Leinster vs Connacht: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Rugby union United Rugby Championship Leinster - Connacht
Result
20:12
21/12/2024 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • WORLD: United Rugby Championship - Round 8
Leinster - Connacht - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Tries
22
Conversion Goals
21
Conversion Goal Attempts
00
Penalty Goals
20
Penalty Goal Attempts
00
Goals %
00
Dropped Goals
00
Total Runs
00
Metres Run With Ball
00
Yellow Cards
21

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (14 - 0)
  • 19', Osborne A. (Try),
  • 20', Byrne R. (Conversion Goal),
  • 25', Jennings S. 🟨,
  • 26', Tector C. (Try),
  • 27', Byrne R. (Conversion Goal),
  • 2nd Half (6 - 12)
  • 42', Byrne H. (Penalty Goal),
  • 51', Barron L. 🟨,
  • 52', Dowling O. (Try),
  • 62', Jennings S. (Try),
  • 63', Forde C. (Conversion Goal),
  • 74', O'Brien J. 🟨,
  • 79', Byrne R. (Penalty Goal),

Chances of winning


Leinster
79.4%
Draw
3.2%
Connacht
17.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
84.7% 2.8% 12.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Leinster has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Leinster's form might have worsened.
  • Connacht has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)
  • Leinster - Connacht Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.16
    (1.1)
    28.78
    (33.04)
    5.28
    (7.45)
    8.5%
    (7.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 51.00
    • The most likely Handicap: 1 (-14)
    Preview Facts
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Leinster won 5.
    • In this match Leinster is indisputable favorite.
    • Last 20 head-to-head matches Leinster won 17 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 640:349 (average 32:17.5).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Leinster won 8 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 343:180 (average 34.3:18).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Leinster - Connacht were as follows:
    19.10.2024 Connacht - Leinster 12:33
    31.05.2024 Leinster - Connacht 33:7
    02.12.2023 Connacht - Leinster 22:24
    01.01.2023 Leinster - Connacht 41:12
    14.10.2022 Connacht - Leinster 0:10
    Latest results of Leinster
    14.12.2024 Leinster - Clermont 15:7
    08.12.2024 Bristol Rugby - Leinster 12:35
    29.11.2024 Ulster - Leinster 20:27
    26.10.2024 Leinster - Lions 24:6
    19.10.2024 Connacht - Leinster 12:33
    Latest results of Connacht
    15.12.2024 Perpignan - Connacht 18:31
    07.12.2024 Connacht - Zebre 43:12
    30.11.2024 Connacht - Blue Bulls 14:28
    19.10.2024 Connacht - Leinster 12:33
    United Rugby Championship Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLPts
    1Bulls220092:7110
    2Stormers220061:109
    3Munster220057:419
    4Zebre220053:489
    5Cardiff Rugby210153:437
    6Glasgow Warriors210149:356
    7Ulster110042:215
    8Connacht110026:155
    9Benetton210131:404
    10Edinburgh100128:312
    11Sharks201136:522
    12Dragons201138:592
    13Lions200240:551
    14Ospreys200250:791
    15Leinster200231:741
    16Scarlets100121:340

          Promotion ~ United Rugby Championship (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)

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