Grêmio vs Corinthians: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Brazilian Serie A Grêmio - Corinthians
12/06/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Grêmio - Corinthians - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Chances of winning


Grêmio
39%
Draw
30.4%
Corinthians
30.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
39.2% 30.5% 30.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.9% 31.5% 31.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Grêmio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)
  • Corinthians has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Grêmio than the current prediction. (-1.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Corinthians than the current prediction. (+0.6%)
  • Grêmio - Corinthians Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.42
    (2.42)
    3.08
    (3.11)
    3.09
    (3.15)
    6.2%
    (5.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Grêmio - Corinthians?
    The most likely score is 1:1. User prediction is Corinthians will win! (5 of 5 users predict this).
    Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 12 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: ) and 11 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Grêmio won 0.
    • Grêmio is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Corinthians's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Grêmio may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Grêmio won 3 matches, drew 11 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 14:17. (average 0.7:0.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Grêmio won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 4:7. (average 0.4:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Grêmio - Corinthians were as follows:
    08.12.2024 Grêmio - Corinthians 0:3
    07.08.2024 Grêmio - Corinthians 0:1
    31.07.2024 Corinthians - Grêmio 0:0
    25.07.2024 Corinthians - Grêmio 2:2
    12.11.2023 Grêmio - Corinthians 0:1
    Latest results of Grêmio
    01.06.2025 Juventude - Grêmio 0:2
    25.05.2025 Grêmio - Bahia 1:0
    20.05.2025 Grêmio - CS Alagoano 0:0
    17.05.2025 São Paulo - Grêmio 2:1
    Latest results of Corinthians
    Brazilian Serie A Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Flamengo RJ1173124:42024
    2Cruzeiro1172217:8923
    3Bragantino1172214:8623
    4Palmeiras1171312:8422
    5Fluminense1162315:12320
    6Botafogo RJ1153314:7718
    7Bahia1153311:11018
    8Mirassol1145217:12517
    9Atletico-MG1145211:10117
    10Ceara1143413:11215
    11Corinthians1143412:14-215
    12Gremio1143411:14-315
    13Sao Paulo112639:11-212
    14Internacional1125412:16-411
    15Vasco1131711:15-410
    16Vitoria1124510:14-410
    17Fortaleza1124510:15-510
    18Santos112278:12-48
    19Juventude112278:24-168
    20Sport Recife110385:18-133

          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
          Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet

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