Corinthians vs Grêmio Novorizontino: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Copa do Brasil Corinthians - Grêmio Novorizontino
Result
1:0
21/05/2025 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Copa Betano do Brasil - 1/16-finals
Corinthians - Grêmio Novorizontino - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Ball Possession
62%38%
Total shots
107
Shots on target
32
Corner Kicks
72
Passes
83% (500/606)78% (309/395)
Yellow Cards
13
Total shots
107
Shots on target
32
Shots off target
34
Blocked Shots
41
Corner Kicks
72
Offsides
10
Free Kicks
116
Passes
83% (500/606)78% (309/395)
Throw-ins
3430
Fouls
510
Goalkeeper Saves
22

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 43', Willian Farias 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 66', Angel Romero , Carrillo A. ,
  • 67', Breno Bidon , Talles Magno ,
  • 69', Willian Farias , Ruiz O. ,
  • 69', Waguininho , Pablo Dyego ,
  • 77', Matheus Frizzo , Lucca ,
  • 78', Rodrigo Soares , Igor Formiga ,
  • 82', Igor Coronado , Martinez J. ,
  • 82', Jean Irmer , Luis Oyama ,
  • 87', Marlon 🟨,
  • 90+2', Maycon 🟨,
  • 90+2', Maycon , Charles Rigon ,
  • 90+3', 1 - 0, Yuri Alberto ,
  • 90+5', 🟨,

Chances of winning


Corinthians
55.7%
Draw
27.3%
Grêmio Novorizontino
17%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
61.4% 24.6% 13.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.2% 23.9% 13.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Corinthians has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Corinthians's form might have worsened.
  • Grêmio Novorizontino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Corinthians than the current prediction. (+7.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Corinthians, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Grêmio Novorizontino than the current prediction. (-3.5%)
  • Corinthians - Grêmio Novorizontino Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.68
    (1.48)
    3.41
    (3.68)
    5.41
    (6.5)
    7.3%
    (10.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for Corinthians - Grêmio Novorizontino?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Corinthians will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Novorizontino will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Novorizontino (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • 1st leg result: 1-0. 2nd leg.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Corinthians won 4.
    • Corinthians is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • In recent matches, Novorizontino has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Corinthians may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Corinthians is seen as the favorite.
    • In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Corinthians won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:6. (average 1.2:0.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Corinthians won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:4. (average 1.8:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Corinthians - Grêmio Novorizontino were as follows:
    30.04.2025 Grêmio Novorizontino - Corinthians 0:1
    03.02.2025 Grêmio Novorizontino - Corinthians 0:1
    04.02.2024 Corinthians - Grêmio Novorizontino 1:3
    Latest results of Corinthians
    Draw
    2025

    1/64-finals
    1SantosBye
    4ByeCRB
    5CruzeiroBye
    7Inter de LimeiraVila Nova FC0 : 1
    8Rio Branco-VNAmazonas1 : 0
    9Maringa FCJuventude1 : 0
    10Uniao CarmolandenseAmerica RN4 : 2
    11TocantinopolisAtletico-MG0 : 2
    12IndependenciaManaus1 : 2
    13ConcordiaPonte Preta2 : 1
    14PortuguesaBotafogo PB1 : 2
    16ByeFlamengo RJ
    17Operario VGSport Recife1 : 0
    18Rio Branco ESNovorizontino1 : 3
    20ByeCorinthians
    21SergipeCeara0 : 2
    22ParnahybaConfianca0 : 5
    24ByePalmeiras
    25Sao PauloBye
    27MaranhaoVitoria0 : 1
    28Santa Cruz de NatalNautico0 : 4
    29TremBrusque0 : 2
    30OlariaABC1 : 0
    31Pouso AlegreAthletico-PR0 : 2
    32Guarany de BageAE Altos2 : 1
    33Tuna LusoSampaio Correa1 : 0
    34BoavistaCSA0 : 2
    35Sao Raimundo RRGremio1 : 2
    36BarcelonaAthletic Club1 : 2
    37HumaitaOperario-PR0 : 1
    38CSETombense1 : 3
    39Uniao RondonopolisVasco0 : 3
    40Barcelona RONova Iguacu1 : 4
    41Botafogo RJBye
    43Porto VelhoCuiaba1 : 0
    44CapitalPortuguesa RJ1 : 0
    45Operario MSCriciuma0 : 1
    46GASRemo0 : 4
    47SousaBragantino1 : 2
    48OratorioEC Sao Jose1 : 3
    49Aguia De MarabaFluminense0 : 8
    50DouradosSER Caxias0 : 2
    51CascavelAmerica MG1 : 0
    52VotuporanguenseAparecidense2 : 3
    53InternacionalBye
    55CeilandiaCoritiba3 : 2
    56MaracanaFerroviario2 : 1
    57ASAAtletico GO1 : 2
    58JequieRetro1 : 2
    60ByeFortaleza
    61Paysandu PABye
    64ByeBahia

    1/32-finals
    1SantosBye
    2ByeCRB
    3CruzeiroBye
    4Vila Nova FCRio Branco-VN6 : 0
    5Maringa FCUniao Carmolandense4 : 2
    6Atletico-MGManaus4 : 1
    7ConcordiaBotafogo PB0 : 4
    8ByeFlamengo RJ
    9Operario VGNovorizontino0 : 1
    10ByeCorinthians
    11CearaConfianca3 : 2
    12ByePalmeiras
    13Sao PauloBye
    14VitoriaNautico0 : 2
    15BrusqueOlaria2 : 1
    16Athletico-PRGuarany de Bage3 : 1
    17Tuna LusoCSA0 : 5
    18GremioAthletic Club4 : 3
    19Operario-PRTombense1 : 0
    20VascoNova Iguacu3 : 0
    21Botafogo RJBye
    22Porto VelhoCapital1 : 3
    23CriciumaRemo2 : 1
    24BragantinoEC Sao Jose2 : 1
    25FluminenseSER Caxias2 : 1
    26CascavelAparecidense0 : 1
    27InternacionalBye
    28CeilandiaMaracana0 : 1
    29Atletico GORetro1 : 2
    30ByeFortaleza
    31Paysandu PABye
    32ByeBahia

    1/16-finals
    1SantosCRB0 : 1, 1 : 1
    2CruzeiroVila Nova FC3 : 0, 2 : 0
    3Maringa FCAtletico-MG0 : 4, 2 : 2
    4Botafogo PBFlamengo RJ2 : 4, 0 : 1
    5NovorizontinoCorinthians0 : 1, 0 : 1
    6CearaPalmeiras0 : 3, 0 : 1
    7Sao PauloNautico2 : 1, 2 : 1
    8BrusqueAthletico-PR0 : 1, 0 : 0
    9CSAGremio0 : 0, 3 : 2
    10Operario-PRVasco1 : 2, 1 : 1
    11Botafogo RJCapital0 : 1, 4 : 0
    12CriciumaBragantino0 : 6, 1 : 0
    13FluminenseAparecidense4 : 1, 1 : 0
    14InternacionalMaracana3 : 0, 1 : 0
    15RetroFortaleza2 : 1, 1 : 1
    16Paysandu PABahia0 : 4, 0 : 1

    1/8-finals
    1CRBCruzeiro0 : 2, 0 : 0
    2Atletico-MGFlamengo RJ1 : 1, 1 : 0
    3CorinthiansPalmeiras2 : 0, 1 : 0
    4Sao PauloAthletico-PR0 : 2, 2 : 1
    5CSAVasco1 : 3, 0 : 0
    6Botafogo RJBragantino1 : 0, 2 : 0
    7FluminenseInternacional1 : 1, 2 : 1
    8RetroBahia0 : 0, 2 : 3

    Quarter-finals
    1CruzeiroAtletico-MG2 : 0
    2CorinthiansAthletico-PR1 : 0
    3VascoBotafogo RJ1 : 1
    4FluminenseBahia0 : 1

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2
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