Colton Smith vs Stefano Napolitano: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Tennis ATP Roland Garros Colton Smith - Stefano Napolitano
Result
1:2
19/05/2025 at 07:20 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: French Open - Qualification, clay - Quarter-finals
Colton Smith - Stefano Napolitano - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Aces
65
Double Faults
53
1st Serve Percentage
64%66%
1st Serve Points Won
62% (39/63)66% (38/58)
2nd Serve Points Won
42% (15/36)53% (16/30)
Break Points Saved
55% (6/11)40% (2/5)
1st Return Points Won
34% (20/58)38% (24/63)
2nd Return Points Won
47% (14/30)58% (21/36)
Break Points Converted
60% (3/5)45% (5/11)
Winners
3424
Unforced Errors
3928
Net Points Won
78% (14/18)81% (13/16)
Service Points Won
55% (54/99)61% (54/88)
Return Points Won
39% (34/88)45% (45/99)
Total Points Won
47% (88/187)53% (99/187)
Last 10 Balls
55
Match Points Saved
20
Service Games Won
64% (9/14)79% (11/14)
Return Games Won
21% (3/14)36% (5/14)
Total Games Won
43% (12/28)57% (16/28)

Chances of winning


Colton Smith
58.5%
Stefano Napolitano
41.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
72.8% 27.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

72% 28%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Colton Smith has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Colton Smith's form might have worsened.
  • Stefano Napolitano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Stefano Napolitano's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Colton Smith than the current prediction. (+13.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Colton Smith, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stefano Napolitano than the current prediction. (-13.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Stefano Napolitano, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Colton Smith - Stefano Napolitano Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.6
    (1.3)

    2.26
    (3.48)
    6.7%
    (5.7%)
    What is the prediction for Colton Smith - Stefano Napolitano?
    The most likely score is 2:0. User prediction is will win! ( of users predict this).
    Preview Facts
    • Smith is ranked ATP: 162. Napolitano is ranked ATP: 440.
    • Smith is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Napolitano has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Napolitano may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Smith could have a small edge in this match.
    • The players have not played against each other recently.
    Latest results of Colton Smith
    Latest results of Stefano Napolitano
    Draw
    2025

    Quarter-finals
    1Coric B. (1)Droguet T.
    2Gea A. (WC)Blockx A.
    3Galarneau A.Martineau M. (WC)1 : 2
    4Buse I.Hanfmann Y. (19)1 : 2
    5Shevchenko A. (2)Mochizuki S.2 : 1
    6McCabe J.Erhard M. (WC)0 : 2
    7Trungelliti M.Neumayer L.
    8Misolic F.Draxl L. (31)
    9Basavareddy N. (3)Collarini A.1 : 2
    10Pacheco Mendez R.Guillen Meza A.0 : 2
    11Sultanov K.Ramos A.0 : 2
    12Lestienne C.Burruchaga R. A. (25)0 : 2
    13Tseng C. H. (4)Arnaboldi F.
    14Mmoh M.Hemery C.
    15Marterer M.Butvilas E.2 : 0
    16Bouquier A.Coria F. (30)1 : 2
    17Holt B. (5)Trotter J. K.0 : 2
    18Kubler J.Moro Canas A.2 : 1
    19van Rijthoven T.Gueymard Wayenburg S. (WC)0 : 2
    20Hassan B.Kotov P. (26)2 : 0
    21Harris B. (6)Evans D.
    22Tabur C. (WC)Tu L.
    23Jianu F. C.Kovalik J.
    24Squire H.Meligeni Alves F. (17)
    25Fognini F. (7)Moreno De Alboran N.0 : 2
    26Den Ouden G.Klein L.1 : 2
    27Rodesch C.Blanchet U.
    28Garin C.Mayot H. (32)
    29Cilic M. (8)Wu Y.
    30Martin Tiffon P.Kouame M. (WC)
    31Harris L.Huesler M.
    32Escoffier A.Virtanen O. (23)
    33Eubanks C. (9)Rodionov J.
    34Krueger M.Nagal S.
    35Smith C.Napolitano S.1 : 2
    36Jacquet K.Daniel T. (27)2 : 0
    37Moller E. (10)Bagnis F.2 : 0
    38Shimizu Y.Coppejans K.0 : 2
    39Zhukayev B.Svajda Z.0 : 2
    40Gigante M.Kym J. (21)2 : 1
    41Quinn E. (11)Lajal M.2 : 0
    42Wong C.Tomic B.0 : 2
    43Cassone M.Holmgren A.0 : 2
    44Ficovich J. P.Tirante T. A. (24)0 : 2
    45Cerundolo J. M. (12)Onclin G.
    46Habib H.Mena F.
    47Dougaz A.Popko D.
    48Jasika O.Galan D. E. (18)
    49Barrios Vera T. (13)Pavlovic L.
    50Bertrand R. (WC)Rocha H.
    51Kachmazov A.Skatov T.
    52van Assche L.Mannarino A. (20)
    53Seyboth Wild T. (14)Uchiyama Y.
    54Blancaneaux G. (WC)Kukushkin M.
    55Basilashvili N.Brouwer G.
    56Vacherot V.Taberner C. (28)
    57Spizzirri E. (15)Grenier H.
    58Zeppieri G.Choinski J.
    59Landaluce M.Dellien Velasco M. A.2 : 1
    60Malige M. (WC)Gomez F. A. (29)0 : 2
    61Boyer T. (16)Rincon D.2 : 0
    62Gaubas V.Ajdukovic D.2 : 1
    63Llamas Ruiz P.Bolt A.2 : 1
    64Barrere G.Svrcina D. (22)0 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2Martineau M.Hanfmann Y. (19)
    3Shevchenko A. (2)Erhard M.
    4TBD #7TBD #8
    5Collarini A.Guillen Meza A.
    6Ramos A.Burruchaga R. A. (25)
    7TBD #13TBD #14
    8Marterer M.Coria F. (30)
    9Trotter J. K.Kubler J.
    10Gueymard Wayenburg S.Hassan B.
    11TBD #21TBD #22
    12TBD #23TBD #24
    13Moreno De Alboran N.Klein L.
    14TBD #27TBD #28
    15TBD #29TBD #30
    16TBD #31TBD #32
    17TBD #33TBD #34
    18Napolitano S.Jacquet K.
    19Moller E. (10)Coppejans K.
    20Svajda Z.Gigante M.
    21Quinn E. (11)Tomic B.
    22Holmgren A.Tirante T. A. (24)
    23TBD #45TBD #46
    24TBD #47TBD #48
    25TBD #49TBD #50
    26TBD #51TBD #52
    27TBD #53TBD #54
    28TBD #55TBD #56
    29TBD #57TBD #58
    30Landaluce M.Gomez F. A. (29)
    31Boyer T. (16)Gaubas V.
    32Llamas Ruiz P.Svrcina D. (22)

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8
    5TBD #9TBD #10
    6TBD #11TBD #12
    7TBD #13TBD #14
    8TBD #15TBD #16
    9TBD #17TBD #18
    10TBD #19TBD #20
    11TBD #21TBD #22
    12TBD #23TBD #24
    13TBD #25TBD #26
    14TBD #27TBD #28
    15TBD #29TBD #30
    16TBD #31TBD #32
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