Comerciantes Unidos vs Alianza Atlético: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Peruvian Liga 1 Comerciantes Unidos - Alianza Atlético
18/10/2025 at 16:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Comerciantes Unidos - Alianza Atlético - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Chances of winning


Comerciantes Unidos
41.6%
Draw
30.5%
Alianza Atlético
27.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
39.1% 28.2% 32.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.8% 28.4% 33%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Comerciantes Unidos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)
  • Alianza Atlético has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Comerciantes Unidos than the current prediction. (-2.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alianza Atlético than the current prediction. (+5.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Alianza Atlético could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Comerciantes Unidos - Alianza Atlético Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.26
    (2.38)
    3.05
    (3.3)
    3.33
    (2.85)
    7.2%
    (7.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Comerciantes Unidos won 1.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Alianza Atlético may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Comerciantes Unidos could have a small edge in this match.
    • In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Comerciantes Unidos won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 7 matches, and goals 19:21. (average 1.6:1.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Comerciantes Unidos won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 13:6. (average 2.6:1.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Comerciantes Unidos - Alianza Atlético were as follows:
    12.06.2025 Alianza Atlético - Comerciantes Unidos 3:0
    23.09.2024 Alianza Atlético - Comerciantes Unidos 1:0
    23.04.2024 Comerciantes Unidos - Alianza Atlético 0:0
    Latest results of Comerciantes Unidos
    Latest results of Alianza Atlético
    Peruvian Liga 1 Table
    Clausura
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1U. de Deportes1293023:81530
    2Cusco1272319:11823
    3FBC Melgar1456320:14621
    4Deportivo Garcilaso1356217:16121
    5AD Tarma1363417:17021
    6Sporting Cristal1154220:81219
    7Alianza Lima1253418:14418
    8Cienciano1253418:15318
    9Alianza Atl1244411:8316
    10Comerciantes Unidos1244414:17-316
    11Sport Huancayo1343623:22115
    12Grau1243516:15115
    13Los Chankas1150614:24-1015
    14Alianza Huanuco1341815:26-1113
    15Sport Boys1233610:16-612
    16Juan Pablo II122559:15-611
    17Ayacucho1232710:19-911
    18Cajamarca121389:18-96
    19Binacional00000:000

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