Fluminense vs Corinthians: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Brazilian Serie A Fluminense - Corinthians
Result
0:1
13/09/2025 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Serie A Betano - Round 23
Fluminense - Corinthians - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.790.06
Ball Possession
61%39%
Total shots
162
Shots on target
41
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
54
Passes
90% (575/638)81% (330/406)
Yellow Cards
15
Expected Goals (xG)
0.790.06
xG on target (xGOT)
0.370.46
Total shots
162
Shots on target
41
Shots off target
30
Blocked Shots
91
Shots inside the Box
91
Shots outside the Box
71
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
54
Touches in opposition box
196
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
01
Free Kicks
1815
Passes
90% (575/638)81% (330/406)
Long passes
66% (38/58)49% (34/69)
Passes in final third
81% (88/108)53% (33/62)
Crosses
19% (4/21)38% (3/8)
Expected assists (xA)
1.190.58
Throw-ins
1616
Fouls
1619
Tackles
65% (11/17)67% (8/12)
Duels won
5339
Clearances
1430
Interceptions
76
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
04
xGOT faced
0.460.37
Goals prevented
-0.540.37

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 6', PH Ganso 🟨,
  • 29', Matheuzinho 🟨,
  • 43', PH Ganso , Acosta L. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Vitinho , Yuri Alberto ,
  • 46', Kayke , Carrillo A. ,
  • 62', Gui Negao 🟨,
  • 63', Matheus Bidu , Talles Magno ,
  • 64', Gui Negao , Angel Romero ,
  • 66', Lima , Soteldo Y. ,
  • 66', Moreno S. , Riquelme Felipe ,
  • 69', Talles Magno 🟨,
  • 73', 0 - 1, Matheuzinho ,
  • 75', Maycon , Hugo ,
  • 79', Hugo Souza 🟨,
  • 86', Bernal F. , John Kennedy ,
  • 88', Gustavo Henrique 🟨,
  • 88', Renato Gaucho 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Fluminense
43.8%
Draw
31.5%
Corinthians
24.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
46.9% 30.7% 22.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.8% 30.1% 22%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Fluminense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)
  • Corinthians has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fluminense than the current prediction. (+4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Corinthians than the current prediction. (-2.7%)
  • Fluminense - Corinthians Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.12
    (2.03)
    3.03
    (3.11)
    3.91
    (4.26)
    5.8%
    (5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
  • What is the prediction for Fluminense - Corinthians?
  • Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Fluminense will win (votes: 4 - 40%). Corinthians will win (votes: 3 - 30%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 30%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Fluminense: 9.6%70.4%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Corinthians (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 9 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: ) and 12 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fluminense won 1.
    • In recent matches, Fluminense has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Corinthians is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Fluminense could have a small edge in this match.
    • There will not play in Fluminense: Samuel Xavier (Thigh Injury)
    • There will not play in Corinthians: Breno Bidon (Yellow Cards) Raniele (Muscle Injury)
    • There are questionable in Corinthians: Depay M. (Muscle Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Fluminense won 7 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 23:28. (average 1.2:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Fluminense won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 15:8. (average 1.7:0.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Fluminense - Corinthians were as follows:
    16.04.2025 Corinthians - Fluminense 0:2
    17.08.2024 Fluminense - Corinthians 0:0
    28.04.2024 Corinthians - Fluminense 3:0
    19.10.2023 Fluminense - Corinthians 3:3
    28.05.2023 Corinthians - Fluminense 2:0
    Latest results of Fluminense
    10.09.2025 Fluminense - Bahia 2:0
    31.08.2025 Santos - Fluminense 0:0
    28.08.2025 Bahia - Fluminense 1:0
    Latest results of Corinthians
    Brazilian Serie A Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Palmeiras25174442:212155
    2Flamengo RJ26167350:133755
    3Cruzeiro27157540:202052
    4Botafogo RJ27127837:231443
    5Bahia26127734:30443
    6Mirassol261110542:281443
    7Fluminense25115933:31238
    8Sao Paulo27108931:28338
    9Bragantino271061133:38-536
    10Ceara26971026:24234
    11Vasco27961242:41133
    12Corinthians27891029:32-333
    13Gremio27891028:33-533
    14Internacional26881032:38-632
    15Atletico-MG25781022:29-729
    16Santos26771225:38-1328
    17Vitoria275101224:42-1825
    18Fortaleza26661426:41-1524
    19Juventude26651521:48-2723
    20Sport Recife252101319:38-1916

          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
          Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet

    Which TV channels are streaming of Fluminense - Corinthians?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Premium 1, Arena Sport 1
    brazilBrazilAmazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
    chinaChinaK-Ball
    croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
    ecuadorEcuadorEl Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol
    germanyGermanySportdigital FUSSBALL
    kosovoKosovoArena Premium 4
    mexicoMexicoFanatiz
    portugalPortugalCanal 11
    russiaRussiaMATCH! Futbol 3, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
    serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 4
    switzerlandSwitzerlandSunrise TV, Sunrise TV
    united-kingdomUnited-kingdomAmazon Prime Video, Premier Sports 2, Premier Sports Player
    usaUsaFanatiz
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