Comerciantes Belén vs Santos: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Peruvian Liga 2 Comerciantes Belén - Santos
16/08/2025 at 16:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Liga 2 - Promotion Group - Round 5
Comerciantes Belén - Santos - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Chances of winning


Comerciantes Belén
51.3%
Draw
25.5%
Santos
23.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
51.4% 24.8% 23.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.4% 24.8% 23.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Comerciantes Belén has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)
  • Santos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Comerciantes Belén than the current prediction. (+0.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santos than the current prediction. (+0.6%)
  • Comerciantes Belén - Santos Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.75
    (1.77)
    3.53
    (3.67)
    3.88
    (3.82)
    11.3%
    (9.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Comerciantes won 3.
    • Recent form of Comerciantes has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Santos's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Santos may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Comerciantes is considered a favorite.
    • In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Comerciantes won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 6:2. (average 1:0.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Comerciantes won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:2. (average 1.5:0.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Comerciantes Belén - Santos were as follows:
    25.05.2025 Comerciantes Belén - Santos 3:2
    29.06.2024 Comerciantes Belén - Santos 1:0
    11.10.2023 Santos - Comerciantes Belén Canceled
    02.10.2023 Comerciantes Belén - Santos 1:0
    15.08.2023 Santos - Comerciantes Belén 0:0
    Latest results of Comerciantes Belén
    Latest results of Santos
    09.08.2025 Santos - San Marcos 3:0
    03.08.2025 ADA Jaén - Santos 1:2
    26.07.2025 Santos - Unión Comercio 0:2
    06.07.2025 Santos - Cantolao 2:0
    Peruvian Liga 2 Table
    Promotion Group

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Tacna Heroica42117:707
    2Carlos Mannucci32015:236
    3Moquegua31115:6-15
    4Cesar Vallejo31114:314
    5FC Cajamarca30121:4-33


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Union Comercio33006:069
    2Santos32015:326
    3San Marcos31111:3-25
    4Comerciantes30121:4-33
    5ADA Jaen40222:5-32

          Promotion ~ Liga 2 (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Promotion ~ Liga 2 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)

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