Concarneau vs Fleury-Merogis: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer French National League Concarneau - Fleury-Merogis
Result
0:1
19/09/2025 at 13:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : National - Round 7
Concarneau - Fleury-Merogis - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Yellow Cards
34
Red Cards
10

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 6', 0 - 1, Farade K. , Badin C. (A),
  • 37', Goujon L. 🟨,
  • 37', Farade K. 🟨,
  • 45+1', Bovis E. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 50', Badin C. 🟨,
  • 59', Mercier N. , Gbelle G. ,
  • 65', Sinquin T. 🟨,
  • 65', Sinquin T. 🟨,
  • 68', Homssa N. , Lefebvre G. ,
  • 68', Lavigne V. , Rivas J. ,
  • 73', Soukouna Y. , El Khemiri Y. ,
  • 73', Etcheverria B. , Inquel S. ,
  • 78', Farade K. , Gannoun K. ,
  • 78', Badin C. , Sylla S. ,
  • 78', Halby J. , Daf O. ,
  • 80', Aubourg H. 🟨,
  • 86', Aubourg H. , Colombo F. ,

Chances of winning


Concarneau
30.8%
Draw
29.7%
Fleury-Merogis
39.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
38.2% 29.6% 32.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.1% 29.7% 32.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Concarneau has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Concarneau's form might have worsened.
  • Fleury-Merogis has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Fleury-Merogis's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Concarneau than the current prediction. (+7.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Concarneau, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fleury-Merogis than the current prediction. (-7.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Fleury-Merogis, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Concarneau - Fleury-Merogis Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.17
    (2.44)
    3.28
    (3.15)
    2.48
    (2.9)
    2.5%
    (7.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • Preview Facts
    • Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 7 and 9).
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Fleury-Merogis may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Concarneau has had a series of away games.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Concarneau won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.
    Latest results of Concarneau
    12.09.2025 Versailles - Concarneau 4:0
    05.09.2025 Concarneau - Quevilly 3:1
    29.08.2025 Aubagne - Concarneau 1:1
    15.08.2025 Concarneau - Ajaccio Postponed
    Latest results of Fleury-Merogis
    French National League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Rouen852113:6717
    2Sochaux741213:6713
    3Dijon734010:4613
    4Versailles641111:4713
    5Orleans84139:12-313
    6Aubagne73319:7212
    7Chateauroux825111:10111
    8Valenciennes83239:8111
    9Caen82428:7110
    10Fleury-Merogis73139:6310
    11Paris 13 Atl82248:12-48
    12Concarneau72236:10-48
    13Villefranche72234:9-58
    14Quevilly Rouen72149:10-17
    15Le Puy-en-Velay81438:12-47
    16Stade Briochin81258:15-75
    17Bourg en Bresse70343:10-73

          Promotion ~ Ligue 2
          Promotion ~ Ligue 2 (Promotion: )
          Relegation

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