Result
3:0
04/10/2025 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- : Serie A Betano - Round 27
- Referee: Fernandes de Lima F. (Bra)
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Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
2.03 | 1.76 |
Ball Possession |
---|
36% | 64% |
Total shots |
---|
10 | 21 |
Shots on target |
---|
3 | 1 |
Big Chances |
---|
3 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
2 | 6 |
Passes |
---|
71% (183/257) | 84% (376/445) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
2 | 2 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
2.03 | 1.76 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
2.44 | 0.00 |
Total shots |
---|
10 | 21 |
Shots on target |
---|
3 | 1 |
Shots off target |
---|
2 | 8 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
5 | 12 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
7 | 12 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
3 | 8 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
3 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
2 | 6 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
16 | 27 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
0 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
0 | 1 |
Free Kicks |
---|
14 | 19 |
Passes |
---|
71% (183/257) | 84% (376/445) |
Long passes |
---|
38% (22/58) | 48% (13/27) |
Passes in final third |
---|
57% (34/60) | 71% (80/113) |
Crosses |
---|
40% (4/10) | 38% (10/26) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
0.47 | 1.38 |
Throw-ins |
---|
16 | 27 |
Fouls |
---|
19 | 14 |
Tackles |
---|
87% (13/15) | 85% (11/13) |
Duels won |
---|
38 | 52 |
Clearances |
---|
34 | 9 |
Interceptions |
---|
9 | 11 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
0 | 0 |
xGOT faced |
---|
0.00 | 2.44 |
Goals prevented |
---|
0.00 | -0.56 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 16', Reinaldo 🟨,
- 18', 1 - 0, Maycon (Pen),
- 45+1', Jose Aldo 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 54', Lucas Ramon ↓, Daniel Borges ↑,
- 55', Joao Pedro 🟨,
- 58', Hugo Souza 🟨,
- 59', Negueba ↓, Alesson ↑,
- 59', Cristian Renato ↓, Chico ↑,
- 62', Gui Negao ↓, Vitinho ↑,
- 62', Martinez J. ↓, Andre ↑,
- 72', 2 - 0, Yuri Alberto ⚽, Vitinho (A),
- 73', Breno Bidon ↓, Depay M. ↑,
- 75', Guilherme ↓, Matheus Bianqui ↑,
- 75', Carlos Eduardo ↓, Maceio ↑,
- 84', Matheus Bidu ↓, Angileri F. ↑,
- 84', Vitinho ↓, Ryan ↑,
- 90+5', 3 - 0, Andre ⚽, Yuri Alberto (A),
Chances of winning
Corinthians 46.6% | Draw 29.2% | Mirassol 24.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Corinthians has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)Mirassol has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Corinthians than the current prediction. (-2.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mirassol than the current prediction. (+2.1%)
Corinthians - Mirassol Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.04 ↓ (2.17) |
3.24 ↑ (3.21) |
3.91 ↑ (3.57) |
5.5% (5.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Corinthians - Mirassol?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Corinthians (votes: 2 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Corinthians will win
(11 of 13 users predict this - 84.62%).
Confidence interval (95%): 65.01% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 13 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Corinthians won 4.
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- In this match, Corinthians is a strong favorite.
- There will not play in Corinthians: Andre Ramalho
(Inactive)
Carrillo A.
(Inactive)
Charles Rigon
(Knee Injury)
Depay M.
(Muscle Injury)
Garro R.
(Thigh Injury)
- There will not play in Mirassol: Edson Carioca
(Injury)
Neto Moura
(Yellow Cards)
- In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Corinthians won 8 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 16:6. (average 1.6:0.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Corinthians won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:1. (average 1.8:0.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Corinthians won against Mirassol?
Corinthians has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Mirassol won against Corinthians?
Mirassol has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Corinthians - Mirassol were as follows:
10.05.2025
Mirassol
-
Corinthians
2:1
02.03.2025
Corinthians
-
Mirassol
2:0
19.02.2023
Corinthians
-
Mirassol
3:0
Latest results of Corinthians
Latest results of Mirassol
Brazilian Serie A Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Palmeiras | 27 | 19 | 4 | 4 | 51:23 | 28 | 61 |
2 | Flamengo RJ | 27 | 17 | 7 | 3 | 53:13 | 40 | 58 |
3 | Cruzeiro | 28 | 15 | 8 | 5 | 41:21 | 20 | 53 |
4 | Mirassol | 28 | 13 | 10 | 5 | 47:30 | 17 | 49 |
5 | Botafogo RJ | 28 | 12 | 7 | 9 | 37:26 | 11 | 43 |
6 | Bahia | 26 | 12 | 7 | 7 | 34:30 | 4 | 43 |
7 | Fluminense | 26 | 11 | 5 | 10 | 34:33 | 1 | 38 |
8 | Sao Paulo | 28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 31:30 | 1 | 38 |
9 | Vasco | 28 | 10 | 6 | 12 | 44:41 | 3 | 36 |
10 | Bragantino | 28 | 10 | 6 | 12 | 34:43 | -9 | 36 |
11 | Gremio | 28 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 30:33 | -3 | 36 |
12 | Ceara | 27 | 9 | 8 | 10 | 27:25 | 2 | 35 |
13 | Corinthians | 28 | 8 | 9 | 11 | 30:35 | -5 | 33 |
14 | Atletico-MG | 27 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 26:31 | -5 | 33 |
15 | Internacional | 27 | 8 | 8 | 11 | 33:41 | -8 | 32 |
16 | Santos | 27 | 8 | 7 | 12 | 28:39 | -11 | 31 |
17 | Vitoria | 27 | 5 | 10 | 12 | 24:42 | -18 | 25 |
18 | Fortaleza | 27 | 6 | 6 | 15 | 26:43 | -17 | 24 |
19 | Juventude | 27 | 6 | 5 | 16 | 22:52 | -30 | 23 |
20 | Sport Recife | 27 | 2 | 11 | 14 | 21:42 | -21 | 17 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet
Which TV channels are streaming of Corinthians - Mirassol?
It is being streamed on various channels, including:
| |
---|
Brazil | Amazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, SporTV, Vivo Play, Zapping |
China | K-Ball |
Ecuador | El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol |
Germany | Sportdigital FUSSBALL |
Mexico | Fanatiz |
Russia | MATCH! Futbol 3, Match TV, Sportbox.ru |
Switzerland | Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
Turkey | Spor Smart 2 |
Usa | Fanatiz |