Alianza Atlético vs Comerciantes Unidos: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Peruvian Liga 1 Alianza Atlético - Comerciantes Unidos
12/06/2025 at 16:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Alianza Atlético - Comerciantes Unidos - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Chances of winning


Alianza Atlético
70.9%
Draw
19.5%
Comerciantes Unidos
9.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
67.6% 20.3% 12.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71.8% 19.1% 11.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Alianza Atlético has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)
  • Comerciantes Unidos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alianza Atlético than the current prediction. (+0.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Comerciantes Unidos than the current prediction. (+1.7%)
  • Alianza Atlético - Comerciantes Unidos Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.31
    (1.4)
    4.82
    (4.67)
    9.43
    (7.85)
    7.4%
    (5.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Alianza Atlético won 2.
    • Alianza Atlético has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • Comerciantes Unidos is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Comerciantes Unidos may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Alianza Atlético is the undeniable favorite.
    • We predict that Alianza Atlético will win today's game, with odds of 1.32.
    • In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Alianza Atlético won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 18:19. (average 1.6:1.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Alianza Atlético won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 12:6. (average 2:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Alianza Atlético - Comerciantes Unidos were as follows:
    23.09.2024 Alianza Atlético - Comerciantes Unidos 1:0
    23.04.2024 Comerciantes Unidos - Alianza Atlético 0:0
    Latest results of Alianza Atlético
    Latest results of Comerciantes Unidos
    Peruvian Liga 1 Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1U. de Deportes1382329:121726
    2Alianza Lima1382316:10626
    3FBC Melgar1374222:14825
    4Alianza Atl1381420:12825
    5Sport Huancayo1381420:15525
    6Deportivo Garcilaso1472524:141023
    7Cusco1372425:18723
    8Sporting Cristal1371522:17522
    9AD Tarma1454522:24-219
    10Cienciano1345423:19417
    11Sport Boys1344520:21-116
    12Los Chankas1336418:19-115
    13Grau1236317:18-115
    14Cajamarca1342714:29-1514
    15Binacional1334615:23-813
    16Juan Pablo II1232713:20-711
    17Ayacucho1323810:22-129
    18Comerciantes Unidos1215614:23-98
    19Alianza Huanuco1314811:25-147

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