Independiente Santa Fe vs Corinthians: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Result
1:1
06/05/2026 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Copa Libertadores - Group Stage - Round 4
  • Referee: Ortega K. (Per)
Independiente Santa Fe - Corinthians - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
1.260.69
Ball possession
41%59%
Total shots
1512
Shots on target
73
Big chances
14
Corner kicks
46
Passes
80% (244/306)84% (361/429)
Yellow cards
40
Expected goals (xG)
1.260.69
xG on target (xGOT)
1.830.95
Total shots
1512
Shots on target
73
Shots off target
45
Blocked shots
44
Shots inside the box
75
Shots outside the box
87
Hit the woodwork
00
Headed goals
01
Big chances
14
Corner kicks
46
Touches in opposition box
1414
Accurate through passes
11
Offsides
31
Free kicks
417
Passes
80% (244/306)84% (361/429)
Long passes
21% (7/34)55% (30/55)
Passes in final third
56% (54/96)67% (75/112)
Crosses
27% (3/11)22% (4/18)
Expected assists (xA)
0.840.70
Throw ins
2026
Fouls
174
Tackles
69% (9/13)58% (7/12)
Duels won
3035
Clearances
2819
Interceptions
126
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
26
xGOT faced
0.951.83
Goals prevented
-0.050.83

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 39', Olivera E. 🟨,
  • 44', Perlaza Perea Y. A. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 55', Perlaza Perea Y. A. , Obrian J. ,
  • 57', Olivera E. , Scarpeta Silgado I. R. ,
  • 59', 1 - 0, Rodallega H. , Obrian J. (A),
  • 65', Rodallega H. 🟨,
  • 75', Andre , Dieguinho ,
  • 79', Fernandez O. , Zapata A. ,
  • 79', Palacios H. , Palacios L. ,
  • 79', Toscano Bassa K. D. , Torres J. ,
  • 81', Raniele , Carrillo A. ,
  • 87', Breno Bidon , Pedro Raul ,
  • 87', Yuri Alberto , Kaio Cesar ,
  • 90+3', 1 - 1, Gustavo Henrique , Matheuzinho (A),
  • 90+5', Zapata A. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Independiente Santa Fe
28.9%
Draw
33.1%
Corinthians
38%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
32.6% 29.9% 37.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33% 30.2% 37.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Independiente Santa Fe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)
  • Corinthians has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independiente Santa Fe than the current prediction. (+4.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Corinthians than the current prediction. (-0.9%)
  • Independiente Santa Fe - Corinthians Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.25
    (2.9)
    2.87
    (3.16)
    2.49
    (2.52)
    5.9%
    (5.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
    What is the prediction for Independiente Santa Fe - Corinthians?
    • Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Santa Fe will win (votes: 1 - 8.3%). Corinthians will win (votes: 4 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 58.3%).
      Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 30.4%86.2%.
    • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
    • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:0.
    Preview Facts
    • Santa Fe has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Corinthians is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • There will not play in Santa Fe: Lovera M. (Injury) Murillo E. (Injury) Puerta M. (Inactive) Velasquez Y. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Corinthians: Charles Rigon (Heel Injury) Depay M. (Thigh Injury) Joao Pedro (Muscle Injury) Kayke (Knee Injury) Vitinho (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Santa Fe: Fagundez F. (Injury)
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Santa Fe won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:4. (average 0.3:1.3).
    • Including home match between the teams, Santa Fe won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Independiente Santa Fe - Corinthians were as follows:
    15.04.2026 Corinthians - Independiente Santa Fe 2:0
    Latest results of Corinthians
    Copa Libertadores Table
    Group Stage

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Flamengo RJ32107:257
    2Estudiantes L.P41305:416
    3Ind. Medellin31113:5-24
    4Cusco40132:6-41


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Deportes Tolima42117:347
    2Coquimbo42115:507
    3U. de Deportes41125:6-14
    4Nacional41126:9-34


    Group C
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Ind. Rivadavia ✔ 43108:3510
    2Bolivar41214:315
    3La Guaira40313:6-33
    4Fluminense40222:5-32


    Group D
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1U. Catolica42115:417
    2Cruzeiro42113:217
    3Boca Juniors42025:326
    4Barcelona SC41032:6-43


    Group E
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Corinthians43107:1610
    2Platense42115:507
    3Santa Fe40223:6-32
    4Penarol40223:6-32


    Group F
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Palmeiras42206:338
    2Cerro Porteno42113:217
    3Sporting Cristal42024:406
    4Junior40131:5-41


    Group G
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Mirassol43015:239
    2Lanus42022:5-36
    3LDU Quito42023:306
    4Always Ready41034:403


    Group H
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Rosario Central43105:0510
    2Ind. del Valle42116:517
    3Universidad Central42026:7-16
    4Libertad Asuncion40043:8-50

          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Ind. Rivadavia is Qualified for Copa Libertadores (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Which TV channels are streaming of Independiente Santa Fe - Corinthians?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    africaAfricaStarTimes App, Startimes World Football
    argentinaArgentinaDisney+, FOX Sports 2
    asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3, TOD
    australiaAustraliabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
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    brazilBrazilClaro TV+, Globoplay, Paramount+, Sky+, TV Globo, Zapping
    bulgariaBulgariaMax Sport 4
    canadaCanadabeIN Connect
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    colombiaColombiaDisney+, ESPN
    ecuadorEcuadorESPN
    georgiaGeorgiaSilk Universal
    italyItalyComo TV
    mexicoMexicoDisney+, ESPN 2
    netherlandsNetherlandsCanal+, ESPN
    new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
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    peruPeruDisney+, ESPN
    portugalPortugalSport TV3
    uruguayUruguayDisney+
    usaUsabeIN Connect, Fanatiz
    venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, ESPN, Inter
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