Colton Smith vs Nikoloz Basilashvili: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Tennis ATP Cincinnati Colton Smith - Nikoloz Basilashvili
Result
2:0
06/08/2025 at 14:40 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Cincinnati - Qualification, hard - Final
Colton Smith - Nikoloz Basilashvili - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Aces
111
Double Faults
19
1st Serve Percentage
78%49%
1st Serve Points Won
90% (35/39)65% (22/34)
2nd Serve Points Won
45% (5/11)42% (15/36)
Break Points Saved
67% (2/3)50% (4/8)
1st Return Points Won
50% (17/34)10% (4/39)
2nd Return Points Won
58% (21/36)55% (6/11)
Break Points Converted
50% (4/8)33% (1/3)
Winners
2113
Unforced Errors
1435
Net Points Won
100% (3/3)0% (0/1)
Service Points Won
80% (39/49)54% (37/68)
Return Points Won
46% (31/68)20% (10/49)
Total Points Won
60% (70/117)40% (47/117)
Last 10 Balls
82
Match Points Saved
00
Service Games Won
90% (9/10)56% (5/9)
Return Games Won
44% (4/9)10% (1/10)
Total Games Won
68% (13/19)32% (6/19)

Chances of winning


Colton Smith
55.3%
Nikoloz Basilashvili
44.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
56.6% 43.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.6% 41.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Colton Smith has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)
  • Nikoloz Basilashvili has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Colton Smith than the current prediction. (+3.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nikoloz Basilashvili than the current prediction. (-3.3%)
  • Colton Smith - Nikoloz Basilashvili Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.69
    (1.67)

    2.09
    (2.18)
    7.1%
    (5.8%)
    What is the prediction for Colton Smith - Nikoloz Basilashvili?
  • Users Predictions: Nikoloz Basilashvili will win (11 of 12 users predict this - 91.67%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 76.03%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Nikoloz Basilashvili will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Smith is ranked ATP: 136. Basilashvili is ranked ATP: 112.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Smith may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.
    • Recently, the players have not faced each other.
    Latest results of Colton Smith
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/64-finals
    1Sinner J. (1)Bye
    2Galan D. E. (Q)Kopriva V.2 : 0
    3Baez S.Goffin D.
    4ByeDiallo G. (30)
    5Machac T. (19)Bye
    6Thompson J.Mannarino A. (Q)
    7Martinez P.Jarry N. (WC)2 : 1
    8ByePaul T. (13)
    9Ruud C. (11)Bye
    10Rinderknech A.Borges N.2 : 0
    11Etcheverry T. M.Shang J.
    12ByeAuger-Aliassime F. (23)
    13Tsitsipas S. (25)Bye
    14Smith C. (Q)Marozsan F.
    15Bonzi B.Arnaldi M.2 : 1
    16ByeMusetti L. (8)
    17Fritz T. (4)Bye
    18Coric B.Nava E. (Q)
    19Bergs Z.Fearnley J.2 : 0
    20ByeSonego L. (31)
    21Davidovich Fokina A. (17)Bye
    22Fonseca J.Bu Y.2 : 1
    23Atmane T. (Q)Nishioka Y.2 : 0
    24ByeCobolli F. (15)
    25Tiafoe F. (10)Bye
    26Carballes Baena R.Gaston H.2 : 1
    27Mpetshi Perricard G.Wong C. (Q)0 : 2
    28ByeHumbert U. (20)
    29Michelsen A. (28)Bye
    30Moutet C.McDonald M.
    31Safiullin R.Tabilo A.2 : 0
    32ByeRune H. (7)
    33Shelton B. (5)Bye
    34Ugo Carabelli C.Nishikori K.
    35Altmaier D.Bautista-Agut R.
    36ByeNorrie C. (32)
    37Lehecka J. (22)Bye
    38Boyer T. (WC)Holt B. (WC)
    39Walton A.Navone M. (LL)
    40ByeMedvedev D. (12)
    41Khachanov K. (14)Bye
    42Ofner S. (PR)Royer V. (Q)
    43Brooksby J. (WC)Muller A.
    44ByeFils A. (18)
    45Nakashima B. (27)Bye
    46Giron M.Blockx A. (Q)
    47Monfils G.Basavareddy N. (WC)
    48ByeZverev A. (3)
    49De Minaur A. (6)Bye
    50Dellien H.Opelka R.
    51Comesana F.Munar J.
    52ByeDarderi L. (29)
    53Popyrin A. (21)Bye
    54Landaluce M. (Q)Kypson P. (Q)
    55Tien L.Riedi L. (Q)
    56ByeRublev A. (9)
    57Mensik J. (16)Bye
    58Kecmanovic M.Quinn E.
    59Nardi L. (LL)Tirante T. A. (Q)
    60ByeShapovalov D. (24)
    61Griekspoor T. (26)Bye
    62Medjedovic H.Kovacevic A.
    63Bellucci M.Dzumhur D.
    64ByeAlcaraz C. (2)

    1/32-finals
    1Sinner J. (1)Galan D. E.
    2TBD #3Diallo G. (30)
    3Machac T. (19)TBD #6
    4Martinez P.Paul T. (13)
    5Ruud C. (11)Rinderknech A.
    6TBD #11Auger-Aliassime F. (23)
    7Tsitsipas S. (25)TBD #14
    8Bonzi B.Musetti L. (8)
    9Fritz T. (4)TBD #18
    10Bergs Z.Sonego L. (31)
    11Davidovich Fokina A. (17)Fonseca J.
    12Atmane T.Cobolli F. (15)
    13Tiafoe F. (10)Carballes Baena R.
    14Wong C.Humbert U. (20)
    15Michelsen A. (28)TBD #30
    16Safiullin R.Rune H. (7)
    17Shelton B. (5)TBD #34
    18TBD #35Norrie C. (32)
    19Lehecka J. (22)TBD #38
    20TBD #39Medvedev D. (12)
    21Khachanov K. (14)TBD #42
    22TBD #43Fils A. (18)
    23Nakashima B. (27)TBD #46
    24TBD #47Zverev A. (3)
    25De Minaur A. (6)TBD #50
    26TBD #51Darderi L. (29)
    27Popyrin A. (21)TBD #54
    28TBD #55Rublev A. (9)
    29Mensik J. (16)TBD #58
    30TBD #59Shapovalov D. (24)
    31Griekspoor T. (26)TBD #62
    32TBD #63Alcaraz C. (2)

    1/16-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8
    5TBD #9TBD #10
    6TBD #11TBD #12
    7TBD #13TBD #14
    8TBD #15TBD #16
    9TBD #17TBD #18
    10TBD #19TBD #20
    11TBD #21TBD #22
    12TBD #23TBD #24
    13TBD #25TBD #26
    14TBD #27TBD #28
    15TBD #29TBD #30
    16TBD #31TBD #32

    1/8-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8
    5TBD #9TBD #10
    6TBD #11TBD #12
    7TBD #13TBD #14
    8TBD #15TBD #16

    Quarter-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2
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