Result
3:0
12/06/2025 at 16:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- : Liga 1 - Apertura - Round 15
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Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
2.43 | 0.09 |
Ball Possession |
---|
40% | 60% |
Total shots |
---|
17 | 2 |
Shots on target |
---|
6 | 1 |
Big Chances |
---|
3 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
5 | 3 |
Passes |
---|
79% (225/285) | 82% (359/436) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
0 | 3 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
2.43 | 0.09 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
2.76 | 0.22 |
Total shots |
---|
17 | 2 |
Shots on target |
---|
6 | 1 |
Shots off target |
---|
8 | 0 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
3 | 1 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
12 | 1 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
5 | 1 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
1 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
3 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
5 | 3 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
28 | 4 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
0 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
2 | 1 |
Free Kicks |
---|
10 | 15 |
Passes |
---|
79% (225/285) | 82% (359/436) |
Long passes |
---|
62% (28/45) | 49% (34/69) |
Passes in final third |
---|
63% (65/103) | 71% (57/80) |
Crosses |
---|
27% (4/15) | 23% (3/13) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
1.50 | 0.27 |
Throw-ins |
---|
23 | 17 |
Fouls |
---|
15 | 10 |
Tackles |
---|
72% (13/18) | 67% (8/12) |
Duels won |
---|
39 | 41 |
Clearances |
---|
9 | 22 |
Interceptions |
---|
16 | 9 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
1 | 3 |
xGOT faced |
---|
0.22 | 2.76 |
Goals prevented |
---|
0.22 | -0.24 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 17', 1 - 0, Graneros A. ⚽, Benincasa H. (A),
- 27', 2 - 0, Lupu H. ⚽, Olmedo L. (A),
- 40', Sandoval R. 🟨,
- 42', Marina J. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Lecaros A. ↓, Campos H. ↑,
- 62', Larios Saavedra G. A. ↓, Diaz R. ↑,
- 62', Lupu H. ↓, Castro R. ↑,
- 66', Garcia L. ↓, Pena K. ↑,
- 68', 3 - 0, Diaz R. ⚽, Olmedo L. (A),
- 71', Perleche E. ↓, Cossio A. ↑,
- 74', Paredes G. ↓, Portugal B. ↑,
- 76', Olmedo L. ↓, Illanes F. ↑,
- 77', Graneros A. ↓, Perez J. ↑,
- 84', Paico K. 🟨,
- 86', Alfaro Martinez G. E. ↓, Mendez P. ↑,
- 86', Marina J. ↓, Vega J. ↑,
Chances of winning
Alianza Atlético 69.9% | Draw 20.1% | Comerciantes Unidos 10% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Alianza Atlético has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)Comerciantes Unidos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alianza Atlético than the current prediction. (+1.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Comerciantes Unidos than the current prediction. (+1.4%)
Alianza Atlético - Comerciantes Unidos Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.33 ↓ (1.4) |
4.65 ↓ (4.67) |
9.2 ↑ (7.85) |
7.8% (5.6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Alianza Atlético - Comerciantes Unidos?
Users Predictions:
13 users predict this event. Alianza Atlético will win (votes: 12 - 92.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 7.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Alianza Atlético: 77.8% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Alianza Atlético (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -1.5 - Alianza Atlético (votes: 8 - 88.9%).
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Alianza Atlético won 2.
- Alianza Atlético has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).
- Comerciantes Unidos's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Alianza Atlético may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Alianza Atlético is the clear favorite.
- There will not play in Alianza Atlético: Melian D.
(Ankle Injury)
- There will not play in Comerciantes Unidos: Sen M.
(Yellow Cards)
- We predict that Alianza Atlético will win today's game, with odds of 1.31.
- In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Alianza Atlético won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 18:19. (average 1.6:1.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Alianza Atlético won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 12:6. (average 2:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Alianza Atlético won against Comerciantes Unidos?
Alianza Atlético has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Comerciantes Unidos won against Alianza Atlético?
Comerciantes Unidos has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Alianza Atlético - Comerciantes Unidos were as follows:
23.09.2024
Alianza Atlético
-
Comerciantes Unidos
1:0
23.04.2024
Comerciantes Unidos
-
Alianza Atlético
0:0
Latest results of Alianza Atlético
Latest results of Comerciantes Unidos
Peruvian Liga 1 Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | U. de Deportes | 16 | 11 | 2 | 3 | 37:12 | 25 | 35 |
2 | Alianza Lima | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 18:10 | 8 | 33 |
3 | Alianza Atl | 16 | 10 | 1 | 5 | 27:16 | 11 | 31 |
4 | FBC Melgar | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 26:18 | 8 | 29 |
5 | Cusco | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 29:19 | 10 | 28 |
6 | Sporting Cristal | 16 | 9 | 1 | 6 | 28:22 | 6 | 28 |
7 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 28:18 | 10 | 27 |
8 | Sport Huancayo | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 22:18 | 4 | 27 |
9 | Cienciano | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 28:23 | 5 | 22 |
10 | Los Chankas | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 23:24 | -1 | 21 |
11 | Sport Boys | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 25:25 | 0 | 20 |
12 | AD Tarma | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 22:29 | -7 | 20 |
13 | Grau | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 20:22 | -2 | 19 |
14 | Cajamarca | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 17:33 | -16 | 18 |
15 | Binacional | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 18:27 | -9 | 17 |
16 | Juan Pablo II | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 18:25 | -7 | 15 |
17 | Comerciantes Unidos | 16 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 17:29 | -12 | 11 |
18 | Ayacucho | 16 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 12:27 | -15 | 9 |
19 | Alianza Huanuco | 16 | 1 | 5 | 10 | 14:32 | -18 | 8 |
Promotion ~ Liga 1 (Play Offs: )
Which TV channels are streaming of Alianza Atlético - Comerciantes Unidos?
It is being streamed on various channels, including:
| |
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Mexico | Fanatiz |
Peru | Liga 1 Max, Liga 1 Play |
Usa | Fanatiz |