Naomi Osaka vs Cori Gauff: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

01/09/2025 at 14:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

USTA Billie Jean King NTC (New York, NY).

WTA - SINGLES: US Open, hard - 1/8-finals

Match Stats


Aces
3	3
Double Faults
0	5
1st Serve Percentage
42%	66%
1st Serve Points Won
94% (15/16)	52% (17/33)
2nd Serve Points Won
77% (17/22)	59% (10/17)
Break Points Saved
0% (0/0)	0% (0/4)
Average 1st Serve Speed
169 km/h	167 km/h
Average 2nd Serve Speed
130 km/h	144 km/h
1st Return Points Won
48% (16/33)	6% (1/16)
2nd Return Points Won
41% (7/17)	23% (5/22)
Break Points Converted
100% (4/4)	0% (0/0)
Winners
10	8
Unforced Errors
12	33
Net Points Won
33% (1/3)	50% (2/4)
Service Points Won
84% (32/38)	54% (27/50)
Return Points Won
46% (23/50)	16% (6/38)
Total Points Won
63% (55/88)	38% (33/88)
Last 10 Balls
7	3
Match Points Saved
0	0
Service Games Won
100% (8/8)	56% (5/9)
Return Games Won
44% (4/9)	0% (0/8)
Total Games Won
71% (12/17)	29% (5/17)
Distance Covered (metres)
828	763

Chances of winning

Naomi Osaka
42.9%

Cori Gauff
57.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.5%

62.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.9%

65.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Naomi Osaka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Naomi Osaka's performance.

Cori Gauff has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Cori Gauff might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Naomi Osaka than the current prediction. (-8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Naomi Osaka that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cori Gauff than the current prediction. (+8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Cori Gauff could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Naomi Osaka - Cori Gauff Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.25 ↓ (2.52)		1.67 ↑ (1.51)	4.5% (5.9%)

What is the prediction for Naomi Osaka - Cori Gauff?

Users Predictions: 38 users predict this event. Osaka will win (votes: 15 - 39.5%). Gauff will win (votes: 23 - 60.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Gauff: 45% – 76%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 7 high ROI users predict this event. Osaka (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Gauff (votes: 4 - 57.1%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.

Preview Facts

Osaka is ranked WTA: 24. Gauff is ranked WTA: 3.
In recent matches, Osaka has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Gauff is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
Gauff will hold a modest advantage in this match.
We predict that Gauff will win today's game, with odds of 1.51.
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Osaka won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:5. (average 0.8:1).

How many head-to-head matches has Naomi Osaka won against Cori Gauff?

Naomi Osaka has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Cori Gauff won against Naomi Osaka?

Cori Gauff has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Naomi Osaka - Cori Gauff were as follows:

01.10.2024 Naomi Osaka - Cori Gauff Osaka N. retired

Latest results of Naomi Osaka

30.08.2025 Darya Kasatkina - Naomi Osaka 1:2 ✺

28.08.2025 Hailey Baptiste - Naomi Osaka 0:2 ✺

26.08.2025 Greetje Minnen - Naomi Osaka 0:2 ✺

09.08.2025 Linda Noskova - Naomi Osaka Canceled ✺

07.08.2025 Victoria Mboko - Naomi Osaka 2:1 ✺

Latest results of Cori Gauff

30.08.2025 Magdalena Frech - Cori Gauff 0:2 ✺

28.08.2025 Donna Vekic - Cori Gauff 0:2 ✺

26.08.2025 Ajla Tomljanovic - Cori Gauff 1:2 ✺

15.08.2025 Jasmine Paolini - Cori Gauff 2:1 ✺

14.08.2025 Lucia Bronzetti - Cori Gauff 0:2 ✺

Draw

Singles - Main

1/64-finals

1	Sabalenka A. (1)	Masarova R.	2 : 0
2	Parrizas-Diaz N. (RET.)	Kudermetova P.	0 : 0
3	Jacquemot E.	Bouzkova M.	2 : 0
4	Marino R. (Q)	Fernandez L. (31)	0 : 2
5	Mertens E. (19)	Ahn A. (WC)	2 : 0
6	Sun L.	Osorio C.	2 : 1
7	Bucsa C.	Liu C. (Q)	2 : 0
8	Eala A.	Tauson C. (14)	2 : 1
9	Rybakina E. (9)	Pareja J. (WC)	2 : 0
10	Bronzetti L.	Valentova T. (Q)	1 : 2
11	Raducanu E.	Shibahara E. (Q)	2 : 0
12	Tjen J. (Q)	Kudermetova V. (24)	2 : 1
13	Kessler M. (32)	Linette M.	2 : 0
14	Selekhmeteva O. (Q)	Vondrousova M.	0 : 2
15	Sasnovich A.	Jovic I.	0 : 2
16	Aiava D. (Q)	Paolini J. (7)	0 : 2
17	Pegula J. (4)	Sherif M.	2 : 0
18	Starodubtseva Y.	Blinkova A.	0 : 2
19	Azarenka V.	Inoue H. (Q)	2 : 0
20	Pavlyuchenkova A.	Yastremska D. (30)	2 : 1
21	Samsonova L. (17)	Yuan Y.	2 : 1
22	Jeanjean L.	Hon P. (Q)	0 : 2
23	Li A.	Sramkova R.	2 : 1
24	Zhang S. (Q)	Bencic B. (16)	0 : 2
25	Navarro E. (10)	Wang Y.	2 : 0
26	Teichmann J.	McNally C. (WC)	0 : 2
27	Uchijima M.	Danilovic O.	2 : 1
28	Krejcikova B.	Mboko V. (22)	2 : 0
29	Ostapenko J. (25)	Wang Xiy. (Q)	2 : 0
30	Townsend T.	Ruzic A.	2 : 0
31	Potapova A.	Zhu L.	2 : 1
32	Parks A.	Andreeva M. (5)	0 : 2
33	Keys M. (6)	Zarazua R.	1 : 2
34	Kvitova P.	Parry D.	0 : 2
35	Volynets K. (Q)	Sonmez Z.	0 : 2
36	Boulter K.	Kostyuk M. (27)	0 : 2
37	Noskova L. (21)	Galfi D. (Q)	2 : 0
38	Jones F. (Q)	Lys E.	0 : 2
39	Cirstea S.	Sierra S.	2 : 0
40	Williams V. (WC)	Muchova K. (11)	1 : 2
41	Kasatkina D. (15)	Ruse G.	2 : 0
42	Rakhimova K.	Garcia C. (WC)	2 : 1
43	Baptiste H.	Siniakova K.	2 : 0
44	Minnen G.	Osaka N. (23)	0 : 2
45	Frech M. (28)	Gibson T. (WC)	2 : 0
46	Semenistaja D. (Q)	Stearns P.	0 : 2
47	Vekic D.	Bouzas Maneiro J.	2 : 1
48	Tomljanovic A.	Gauff C. (3)	1 : 2
49	Anisimova A. (8)	Birrell K.	2 : 0
50	Jimenez Kasintseva V. (Q)	Joint M.	0 : 2
51	Collins D.	Cristian J.	0 : 2
52	Krueger A.	Kenin S. (26)	2 : 1
53	Haddad Maia B. (18)	Kartal S.	2 : 1
54	Boisson L.	Golubic V.	1 : 2
55	Sakkari M.	Maria T.	2 : 0
56	Bondar A.	Svitolina E. (12)	2 : 0
57	Alexandrova E. (13)	Sevastova A.	2 : 0
58	Dolehide C.	Wang Xin.	1 : 2
59	Zakharova A.	Avanesyan E.	2 : 0
60	Siegemund L.	Shnaider D. (20)	2 : 1
61	Kalinskaya A. (29)	Ngounoue C. (WC)	2 : 1
62	Putintseva Y.	Cocciaretto E.	2 : 0
63	Lamens S.	Glozman V. (WC)	2 : 0
64	Arango E.	Swiatek I. (2)	0 : 2

1/32-finals

1	Sabalenka A. (1)	Kudermetova P.	2 : 0
2	Jacquemot E.	Fernandez L. (31)	1 : 2
3	Mertens E. (19)	Sun L.	2 : 0
4	Bucsa C.	Eala A.	2 : 0
5	Rybakina E. (9)	Valentova T.	2 : 0
6	Raducanu E.	Tjen J.	2 : 0
7	Kessler M. (32)	Vondrousova M.	0 : 2
8	Jovic I.	Paolini J. (7)	0 : 2
9	Pegula J. (4)	Blinkova A.	2 : 0
10	Azarenka V.	Pavlyuchenkova A.	2 : 0
11	Samsonova L. (17)	Hon P.	1 : 2
12	Li A.	Bencic B. (16)	2 : 0
13	Navarro E. (10)	McNally C.	2 : 0
14	Uchijima M.	Krejcikova B.	0 : 2
15	Ostapenko J. (25)	Townsend T.	0 : 2
16	Potapova A.	Andreeva M. (5)	0 : 2
17	Zarazua R.	Parry D.	1 : 2
18	Sonmez Z.	Kostyuk M. (27)	1 : 2
19	Noskova L. (21)	Lys E. (RET.)	1 : 0
20	Cirstea S.	Muchova K. (11)	1 : 2
21	Kasatkina D. (15)	Rakhimova K.	2 : 1
22	Baptiste H.	Osaka N. (23)	0 : 2
23	Frech M. (28)	Stearns P.	2 : 1
24	Vekic D.	Gauff C. (3)	0 : 2
25	Anisimova A. (8)	Joint M.	2 : 0
26	Cristian J.	Krueger A.	2 : 1
27	Haddad Maia B. (18)	Golubic V.	2 : 0
28	Sakkari M.	Bondar A.	2 : 0
29	Alexandrova E. (13)	Wang Xin.	2 : 0
30	Zakharova A.	Siegemund L.	0 : 2
31	Kalinskaya A. (29)	Putintseva Y.	2 : 0
32	Lamens S.	Swiatek I. (2)	1 : 2

1/16-finals

1	Sabalenka A. (1)	Fernandez L. (31)	2 : 0
2	Mertens E. (19)	Bucsa C.	1 : 2
3	Rybakina E. (9)	Raducanu E.	2 : 0
4	Vondrousova M.	Paolini J. (7)	2 : 0
5	Pegula J. (4)	Azarenka V.	2 : 0
6	Hon P.	Li A.	0 : 2
7	Navarro E. (10)	Krejcikova B.	1 : 2
8	Townsend T.	Andreeva M. (5)	2 : 0
9	Parry D.	Kostyuk M. (27)	1 : 2
10	Noskova L. (21)	Muchova K. (11)	1 : 2
11	Kasatkina D. (15)	Osaka N. (23)	1 : 2
12	Frech M. (28)	Gauff C. (3)	0 : 2
13	Anisimova A. (8)	Cristian J.	2 : 1
14	Haddad Maia B. (18)	Sakkari M.	2 : 0
15	Alexandrova E. (13)	Siegemund L.	2 : 0
16	Kalinskaya A. (29)	Swiatek I. (2)	0 : 2

1/8-finals

1	Sabalenka A. (1)	Bucsa C.	2 : 0
2	Rybakina E. (9)	Vondrousova M.	1 : 2
3	Pegula J. (4)	Li A.	2 : 0
4	Krejcikova B.	Townsend T.	2 : 1
5	Kostyuk M. (27)	Muchova K. (11)	1 : 2
6	Osaka N. (23)	Gauff C. (3)	2 : 0
7	Anisimova A. (8)	Haddad Maia B. (18)	2 : 0
8	Alexandrova E. (13)	Swiatek I. (2)	0 : 2

Quarter-finals

1	Sabalenka A. (WO.) (1)	Vondrousova M.
2	Pegula J. (4)	Krejcikova B.	2 : 0
3	Muchova K. (11)	Osaka N. (23)	0 : 2
4	Anisimova A. (8)	Swiatek I. (2)	2 : 0

Semi-finals

1	Sabalenka A. (1)	Pegula J. (4)	2 : 1
2	Osaka N. (23)	Anisimova A. (8)	1 : 2

Final

1

Sabalenka A. (1)

Anisimova A. (8)

2 : 0

Which TV channels are streaming of Naomi Osaka - Cori Gauff?

It is being streamed on various channels, including:


Belgium	HBO Max, HBO Max
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Bulgaria	HBO Max
Croatia	HBO Max
Czech-republic	HBO Max
Denmark	HBO Max
Finland	HBO Max
France	HBO Max
Hungary	HBO Max
Moldova	HBO Max
Montenegro	HBO Max
Netherlands	HBO Max
North-macedonia	HBO Max
Norway	HBO Max
Poland	HBO Max
Romania	HBO Max
Serbia	HBO Max
Slovenia	HBO Max
Spain	HBO Max
Sweden	HBO Max