San Marcos vs Comerciantes Belén: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Peruvian Liga 2 San Marcos - Comerciantes Belén
Result
1:0
01/08/2025 at 18:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Liga 2 - Promotion Group - Round 3
San Marcos - Comerciantes Belén - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Yellow Cards
33

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 7', 1 - 0, Paz L. ,
  • 27', Hurtado C. , Aburto B. ,
  • 38', Moyano D. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 54', Navarro J. 🟨,
  • 58', 🟨,
  • 63', Soto J. , Rodriguez L. ,
  • 68', Pinedo D. , Ulloa J. ,
  • 70', 🟨,
  • 70', 🟨,
  • 70', 🟨,
  • 71', Paz L. , Carrillo A. ,

Chances of winning


San Marcos
55.6%
Draw
27%
Comerciantes Belén
17.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
41.2% 29.5% 29.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.1% 28.2% 28%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • San Marcos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in San Marcos's performance.
  • Comerciantes Belén has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Comerciantes Belén might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Marcos than the current prediction. (-12.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with San Marcos that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Comerciantes Belén than the current prediction. (+10.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Comerciantes Belén could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • San Marcos - Comerciantes Belén Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.63
    (2.2)
    3.36
    (3.08)
    5.21
    (3.1)
    10.2%
    (10.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for San Marcos - Comerciantes Belén?
  • Users Predictions: San Marcos will win (27 of 29 users predict this - 93.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 83.88%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): San Marcos will win (12 of 12 users predict this - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • San Marcos is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Comerciantes has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • San Marcos may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • San Marcos might have a minor edge in this game.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, San Marcos won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:6. (average 0.5:3).
    • Including home match between the teams, San Marcos won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between San Marcos - Comerciantes Belén were as follows:
    17.09.2024 San Marcos - Comerciantes Belén 1:1
    23.08.2024 Comerciantes Belén - San Marcos 5:0
    Latest results of San Marcos
    Peruvian Liga 2 Table
    Promotion Group

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Tacna Heroica32105:327
    2Moquegua21104:224
    3Carlos Mannucci21011:103
    4Cesar Vallejo20110:1-11
    5FC Cajamarca30121:4-31


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Union Comercio22004:046
    2San Marcos21101:014
    3ADA Jaen20201:102
    4Comerciantes30121:4-31
    5Santos10010:2-20

          Promotion ~ Liga 2 (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Promotion ~ Liga 2 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)

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