Comerciantes Belén vs Moquegua: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Peruvian Liga 2 Comerciantes Belén - Moquegua
Result
1:1
14/06/2025 at 16:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Liga 2 - Round 11
Comerciantes Belén - Moquegua - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Yellow Cards
04
Red Cards
10

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 42', 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 51', Aburto B. 🟥,
  • 56', Hurtado C. , Zambrano J. ,
  • 59', 🟨,
  • 62', Lopez J. , Lasso C. ,
  • 63', Sanchez D. , Rivera B. ,
  • 63', Jimenez J. , Ramirez C. ,
  • 67', 1 - 0, Zambrano J. ,
  • 68', Dominguez J. , Lemos M. ,
  • 69', Mena Y. , Flores L. ,
  • 69', Granda J. , Osorio A. ,
  • 81', Moreno K. , Cuero J. ,
  • 82', Valverde M. , Vela P. ,
  • 83', Santibanez S. 🟨,
  • 90+5', Rivera B. 🟨,
  • 90+6', 1 - 1, ,

Chances of winning


Comerciantes Belén
56.8%
Draw
25.4%
Moquegua
17.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
60.9% 23.8% 15.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.4% 24.8% 14.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Comerciantes Belén has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)
  • Moquegua has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Comerciantes Belén than the current prediction. (+6.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Comerciantes Belén, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Moquegua than the current prediction. (-3.1%)
  • Comerciantes Belén - Moquegua Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.58
    (1.49)
    3.53
    (3.8)
    5.03
    (5.94)
    11.6%
    (10.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • Preview Facts
    • The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga 2 (Promotion Group: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga 2 (Promotion Group: )).
    • Comerciantes is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Moquegua is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • In this match, Comerciantes is the team to beat.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Comerciantes won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:4. (average 2:1.3).
    • Including home match between the teams, Comerciantes won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Comerciantes Belén - Moquegua were as follows:
    26.04.2025 Moquegua - Comerciantes Belén 1:2
    06.06.2024 Moquegua - Comerciantes Belén 1:2
    07.04.2024 Comerciantes Belén - Moquegua 2:2
    Latest results of Comerciantes Belén
    Latest results of Moquegua
    07.06.2025 Moquegua - Cantolao 3:0
    31.05.2025 Santos - Moquegua 1:1
    18.05.2025 Moquegua - Unión Comercio 1:0
    Peruvian Liga 2 Table
    Promotion Group

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Tacna Heroica10102:201
    2Moquegua10102:201
    3Cesar Vallejo10100:001
    4FC Cajamarca10100:001
    5Carlos Mannucci00000:000


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Union Comercio11002:023
    2San Marcos10100:001
    3ADA Jaen10100:001
    4Santos00000:000
    5Comerciantes10010:2-20

          Promotion ~ Liga 2 (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Promotion ~ Liga 2 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)

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