Colombia W vs Brazil W, Copa America Women: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Copa America Women Colombia W - Brazil W
Result
4:5 penalties
02/08/2025 at 17:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Copa América Women - Play Offs - Final
Colombia W - Brazil W - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.972.66
Ball Possession
40%60%
Total shots
1421
Shots on target
69
Big Chances
33
Corner Kicks
57
Passes
53% (105/199)68% (192/284)
Yellow Cards
44
Expected Goals (xG)
1.972.66
xG on target (xGOT)
3.083.29
Total shots
1421
Shots on target
69
Shots off target
611
Blocked Shots
21
Shots inside the Box
1015
Shots outside the Box
46
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
33
Corner Kicks
57
Touches in opposition box
2527
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
01
Free Kicks
1719
Passes
53% (105/199)68% (192/284)
Long passes
30% (17/57)28% (13/46)
Passes in final third
54% (45/84)50% (54/108)
Crosses
20% (2/10)35% (8/23)
Expected assists (xA)
0.991.46
Throw-ins
2725
Fouls
1917
Tackles
65% (11/17)48% (10/21)
Duels won
5660
Clearances
3934
Interceptions
811
Errors leading to shot
20
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
52
xGOT faced
3.293.08
Goals prevented
-0.710.08

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 25', 1 - 0, Caicedo L. , Ramirez M. (A),
  • 32', Bedoya L. 🟨,
  • 40', Tarciane 🟨,
  • 40', Arias C. 🟨,
  • 44', Dudinha , Amanda Gutierres ,
  • 44', Fe Palermo , Isa Haas ,
  • 45+3', Tapia K. 🟨,
  • 45+7', Carabali J. 🟨,
  • 45+9', 1 - 1, Angelina (Pen),
  • 2nd Half (2 - 2)
  • 69', 2 - 1, Tarciane (Own goal),
  • 72', Loboa V. , Usme C. ,
  • 76', Gabi Portilho , Luany ,
  • 80', 2 - 2, Amanda Gutierres , Gio Garbelini (A),
  • 81', Duda Sampaio , Yaya ,
  • 82', Gio Garbelini , Marta ,
  • 86', Izquierdo I. , Pavi M. ,
  • 88', 3 - 2, Ramirez M. , Caicedo L. (A),
  • 90+5', Ramirez M. , Serna L. ,
  • 90+6', 3 - 3, Marta ,
  • Extra Time (1 - 1)
  • 103', Mariza 🟨,
  • 105', 3 - 4, Marta , Angelina (A),
  • 107', Bedoya L. , Restrepo M. ,
  • 107', Arias C. , Bonilla W. ,
  • 108', Kerolin , Jhonson ,
  • 114', Isa Haas 🟨,
  • 115', 4 - 4, Santos L. ,
  • 118', Angelina 🟨,
  • Penalties (4 - 5)
  • 1, Tarciane (Pen),
  • 1, Usme C. (Pen),
  • 2, Angelina (Pen),
  • 2, Restrepo M. (Pen),
  • 3, Amanda Gutierres (Pen),
  • 3, Pavi M. (Pen),
  • 4, Mariza (Pen),
  • 4, Santos L. (Pen),
  • 5, Marta (Pen),
  • 5, Caicedo L. (Pen),
  • 6, Jhonson (Pen),
  • 6, Bonilla W. (Pen),
  • 7, Luany (Pen),
  • 7, Carabali J. (Pen),

Chances of winning


Colombia W
18.8%
Draw
26.5%
Brazil W
54.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
17.3% 22.8% 59.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17.1% 22.6% 60.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Colombia W has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)
  • Brazil W has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Brazil W might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Colombia W than the current prediction. (-1.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brazil W than the current prediction. (+5.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Brazil W could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Colombia W - Brazil W Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.89
    (5.33)
    3.47
    (4.05)
    1.68
    (1.54)
    8.7%
    (8.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Colombia W - Brazil W?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Brazil (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Brazil is Qualified for Copa America Women (Play Offs Semi~finals)
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Colombia won 0.
    • Colombia is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Brazil is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Brazil may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Brazil is the team to beat.
    • In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Colombia won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 2:9. (average 0.3:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Colombia W - Brazil W were as follows:
    25.07.2025 Brazil W - Colombia W 0:0
    29.10.2024 Brazil W - Colombia W 3:1
    26.10.2024 Brazil W - Colombia W 1:1
    24.02.2024 Colombia W - Brazil W 0:1
    Latest results of Colombia W
    28.07.2025 Argentina W - Colombia W 0:0
    25.07.2025 Brazil W - Colombia W 0:0
    22.07.2025 Colombia W - Bolivia W 8:0
    19.07.2025 Colombia W - Paraguay W 4:1
    16.07.2025 Venezuela W - Colombia W 0:0
    Latest results of Brazil W
    29.07.2025 Brazil W - Uruguay W 5:1
    25.07.2025 Brazil W - Colombia W 0:0
    22.07.2025 Paraguay W - Brazil W 1:4
    16.07.2025 Bolivia W - Brazil W 0:6
    13.07.2025 Brazil W - Venezuela W 2:0
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Semi-finals
    1Argentina WColombia W0 : 1
    2Brazil WUruguay W5 : 1

    Final
    1Colombia WBrazil W4 : 5

    3rd place
    2Argentina WUruguay W3 : 2
    Which TV channels are streaming of Colombia W - Brazil W?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    africaAfricaSporty TV, StarTimes App
    argentinaArgentinaDirecTV Sports, DSports 1
    belarusBelarusOkko Sport
    boliviaBoliviaTigo Sports 1, Tigo Sports 3
    brazilBrazilAmazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Globoplay, Sky+, SporTV, Vivo Play, Zapping
    chileChileDirecTV Sports
    colombiaColombiaCaracol TV, Ditu, RCN Television
    denmarkDenmarkViaplay
    ecuadorEcuadorDirecTV Sports
    finlandFinlandViaplay
    israelIsraelSport 1
    netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
    north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDirecTV Sports Caribbean
    norwayNorwayViaplay
    paraguayParaguayTigo Sports+
    peruPeruDirecTV Sports
    portugalPortugalSport TV1
    south-americaSouth-americaDGO Latin America, ViX Latin America
    swedenSwedenViaplay
    uruguayUruguayDirecTV Sports, DSports 1
    usaUsaFox Sports 1, Fox Sports App, Foxsports.com
    venezuelaVenezuelaDirecTV Sports, DSports 1, Inter, Televen
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