Comerciantes Unidos vs Cusco: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Peruvian Liga 1 Comerciantes Unidos - Cusco
Result
1:2
24/05/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Liga 1 - Apertura - Round 14
  • Referee: Ordonez E. (Per)
Comerciantes Unidos - Cusco - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.651.47
Ball Possession
38%62%
Total shots
79
Shots on target
13
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
44
Passes
75% (212/283)88% (410/468)
Yellow Cards
25
Expected Goals (xG)
0.651.47
xG on target (xGOT)
0.911.65
Total shots
79
Shots on target
13
Shots off target
44
Blocked Shots
22
Shots inside the Box
55
Shots outside the Box
24
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
44
Touches in opposition box
1918
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
01
Free Kicks
1612
Passes
75% (212/283)88% (410/468)
Long passes
36% (22/61)46% (23/50)
Passes in final third
47% (27/58)71% (94/132)
Crosses
31% (5/16)13% (3/23)
Expected assists (xA)
0.640.59
Throw-ins
1826
Fouls
1216
Tackles
100% (12/12)75% (6/8)
Duels won
3735
Clearances
2617
Interceptions
99
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
10
xGOT faced
1.650.91
Goals prevented
-0.35-0.09

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 45+1', 0 - 1, Callejo F. (Pen),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 52', Gonzales S. , Garcia L. ,
  • 57', Colman I. , Aquino J. ,
  • 63', Ruidias M. 🟨,
  • 66', Paico K. , Campos H. ,
  • 66', Duclos F. , Lecaros A. ,
  • 66', 1 - 1, Sandoval R. , Campos H. (A),
  • 72', Marina J. 🟨,
  • 73', Ruidias M. , Zevallos J. ,
  • 75', Paredes G. , Parodi J. ,
  • 75', Marina J. , Vega J. ,
  • 77', Valenzuela O. 🟨,
  • 85', Saravia M. 🟨,
  • 87', Da Silva P. , Tevez J. ,
  • 88', Sen M. 🟨,
  • 90+3', 1 - 2, Callejo F. ,
  • 90+4', Callejo F. 🟨,
  • 90+11', Tevez J. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Comerciantes Unidos
31.8%
Draw
27.3%
Cusco
40.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
34.5% 28.1% 37.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.1% 27.8% 37.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Comerciantes Unidos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)
  • Cusco has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Comerciantes Unidos than the current prediction. (+2.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cusco than the current prediction. (-3.1%)
  • Comerciantes Unidos - Cusco Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.95
    (2.6)
    3.41
    (3.2)
    2.3
    (2.4)
    6.8%
    (11.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Comerciantes Unidos - Cusco?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Comerciantes Unidos will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Cusco will win (votes: 3 - 75%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 17 and 7).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Comerciantes Unidos won 2.
    • Recent form of Comerciantes Unidos has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Cusco is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Cusco may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • There will not play in Comerciantes Unidos: Sen M. (Yellow Cards)
    • In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Comerciantes Unidos won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 7 matches, and goals 15:18. (average 1.3:1.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Comerciantes Unidos won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:9. (average 1.3:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Comerciantes Unidos - Cusco were as follows:
    14.09.2024 Cusco - Comerciantes Unidos 2:1
    08.04.2024 Comerciantes Unidos - Cusco 0:1
    25.09.2022 Comerciantes Unidos - Cusco 2:1
    Latest results of Comerciantes Unidos
    Latest results of Cusco
    17.05.2025 Cusco - Los Chankas 3:3
    28.04.2025 ADT Tarma - Cusco 2:1
    19.04.2025 Cusco - Ayacucho 3:0
    Peruvian Liga 1 Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1U. de Deportes16112337:122535
    2Alianza Lima16103318:10833
    3Alianza Atl16101527:161131
    4FBC Melgar1685326:18829
    5Cusco1684429:191028
    6Sporting Cristal1691628:22628
    7Deportivo Garcilaso1783628:181027
    8Sport Huancayo1683522:18427
    9Cienciano1657428:23522
    10Los Chankas1656523:24-121
    11Sport Boys1655625:25020
    12AD Tarma1655622:29-720
    13Grau1647520:22-219
    14Cajamarca1653817:33-1618
    15Binacional1645718:27-917
    16Juan Pablo II1543818:25-715
    17Comerciantes Unidos1625917:29-1211
    18Ayacucho16231112:27-159
    19Alianza Huanuco16151014:32-188

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