31 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
0 | 2 |
Offsides |
---|
1 | 2 |
Free Kicks |
---|
16 | 17 |
Passes |
---|
74% (228/308) | 81% (337/414) |
Long passes |
---|
37% (15/41) | 43% (23/54) |
Passes in final third |
---|
58% (42/72) | 73% (115/158) |
Crosses |
---|
10% (1/10) | 26% (7/27) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
0.21 | 1.34 |
Throw-ins |
---|
14 | 20 |
Fouls |
---|
18 | 16 |
Tackles |
---|
68% (17/25) | 78% (14/18) |
Duels won |
---|
65 | 56 |
Clearances |
---|
36 | 15 |
Interceptions |
---|
11 | 10 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
6 | 1 |
xGOT faced |
---|
2.77 | 0.01 |
Goals prevented |
---|
1.77 | 0.01 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 14', 0 - 1, Vitor Roque (Pen),
- 26', 1 - 1, Piquerez J. (Own goal),
- 32', Bruno Fuchs 🟨,
- 40', Breno Bidon 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 61', Mauricio ↓, Torres F. ↑,
- 61', Raniele ↓, Joao Pedro ↑,
- 71', Lucas Evangelista 🟨,
- 74', Felipe Anderson ↓, Sosa R. ↑,
- 80', Garro R. ↓, Caca ↑,
- 80', Charles Rigon ↓, Ryan ↑,
- 80', Maycon ↓, Vitinho ↑,
- 87', Gui Negao ↓, Talles Magno ↑,
- 90+4', Depay M. 🟨,
- 90+4', Gomez G. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Corinthians 24.2% | Draw 30.1% | Palmeiras 45.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Corinthians has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Corinthians's form might have worsened.Palmeiras has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.5%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Palmeiras's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Corinthians than the current prediction. (+8.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Corinthians, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Palmeiras than the current prediction. (-9.6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Palmeiras, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Corinthians - Palmeiras Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
4.19 ↑ (2.84) |
3.32 ↑ (3.04) |
2.15 ↓ (2.59) |
0.5% (6.7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Corinthians - Palmeiras?
Users Predictions:
25 users predict this event. Corinthians will win (votes: 5 - 20%). Palmeiras will win (votes: 17 - 68%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 12%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Palmeiras: 49.7% – 86.3%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Corinthians (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Palmeiras (votes: 3 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 11 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Corinthians won 3.
- In recent matches, Corinthians has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Palmeiras is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Palmeiras may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Corinthians has had a series of away games.
- Palmeiras might have a minor edge in this game.
- There will not play in Corinthians: Hugo
(Hernia)
Martinez J.
(Inactive)
Matheus Bidu
(Yellow Cards)
Yuri Alberto
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Palmeiras: Bruno Rodrigues
(Knee Injury)
Paulinho
(Leg Injury)
Raphael Veiga
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Corinthians: Matheuzinho
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Corinthians won 5 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 18:27. (average 0.9:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Corinthians won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:8. (average 1:0.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Corinthians won against Palmeiras?
Corinthians has won 3 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Palmeiras won against Corinthians?
Palmeiras has won 2 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Corinthians - Palmeiras were as follows:
06.08.2025
Palmeiras
-
Corinthians
0:2
30.07.2025
Corinthians
-
Palmeiras
1:0
12.04.2025
Palmeiras
-
Corinthians
2:0
27.03.2025
Corinthians
-
Palmeiras
0:0
06.02.2025
Palmeiras
-
Corinthians
1:1
Latest results of Corinthians
Latest results of Palmeiras
Brazilian Serie A Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Flamengo RJ | 21 | 14 | 5 | 2 | 45:10 | 35 | 47 |
2 | Cruzeiro | 22 | 13 | 5 | 4 | 35:15 | 20 | 44 |
3 | Palmeiras | 20 | 13 | 4 | 3 | 28:16 | 12 | 43 |
4 | Bahia | 20 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 28:22 | 6 | 36 |
5 | Botafogo RJ | 20 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 30:13 | 17 | 35 |
6 | Mirassol | 20 | 9 | 8 | 3 | 35:20 | 15 | 35 |
7 | Sao Paulo | 22 | 8 | 8 | 6 | 26:23 | 3 | 32 |
8 | Bragantino | 22 | 9 | 3 | 10 | 27:32 | -5 | 30 |
9 | Fluminense | 20 | 8 | 4 | 8 | 25:28 | -3 | 28 |
10 | Internacional | 21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 25:29 | -4 | 27 |
11 | Ceara | 21 | 7 | 5 | 9 | 19:20 | -1 | 26 |
12 | Corinthians | 22 | 6 | 8 | 8 | 23:28 | -5 | 26 |
13 | Gremio | 21 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 20:26 | -6 | 25 |
14 | Atletico-MG | 20 | 6 | 6 | 8 | 20:24 | -4 | 24 |
15 | Vasco | 21 | 6 | 4 | 11 | 30:31 | -1 | 22 |
16 | Santos | 21 | 6 | 4 | 11 | 20:31 | -11 | 22 |
17 | Vitoria | 22 | 4 | 10 | 8 | 19:32 | -13 | 22 |
18 | Juventude | 21 | 6 | 3 | 12 | 19:41 | -22 | 21 |
19 | Fortaleza | 21 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 20:34 | -14 | 15 |
20 | Sport Recife | 20 | 1 | 7 | 12 | 14:33 | -19 | 10 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet
Which TV channels are streaming of Corinthians - Palmeiras?
It is being streamed on various channels, including:
| |
---|
Austria | DAZN |
Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Premium 1, Arena Sport 1 |
Brazil | Amazon Prime Video, Caze TV, Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, TV Record, Vivo Play, Zapping |
China | K-Ball |
Croatia | Arena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go |
Ecuador | El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol |
Germany | Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch, Sportdigital FUSSBALL |
Iran | IRIB Varzesh |
Israel | Sport 4 |
Kosovo | Arena Premium 3 |
Mexico | Fanatiz |
Portugal | Canal 11 |
Russia | MATCH! Futbol 3, Match TV, Sportbox.ru |
Serbia | Arena Premium 3 |
Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
Turkey | Spor Smart 2 |
United-kingdom | Amazon Prime Video, Premier Sports 1, Premier Sports Player |
Usa | Fanatiz |