Coquimbo Unido vs Nacional Montevideo: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Result
1:1
08/04/2026 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Copa Libertadores - Group Stage - Round 1
  • Referee: Claus R. (Bra)
Coquimbo Unido - Nacional Montevideo - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
1.850.44
Ball possession
68%32%
Total shots
167
Shots on target
82
Big chances
22
Corner kicks
117
Passes
79% (342/431)61% (124/202)
Yellow cards
22
Expected goals (xG)
1.850.44
xG on target (xGOT)
1.940.56
Total shots
167
Shots on target
82
Shots off target
32
Blocked shots
53
Shots inside the box
136
Shots outside the box
31
Hit the woodwork
00
Headed goals
01
Big chances
22
Corner kicks
117
Touches in opposition box
2510
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
61
Free kicks
813
Passes
79% (342/431)61% (124/202)
Long passes
44% (22/50)43% (25/58)
Passes in final third
69% (92/134)51% (44/87)
Crosses
27% (9/33)15% (3/20)
Expected assists (xA)
0.820.29
Throw ins
2722
Fouls
138
Tackles
71% (12/17)50% (9/18)
Duels won
5160
Clearances
3037
Interceptions
149
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper saves
06
xGOT faced
0.561.94
Goals prevented
-0.440.94

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 22', 0 - 1, Coates S. , Lodeiro N. (A),
  • 45+2', Viera T. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Carneiro G. , De Los Santos J. ,
  • 57', Rodriguez L. 🟨,
  • 60', Azocar Machuca A. E. , Mundaca Barraza M. A. ,
  • 60', Camargo A. , Cordero S. ,
  • 61', Lodeiro N. , Vera M. ,
  • 73', Gazzolo B. 🟨,
  • 76', Chandia B. , Rodriguez P. ,
  • 76', Johansen N. , Pratto L. ,
  • 81', Barcia B. , Veron T. ,
  • 90', Cordero S. 🟨,
  • 90+1', Gomez M. , Gonzalez L. ,
  • 90+1', Viera T. , Calione P. ,
  • 90+5', 1 - 1, Fernandez M. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Coquimbo Unido
39.2%
Draw
33.4%
Nacional Montevideo
27.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
39.5% 31.4% 29.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.1% 31.7% 29.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Coquimbo Unido has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)
  • Nacional Montevideo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Coquimbo Unido than the current prediction. (-0.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nacional Montevideo than the current prediction. (+2.1%)
  • Coquimbo Unido - Nacional Montevideo Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.41
    (2.4)
    2.81
    (3.02)
    3.44
    (3.25)
    6.1%
    (5.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    What is the prediction for Coquimbo Unido - Nacional Montevideo?
    • Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Coquimbo will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 55.6%).
      Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 23.1%88.1%.
    • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Coquimbo (votes: 1 - 100%).
    • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
    Preview Facts
    • Coquimbo is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Nacional's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Nacional may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • There are questionable in Coquimbo: Pereira D. (Injury)
    • The teams have not played against each other recently.
    Latest results of Coquimbo Unido
    Copa Libertadores Table
    Group Stage

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Flamengo RJ11002:023
    2Estudiantes L.P10101:101
    3Ind. Medellin10101:101
    4Cusco10010:2-20


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Coquimbo10101:101
    2Nacional10101:101
    3Deportes Tolima10100:001
    4U. de Deportes10100:001


    Group C
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Ind. Rivadavia11001:013
    2Fluminense10100:001
    3La Guaira10100:001
    4Bolivar10010:1-10


    Group D
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Boca Juniors11002:113
    2Cruzeiro11001:013
    3U. Catolica10011:2-10
    4Barcelona SC10010:1-10


    Group E
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Corinthians11002:023
    2Santa Fe10101:101
    3Penarol10101:101
    4Platense10010:2-20


    Group F
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Sporting Cristal11001:013
    2Palmeiras10101:101
    3Junior10101:101
    4Cerro Porteno10010:1-10


    Group G
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Mirassol11001:013
    2LDU Quito11001:013
    3Lanus10010:1-10
    4Always Ready10010:1-10


    Group H
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Universidad Central11003:123
    2Rosario Central10100:001
    3Ind. del Valle10100:001
    4Libertad Asuncion10011:3-20

          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)

    Which TV channels are streaming of Coquimbo Unido - Nacional Montevideo?
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