Comerciantes Belén vs ADA Jaén: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Peruvian Liga 2 Comerciantes Belén - ADA Jaén
Result
1:1
26/07/2025 at 16:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Liga 2 - Promotion Group - Round 2
Comerciantes Belén - ADA Jaén - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Yellow Cards
12

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 11', Cubas A. 🟨,
  • 40', 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 50', 0 - 1, Rodriguez F. ,
  • 58', Arevalo F. , Tuesta J. ,
  • 63', Tuesta J. 🟨,
  • 65', Duque L. , Nunez J. ,
  • 65', Crespo H. , Maciel E. ,
  • 71', Valverde M. , Lemos M. ,
  • 72', 1 - 1, Dominguez J. ,

Chances of winning


Comerciantes Belén
54.1%
Draw
26.8%
ADA Jaén
19.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
48% 28.5% 23.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.6% 28.9% 23.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Comerciantes Belén has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Comerciantes Belén's performance.
  • ADA Jaén has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Comerciantes Belén than the current prediction. (-5.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Comerciantes Belén that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for ADA Jaén than the current prediction. (+4.1%)
  • Comerciantes Belén - ADA Jaén Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.66
    (1.89)
    3.35
    (3.18)
    4.71
    (3.84)
    11.4%
    (10.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • Preview Facts
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • In this match, Comerciantes is a strong favorite.
    • In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.
    Latest results of ADA Jaén
    20.07.2025 ADA Jaén - San Marcos 0:0
    28.06.2025 Pirata - ADA Jaén 1:1
    13.06.2025 San Marcos - ADA Jaén 0:1
    Peruvian Liga 2 Table
    Promotion Group

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Tacna Heroica32105:327
    2Moquegua21104:224
    3Carlos Mannucci21011:103
    4Cesar Vallejo20110:1-11
    5FC Cajamarca30121:4-31


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Union Comercio22004:046
    2San Marcos21101:014
    3ADA Jaen20201:102
    4Comerciantes30121:4-31
    5Santos10010:2-20

          Promotion ~ Liga 2 (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Promotion ~ Liga 2 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)

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