Cardiff Rugby vs Connacht: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Rugby union United Rugby Championship Cardiff Rugby - Connacht
11/10/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Cardiff Rugby - Connacht - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Chances of winning


Cardiff Rugby
60.3%
Draw
4.6%
Connacht
35.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
60.8% 4.6% 34.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Cardiff Rugby has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)
  • Connacht has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)
  • Cardiff Rugby - Connacht Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.53
    (1.52)
    19
    (20)
    2.66
    (2.66)
    8.5%
    (8.5%)
    • The most likely Handicap: 1 (-5)
    Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cardiff won 0.
    • Connacht may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Cardiff is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Cardiff won 8 matches, drew 1 match, lost 11 matches, and goals 386:456. (average 19.3:22.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Cardiff won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 188:161. (average 20.9:17.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Cardiff Rugby - Connacht were as follows:
    05.04.2025 Connacht - Cardiff Rugby 35:20
    15.02.2025 Connacht - Cardiff Rugby 24:19
    17.01.2025 Cardiff Rugby - Connacht 19:28
    17.02.2024 Cardiff Rugby - Connacht 12:16
    15.04.2023 Connacht - Cardiff Rugby 38:19
    Latest results of Cardiff Rugby
    04.10.2025 Munster - Cardiff Rugby 23:20
    27.09.2025 Cardiff Rugby - Lions 33:20
    16.05.2025 Stormers - Cardiff Rugby 34:24
    10.05.2025 Blue Bulls - Cardiff Rugby 45:21
    25.04.2025 Cardiff Rugby - Munster 26:21
    Latest results of Connacht
    04.10.2025 Connacht - Llanelli Scarlets Postponed
    27.09.2025 Connacht - Benetton Treviso 26:15
    17.05.2025 Zebre - Connacht 12:22
    10.05.2025 Connacht - Edinburgh 21:31
    26.04.2025 Lions - Connacht 26:7
    United Rugby Championship Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLPts
    1Bulls220092:7110
    2Stormers220061:109
    3Munster220057:419
    4Zebre220053:489
    5Cardiff Rugby210153:437
    6Glasgow Warriors210149:356
    7Ulster110042:215
    8Connacht110026:155
    9Benetton210131:404
    10Edinburgh100128:312
    11Sharks201136:522
    12Dragons201138:592
    13Lions200240:551
    14Ospreys200250:791
    15Leinster200231:741
    16Scarlets100121:340

          Promotion ~ United Rugby Championship (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)

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