Connecticut Sun vs New York Liberty: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

03/08/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Mohegan Sun Arena (Montville, NJ).

: WNBA
Referee: Smith J. (Usa)

Match Stats


Field Goals Attempted
67	60
Field Goals Made
28	31
Field Goals %
41.8%	51.7%
2-Point Field G. Attempted
44	43
2-Point Field Goals Made
23	27
2-Point Field Goals %
52.3%	62.8%
3-Point Field G. Attempted
23	17
3-Point Field Goals Made
5	4
3-Point Field Goals %
21.7%	23.5%
Free Throws Attempted
22	23
Free Throws Made
17	21
Free Throws %
77.3%	91.3%
Offensive Rebounds
6	7
Defensive Rebounds
22	28
Total Rebounds
28	35
Assists
14	24
Blocks
2	3
Turnovers
13	20
Steals
12	7
Personal Fouls
22	20

Chances of winning

Connecticut Sun
18%

New York Liberty
82%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.7%

71.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.4%

68.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Connecticut Sun has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Connecticut Sun's form might have worsened.

New York Liberty has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting New York Liberty's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Connecticut Sun than the current prediction. (+13.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Connecticut Sun, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for New York Liberty than the current prediction. (-13.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for New York Liberty, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Connecticut Sun - New York Liberty Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.29 ↑ (3.25)		1.17 ↓ (1.31)	4.6% (7.1%)

The most likely Over/Under: 170.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-13)

What is the prediction for Connecticut Sun - New York Liberty?

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

AH +8.5, OT - New York (votes: 3 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Connecticut Sun will win (20 of 21 users predict this - 95.24%).
Confidence interval (95%): 86.13% – 100%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Connecticut Sun will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 79:92.

Preview Facts

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 13 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ WNBA (Play Offs: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Connecticut won 3.
Connecticut has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
New York's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Connecticut may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, Connecticut has had a series of home games.
In this match, New York is seen as the favorite.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Connecticut won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 1520:1574. (average 76:78.7).
Including home matches between the teams, Connecticut won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 779:779. (average 77.9:77.9).

How many head-to-head matches has Connecticut Sun won against New York Liberty?

Connecticut Sun has won 5 of their last 16 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has New York Liberty won against Connecticut Sun?

New York Liberty has won 11 of their last 16 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Connecticut Sun - New York Liberty were as follows:

01.08.2025 Connecticut Sun - New York Liberty 78:62

01.06.2025 New York Liberty - Connecticut Sun 100:52

09.05.2025 New York Liberty - Connecticut Sun 86:94

24.08.2024 New York Liberty - Connecticut Sun 64:72

16.07.2024 New York Liberty - Connecticut Sun 82:74

Latest results of Connecticut Sun

01.08.2025 Connecticut Sun - New York Liberty 78:62 ✺

28.07.2025 Connecticut Sun - Seattle Storm 85:101 ✺

27.07.2025 Connecticut Sun - Golden State Valkyries 95:64 ✺

24.07.2025 Connecticut Sun - Los Angeles Sparks 86:101 ✺

15.07.2025 Connecticut Sun - Indiana Fever 77:85 ✺

Latest results of New York Liberty

01.08.2025 Connecticut Sun - New York Liberty 78:62 ✺

30.07.2025 Minnesota Lynx - New York Liberty 100:93 ✺

28.07.2025 Dallas Wings - New York Liberty 92:82 ✺

26.07.2025 New York Liberty - Los Angeles Sparks 99:101 ✺

25.07.2025 New York Liberty - Phoenix Mercury 89:76 ✺

WNBA Table

Main

Western Conference

		Pl	W	L		PCT
1	Minnesota Lynx W	36	29	7	3112:2750	0.806
2	Las Vegas Aces W	38	24	14	3148:3114	0.632
3	Phoenix Mercury W	36	22	14	2985:2879	0.611
4	Seattle Storm W	37	19	18	3048:2951	0.514
5	Golden State Valkyries W	36	18	18	2808:2791	0.500
6	Los Angeles Sparks W	35	17	18	3024:3098	0.486
7	Dallas Wings W	37	9	28	3015:3233	0.243

Eastern Conference

		Pl	W	L		PCT
1	Atlanta Dream W	37	24	13	3079:2849	0.649
2	New York Liberty W	37	22	15	3172:3018	0.595
3	Indiana Fever W	36	19	17	3063:2965	0.528
4	Washington Mystics W	37	16	21	2909:2992	0.432
5	Connecticut Sun W	36	9	27	2726:3072	0.250
6	Chicago Sky W	36	9	27	2735:3112	0.250

Overall Standings

		Pl	W	L		PCT
1	Minnesota Lynx W	36	29	7	3112:2750	0.806
2	Atlanta Dream W	37	24	13	3079:2849	0.649
3	Las Vegas Aces W	38	24	14	3148:3114	0.632
4	Phoenix Mercury W	36	22	14	2985:2879	0.611
5	New York Liberty W	37	22	15	3172:3018	0.595
6	Indiana Fever W	36	19	17	3063:2965	0.528
7	Seattle Storm W	37	19	18	3048:2951	0.514
8	Golden State Valkyries W	36	18	18	2808:2791	0.500
9	Los Angeles Sparks W	35	17	18	3024:3098	0.486
10	Washington Mystics W	37	16	21	2909:2992	0.432
11	Connecticut Sun W	36	9	27	2726:3072	0.250
12	Chicago Sky W	36	9	27	2735:3112	0.250
13	Dallas Wings W	37	9	28	3015:3233	0.243

Promotion ~ WNBA (Play Offs: )

Which TV channels are streaming of Connecticut Sun - New York Liberty?

It is being streamed on channel


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