Mirassol vs Corinthians: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Brazilian Serie A Mirassol - Corinthians
Result
2:1
10/05/2025 at 17:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Serie A Betano - Round 8
  • Referee: Vitor Gobi J. (Bra)
Mirassol - Corinthians - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.661.35
Ball Possession
36%64%
Total shots
1410
Shots on target
53
Big Chances
42
Corner Kicks
45
Passes
83% (242/290)86% (440/510)
Yellow Cards
25
Expected Goals (xG)
2.661.35
xG on target (xGOT)
2.361.91
Total shots
1410
Shots on target
53
Shots off target
63
Blocked Shots
34
Shots inside the Box
85
Shots outside the Box
65
Hit the Woodwork
01
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
42
Corner Kicks
45
Touches in opposition box
1311
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
40
Free Kicks
1914
Passes
83% (242/290)86% (440/510)
Long passes
55% (22/40)67% (33/49)
Passes in final third
63% (42/67)70% (57/81)
Crosses
17% (2/12)16% (3/19)
Expected assists (xA)
0.620.38
Throw-ins
1715
Fouls
1419
Tackles
73% (8/11)53% (9/17)
Duels won
4046
Clearances
2812
Interceptions
96
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
23
xGOT faced
1.912.36
Goals prevented
0.910.36

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 34', Depay M. (Pen),
  • 35', Joao Victor 🟨,
  • 40', Depay M. 🟨,
  • 43', Neto Moura 🟨,
  • 45+7', 0 - 1, Caca , Depay M. (A),
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 46', Daniel Fabricio , Cristian Renato ,
  • 46', Neto Moura , Jose Aldo ,
  • 46', Raniele 🟨,
  • 50', 1 - 1, Edson Carioca , Reinaldo (A),
  • 63', Rafael Guanaes 🟨,
  • 64', Depay M. , Yuri Alberto ,
  • 65', Breno Bidon , Alex Santana ,
  • 65', 2 - 1, Gabriel ,
  • 73', Gabriel , Negueba ,
  • 74', Edson Carioca , Yago Felipe ,
  • 75', Angileri F. 🟨,
  • 76', Maycon , Hernandez H. ,
  • 76', Raniele , Talles Magno ,
  • 76', Angel Romero , Carrillo A. ,
  • 80', Dorival Junior 🟨,
  • 84', Talles Magno 🟨,
  • 85', Iury Castilho , Matheus Bianqui ,
  • 90+2', Hugo Souza 🟨,

Highlights

Official Live

Chances of winning


Mirassol
31.6%
Draw
29.8%
Corinthians
38.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
28.6% 28.7% 42.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.3% 28.4% 43.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Mirassol has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)
  • Corinthians has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mirassol than the current prediction. (-3.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Corinthians than the current prediction. (+4.6%)
  • Mirassol - Corinthians Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3
    (3.3)
    3.19
    (3.29)
    2.45
    (2.21)
    5.5%
    (5.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Mirassol - Corinthians?
  • Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Mirassol will win (votes: 3 - 50%). Corinthians will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Corinthians (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 16 and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mirassol won 0.
    • Mirassol has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Corinthians is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Mirassol may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • There will not play in Mirassol: Leo Gamalho (Injury) Luiz Otavio (Injury) Rafa Silva (Inactive) Ze Vitor (Injury)
    • There will not play in Corinthians: Garro R. (Knee Injury) Gustavo Henrique (Groin Injury)
    • There are questionable in Mirassol: David Braz (Injury) Matheus Sales (Injury)
    • In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Mirassol won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 8 matches, and goals 4:15. (average 0.4:1.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Mirassol won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:6. (average 0.8:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Mirassol - Corinthians were as follows:
    02.03.2025 Corinthians - Mirassol 2:0
    19.02.2023 Corinthians - Mirassol 3:0
    Latest results of Mirassol
    20.04.2025 Juventude - Mirassol 2:2
    16.04.2025 Mirassol - Grêmio 4:1
    13.04.2025 Bahia - Mirassol 1:1
    Latest results of Corinthians
    Brazilian Serie A Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Cruzeiro15103227:91833
    2Flamengo RJ1493227:52230
    3Bragantino1583418:15327
    4Palmeiras1382316:11526
    5Botafogo RJ1474317:71025
    6Bahia1474317:13425
    7Mirassol1356221:13821
    8Fluminense1362515:15020
    9Atletico-MG1455416:15120
    10Corinthians1554615:19-419
    11Ceara1453614:13118
    12Internacional1445514:18-417
    13Gremio1445514:20-617
    14Sao Paulo1537514:18-416
    15Vitoria1536611:15-415
    16Vasco1442815:19-414
    17Santos1442812:17-514
    18Juventude1332810:28-1811
    19Fortaleza1425713:20-711
    20Sport Recife1303105:21-163

          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
          Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet

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