Fortaleza vs Colo-Colo: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Copa Libertadores
Soccer Copa Libertadores Fortaleza - Colo-Colo
Result
4:0
06/05/2025 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Copa Libertadores - Group Stage - Round 4
Fortaleza - Colo-Colo - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.411.36
Ball Possession
45%55%
Total shots
1815
Shots on target
127
Big Chances
61
Corner Kicks
94
Passes
79% (272/344)84% (363/434)
Yellow Cards
32
Expected Goals (xG)
2.411.36
xG on target (xGOT)
3.531.70
Total shots
1815
Shots on target
127
Shots off target
46
Blocked Shots
22
Shots inside the Box
1310
Shots outside the Box
55
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
61
Corner Kicks
94
Touches in opposition box
2216
Accurate through passes
13
Offsides
36
Free Kicks
911
Passes
79% (272/344)84% (363/434)
Long passes
47% (21/45)64% (34/53)
Passes in final third
66% (79/120)70% (60/86)
Crosses
20% (3/15)20% (2/10)
Expected assists (xA)
0.761.04
Throw-ins
1122
Fouls
119
Tackles
82% (14/17)75% (15/20)
Duels won
4551
Clearances
1722
Interceptions
148
Errors leading to shot
02
Errors leading to goal
02
Goalkeeper Saves
78
xGOT faced
1.703.53
Goals prevented
1.70-0.47

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (3 - 0)
  • 25', 1 - 0, Breno Lopes ⚽, Bruno Pacheco (A),
  • 30', 2 - 0, Marinho ⚽, Breno Lopes (A),
  • 32', Emmanuel Martinez 🟨,
  • 39', 3 - 0, Deyverson ⚽, Marinho (A),
  • 43', Amor E. 🟨,
  • 45+3', Aquino C. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Wiemberg E. ↓, Gutierrez D. ↑,
  • 57', Deyverson 🟨,
  • 59', Amor E. ↓, Bolados M. ↑,
  • 62', Bruno Pacheco 🟨,
  • 64', Deyverson ↓, Lucero J. ↑,
  • 65', Emmanuel Martinez ↓, Pochettino T. ↑,
  • 71', Breno Lopes ↓, Yago Pikachu ↑,
  • 74', Pavez E. ↓, Mendez V. ↑,
  • 79', Aquino C. ↓, Alarcon T. ↑,
  • 79', Vidal A. ↓, Pizarro V. ↑,
  • 81', Matheus Rossetto ↓, Ze Welison ↑,
  • 81', Lucas Sasha ↓, Fernandez P. ↑,
  • 85', 4 - 0, Lucero J. ⚽, Yago Pikachu (A),

Highlights

Chances of winning


Fortaleza
48.2%		Draw
29.5%		Colo-Colo
22.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
46.6% 29.3% 24.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.2% 30.3% 23.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Fortaleza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)
  • Colo-Colo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)
  • The ML Model estimate for Fortaleza aligns with the current prediction.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Colo-Colo than the current prediction. (+1%)
    •

    Fortaleza - Colo-Colo Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 1.96 ↓
    (2.03)    		 3.2 ↓
    (3.22)    		 4.23 ↑
    (3.93)    		 5.9%
    (5.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    •
    What is the prediction for Fortaleza - Colo-Colo?
  • Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Fortaleza will win (votes: 8 - 61.5%). Colo-Colo will win (votes: 3 - 23.1%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 15.4%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Fortaleza: 35% – 88%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Fortaleza (votes: 3 - 60%). Colo-Colo (votes: 1 - 20%). Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Colo-Colo may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Fortaleza has had a series of away games.
    • Recently, Colo-Colo has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, Fortaleza is the team to beat.
    • There will not play in Fortaleza: Britez E. (Ankle Injury) Diogo Barbosa (Injury) Moises (Thigh Injury) Tinga (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Fortaleza: Rodrigo (Lacking Match Fitness)
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Fortaleza won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:5. (average 1.7:1.7).
    • Including home match between the teams, Fortaleza won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Fortaleza - Colo-Colo were as follows:
    10.04.2025 Colo-Colo - Fortaleza Abandoned
    Latest results of Fortaleza
    02.05.2025 São Paulo - Fortaleza 0:0 ✺
    29.04.2025 Retrô Brasil - Fortaleza 1:1 ✺
    26.04.2025 Sport Recife - Fortaleza 0:0 ✺
    23.04.2025 Atlético Bucaramanga - Fortaleza 1:1 ✺
    20.04.2025 Fortaleza - Palmeiras 1:2 ✺
    Latest results of Colo-Colo
    02.05.2025 Deportes Limache - Colo-Colo 1:0 ✺
    26.04.2025 Colo-Colo - Coquimbo Unido 2:0 ✺
    22.04.2025 Colo-Colo - Racing 1:1 ✺
    13.04.2025 Universidad de Chile - Colo-Colo Postponed
    10.04.2025 Colo-Colo - Fortaleza Abandoned ✺
    Copa Libertadores Table
    Group Stage

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Estudiantes L.P640211:5612
    2Botafogo RJ64028:5312
    3U. De Chile63128:6210
    4Carabobo60152:13-111


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1River Plate633013:7612
    2U. de Deportes62224:408
    3Ind. del Valle62228:11-38
    4Barcelona SC61144:7-34


    Group C
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1LDU Quito63218:4411
    2Flamengo RJ63216:3311
    3Central Cordoba63217:7011
    4Dep. Tachira60064:11-70


    Group D
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Sao Paulo642010:4614
    2Libertad Asuncion62316:519
    3Alianza Lima61237:11-45
    4Talleres Cordoba61145:8-34


    Group E
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Racing Club641114:31113
    2Fortaleza62228:538
    3Bucaramanga61326:10-46
    4Colo Colo61235:15-105


    Group F
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Internacional632112:8411
    2Atl. Nacional63037:619
    3Bahia62135:7-27
    4Nacional62137:10-37


    Group G
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Palmeiras660017:41318
    2Cerro Porteno62137:11-47
    3Bolivar620412:1116
    4Sporting Cristal61146:16-104


    Group H
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Velez Sarsfield632111:4711
    2Penarol63219:4511
    3SA Bulo Bulo62045:15-106
    4Olimpia Asuncion61239:11-25

          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)

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    germanyGermanySportdigital+
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    south-americaSouth-americaESPN 5 South
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