Alianza Atlético vs Comerciantes Unidos: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Peruvian Liga 1 Alianza Atlético - Comerciantes Unidos
Result
3:0
12/06/2025 at 16:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Liga 1 - Apertura - Round 15
Alianza Atlético - Comerciantes Unidos - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.430.09
Ball Possession
40%60%
Total shots
172
Shots on target
61
Big Chances
30
Corner Kicks
53
Passes
79% (225/285)82% (359/436)
Yellow Cards
03
Expected Goals (xG)
2.430.09
xG on target (xGOT)
2.760.22
Total shots
172
Shots on target
61
Shots off target
80
Blocked Shots
31
Shots inside the Box
121
Shots outside the Box
51
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
30
Corner Kicks
53
Touches in opposition box
284
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
21
Free Kicks
1015
Passes
79% (225/285)82% (359/436)
Long passes
62% (28/45)49% (34/69)
Passes in final third
63% (65/103)71% (57/80)
Crosses
27% (4/15)23% (3/13)
Expected assists (xA)
1.500.27
Throw-ins
2317
Fouls
1510
Tackles
72% (13/18)67% (8/12)
Duels won
3941
Clearances
922
Interceptions
169
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
13
xGOT faced
0.222.76
Goals prevented
0.22-0.24

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 17', 1 - 0, Graneros A. , Benincasa H. (A),
  • 27', 2 - 0, Lupu H. , Olmedo L. (A),
  • 40', Sandoval R. 🟨,
  • 42', Marina J. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Lecaros A. , Campos H. ,
  • 62', Larios Saavedra G. A. , Diaz R. ,
  • 62', Lupu H. , Castro R. ,
  • 66', Garcia L. , Pena K. ,
  • 68', 3 - 0, Diaz R. , Olmedo L. (A),
  • 71', Perleche E. , Cossio A. ,
  • 74', Paredes G. , Portugal B. ,
  • 76', Olmedo L. , Illanes F. ,
  • 77', Graneros A. , Perez J. ,
  • 84', Paico K. 🟨,
  • 86', Alfaro Martinez G. E. , Mendez P. ,
  • 86', Marina J. , Vega J. ,

Chances of winning


Alianza Atlético
69.9%
Draw
20.1%
Comerciantes Unidos
10%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
67.6% 20.3% 12.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71.8% 19.1% 11.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Alianza Atlético has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)
  • Comerciantes Unidos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alianza Atlético than the current prediction. (+1.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Comerciantes Unidos than the current prediction. (+1.4%)
  • Alianza Atlético - Comerciantes Unidos Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.33
    (1.4)
    4.65
    (4.67)
    9.2
    (7.85)
    7.8%
    (5.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Alianza Atlético - Comerciantes Unidos?
  • Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Alianza Atlético will win (votes: 12 - 92.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 7.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Alianza Atlético: 77.8%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Alianza Atlético (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -1.5 - Alianza Atlético (votes: 8 - 88.9%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Alianza Atlético won 2.
    • Alianza Atlético has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • Comerciantes Unidos's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Alianza Atlético may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Alianza Atlético is the clear favorite.
    • There will not play in Alianza Atlético: Melian D. (Ankle Injury)
    • There will not play in Comerciantes Unidos: Sen M. (Yellow Cards)
    • We predict that Alianza Atlético will win today's game, with odds of 1.31.
    • In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Alianza Atlético won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 18:19. (average 1.6:1.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Alianza Atlético won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 12:6. (average 2:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Alianza Atlético - Comerciantes Unidos were as follows:
    23.09.2024 Alianza Atlético - Comerciantes Unidos 1:0
    23.04.2024 Comerciantes Unidos - Alianza Atlético 0:0
    Latest results of Alianza Atlético
    Latest results of Comerciantes Unidos
    Peruvian Liga 1 Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1U. de Deportes16112337:122535
    2Alianza Lima16103318:10833
    3Alianza Atl16101527:161131
    4FBC Melgar1685326:18829
    5Cusco1684429:191028
    6Sporting Cristal1691628:22628
    7Deportivo Garcilaso1783628:181027
    8Sport Huancayo1683522:18427
    9Cienciano1657428:23522
    10Los Chankas1656523:24-121
    11Sport Boys1655625:25020
    12AD Tarma1655622:29-720
    13Grau1647520:22-219
    14Cajamarca1653817:33-1618
    15Binacional1645718:27-917
    16Juan Pablo II1543818:25-715
    17Comerciantes Unidos1625917:29-1211
    18Ayacucho16231112:27-159
    19Alianza Huanuco16151014:32-188

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