Athletico Paranaense vs Corinthians: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Copa do Brasil Athletico Paranaense - Corinthians
27/08/2025 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Athletico Paranaense - Corinthians - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Chances of winning


Athletico Paranaense
36.3%
Draw
31.2%
Corinthians
32.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
35.1% 31.5% 33.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.6% 32.9% 32.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Athletico Paranaense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)
  • Corinthians has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Athletico Paranaense than the current prediction. (+0.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Corinthians than the current prediction. (-0.4%)
  • Athletico Paranaense - Corinthians Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.62
    (2.71)
    3.01
    (3.02)
    2.94
    (2.84)
    5.4%
    (5.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • Preview Facts
    • 1st leg.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Athletico PR won 1.
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Athletico PR won 3 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 17:29. (average 0.9:1.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Athletico PR won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 7:11. (average 0.7:1.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Athletico Paranaense - Corinthians were as follows:
    17.10.2024 Corinthians - Athletico Paranaense 5:2
    23.06.2024 Athletico Paranaense - Corinthians 1:1
    01.11.2023 Corinthians - Athletico Paranaense 1:0
    24.06.2023 Athletico Paranaense - Corinthians 1:0
    08.10.2022 Corinthians - Athletico Paranaense 2:1
    Latest results of Athletico Paranaense
    Latest results of Corinthians
    16.08.2025 Corinthians - Bahia 1:2
    11.08.2025 Juventude - Corinthians 2:1
    06.08.2025 Palmeiras - Corinthians 0:2
    03.08.2025 Corinthians - Fortaleza 1:1
    30.07.2025 Corinthians - Palmeiras 1:0
    Draw
    2025

    1/64-finals
    1SantosBye
    4ByeCRB
    5CruzeiroBye
    7Inter de LimeiraVila Nova FC0 : 1
    8Rio Branco-VNAmazonas1 : 0
    9Maringa FCJuventude1 : 0
    10Uniao CarmolandenseAmerica RN4 : 2
    11TocantinopolisAtletico-MG0 : 2
    12IndependenciaManaus1 : 2
    13ConcordiaPonte Preta2 : 1
    14PortuguesaBotafogo PB1 : 2
    16ByeFlamengo RJ
    17Operario VGSport Recife1 : 0
    18Rio Branco ESNovorizontino1 : 3
    20ByeCorinthians
    21SergipeCeara0 : 2
    22ParnahybaConfianca0 : 5
    24ByePalmeiras
    25Sao PauloBye
    27MaranhaoVitoria0 : 1
    28Santa Cruz de NatalNautico0 : 4
    29TremBrusque0 : 2
    30OlariaABC1 : 0
    31Pouso AlegreAthletico-PR0 : 2
    32Guarany de BageAE Altos2 : 1
    33Tuna LusoSampaio Correa1 : 0
    34BoavistaCSA0 : 2
    35Sao Raimundo RRGremio1 : 2
    36BarcelonaAthletic Club1 : 2
    37HumaitaOperario-PR0 : 1
    38CSETombense1 : 3
    39Uniao RondonopolisVasco0 : 3
    40Barcelona RONova Iguacu1 : 4
    41Botafogo RJBye
    43Porto VelhoCuiaba1 : 0
    44CapitalPortuguesa RJ1 : 0
    45Operario MSCriciuma0 : 1
    46GASRemo0 : 4
    47SousaBragantino1 : 2
    48OratorioEC Sao Jose1 : 3
    49Aguia De MarabaFluminense0 : 8
    50DouradosSER Caxias0 : 2
    51CascavelAmerica MG1 : 0
    52VotuporanguenseAparecidense2 : 3
    53InternacionalBye
    55CeilandiaCoritiba3 : 2
    56MaracanaFerroviario2 : 1
    57ASAAtletico GO1 : 2
    58JequieRetro1 : 2
    60ByeFortaleza
    61Paysandu PABye
    64ByeBahia

    1/32-finals
    1SantosBye
    2ByeCRB
    3CruzeiroBye
    4Vila Nova FCRio Branco-VN6 : 0
    5Maringa FCUniao Carmolandense4 : 2
    6Atletico-MGManaus4 : 1
    7ConcordiaBotafogo PB0 : 4
    8ByeFlamengo RJ
    9Operario VGNovorizontino0 : 1
    10ByeCorinthians
    11CearaConfianca3 : 2
    12ByePalmeiras
    13Sao PauloBye
    14VitoriaNautico0 : 2
    15BrusqueOlaria2 : 1
    16Athletico-PRGuarany de Bage3 : 1
    17Tuna LusoCSA0 : 5
    18GremioAthletic Club4 : 3
    19Operario-PRTombense1 : 0
    20VascoNova Iguacu3 : 0
    21Botafogo RJBye
    22Porto VelhoCapital1 : 3
    23CriciumaRemo2 : 1
    24BragantinoEC Sao Jose2 : 1
    25FluminenseSER Caxias2 : 1
    26CascavelAparecidense0 : 1
    27InternacionalBye
    28CeilandiaMaracana0 : 1
    29Atletico GORetro1 : 2
    30ByeFortaleza
    31Paysandu PABye
    32ByeBahia

    1/16-finals
    1SantosCRB0 : 1, 1 : 1
    2CruzeiroVila Nova FC3 : 0, 2 : 0
    3Maringa FCAtletico-MG0 : 4, 2 : 2
    4Botafogo PBFlamengo RJ2 : 4, 0 : 1
    5NovorizontinoCorinthians0 : 1, 0 : 1
    6CearaPalmeiras0 : 3, 0 : 1
    7Sao PauloNautico2 : 1, 2 : 1
    8BrusqueAthletico-PR0 : 1, 0 : 0
    9CSAGremio0 : 0, 3 : 2
    10Operario-PRVasco1 : 2, 1 : 1
    11Botafogo RJCapital0 : 1, 4 : 0
    12CriciumaBragantino0 : 6, 1 : 0
    13FluminenseAparecidense4 : 1, 1 : 0
    14InternacionalMaracana3 : 0, 1 : 0
    15RetroFortaleza2 : 1, 1 : 1
    16Paysandu PABahia0 : 4, 0 : 1

    1/8-finals
    1CRBCruzeiro0 : 2, 0 : 0
    2Atletico-MGFlamengo RJ1 : 1, 1 : 0
    3CorinthiansPalmeiras2 : 0, 1 : 0
    4Sao PauloAthletico-PR0 : 2, 2 : 1
    5CSAVasco1 : 3, 0 : 0
    6Botafogo RJBragantino1 : 0, 2 : 0
    7FluminenseInternacional1 : 1, 2 : 1
    8RetroBahia0 : 0, 2 : 3

    Quarter-finals
    1CruzeiroAtletico-MG
    2CorinthiansAthletico-PR
    3VascoBotafogo RJ
    4FluminenseBahia

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2
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