Universidad Católica vs Coquimbo Unido: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Chilean Primera Division Universidad Católica - Coquimbo Unido
Result
0:3
27/07/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Liga de Primera - Round 17
  • Referee: Flores D. (Chi)
Universidad Católica - Coquimbo Unido - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.242.39
Ball Possession
60%40%
Total shots
417
Shots on target
08
Big Chances
02
Corner Kicks
16
Passes
84% (422/504)77% (253/329)
Yellow Cards
53
Red Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
0.242.39
xG on target (xGOT)
0.001.94
Total shots
417
Shots on target
08
Shots off target
15
Blocked Shots
34
Shots inside the Box
213
Shots outside the Box
24
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
02
Corner Kicks
16
Touches in opposition box
718
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
02
Free Kicks
1113
Passes
84% (422/504)77% (253/329)
Long passes
38% (23/60)46% (28/61)
Passes in final third
58% (52/89)70% (78/112)
Crosses
20% (3/15)36% (5/14)
Expected assists (xA)
0.231.16
Throw-ins
2111
Fouls
1311
Tackles
50% (11/22)56% (14/25)
Duels won
4758
Clearances
1410
Interceptions
611
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
50
xGOT faced
1.940.00
Goals prevented
-1.060.00

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 2)
  • 32', 0 - 1, Chandia B. , Palavecino M. (A),
  • 38', 0 - 2, Cordero S. ,
  • 39', Ampuero B. 🟨,
  • 45+3', Gonzalez D. 🟥,
  • 45+3', Palavecino M. 🟨,
  • 45+5', Cabrera B. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Escobar D. , Asta-Buruaga T. ,
  • 46', Bello E. , Salas J. ,
  • 46', Mundaca Barraza M. A. , Zavala C. ,
  • 58', Chandia B. , Azocar Machuca A. E. ,
  • 60', Montes C. , Corral D. ,
  • 60', Rossel J. , Romero L. ,
  • 66', Romero L. 🟨,
  • 74', Cordero S. , Camargo A. ,
  • 74', Waterman C. , Johansen N. ,
  • 82', 0 - 3, Johansen N. ,
  • 84', Bernedo V. 🟨,
  • 86', Corral D. 🟨,
  • 87', 🟨,
  • 87', Asta-Buruaga T. 🟨,
  • 87', Valencia D. , Cerda A. ,
  • 88', Palavecino M. , Hernandez E. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Universidad Católica
35.1%
Draw
31.1%
Coquimbo Unido
33.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
41.1% 28.7% 30.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.8% 27.6% 29%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Universidad Católica has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Universidad Católica's form might have worsened.
  • Coquimbo Unido has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Universidad Católica than the current prediction. (+7.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Universidad Católica, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Coquimbo Unido than the current prediction. (-4.8%)
  • Universidad Católica - Coquimbo Unido Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.66
    (2.27)
    3.02
    (3.25)
    2.78
    (3.09)
    6.7%
    (7.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for Universidad Católica - Coquimbo Unido?
  • Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Uni Católica will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%). Coquimbo will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 33.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Uni Católica: 23.1%88.1%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Uni Católica (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Qualification: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Uni Católica won 1.
    • Uni Católica is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • In recent matches, Coquimbo has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Uni Católica may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Uni Católica won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 18:17. (average 1.4:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Uni Católica won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:7. (average 1.7:1.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Universidad Católica - Coquimbo Unido were as follows:
    22.02.2025 Coquimbo Unido - Universidad Católica 1:0
    09.11.2024 Universidad Católica - Coquimbo Unido 1:2
    02.06.2024 Coquimbo Unido - Universidad Católica 2:0
    05.03.2024 Universidad Católica - Coquimbo Unido 0:2
    24.01.2024 Coquimbo Unido - Universidad Católica 0:1
    Latest results of Universidad Católica
    Latest results of Coquimbo Unido
    Chilean Primera Division Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Coquimbo18125128:91941
    2U. De Chile18112539:172235
    3A. Italiano18104430:21934
    4Palestino1795324:15932
    5O'Higgins1886418:18030
    6Cobresal1785422:18429
    7U. Catolica1876525:20527
    8Colo Colo1875629:21826
    9Nublense1858518:24-623
    10Union La Calera1864816:19-322
    11Huachipato1864825:30-522
    12Everton1846819:27-818
    13La Serena18521120:32-1217
    14Limache18351018:26-814
    15U. Espanola18411316:31-1513
    16Deportes Iquique18241219:38-1910

          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ Liga de Ascenso

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