Colchester United vs Morecambe: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer English League Two Colchester United - Morecambe
Result
1:0
25/01/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • ENGLAND: League Two - Round 28
  • Referee: Purkiss S. (Eng)
Colchester United - Morecambe - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.180.36
Ball Possession
71%29%
Goal Attempts
1610
Shots on Goal
42
Shots off Goal
66
Blocked Shots
62
Big Chances
00
Corner Kicks
121
Shots inside the Box
135
Shots outside the Box
35
Hit the Woodwork
00
Goalkeeper Saves
23
Free Kicks
138
Offsides
12
Fouls
813
Yellow Cards
22
Red Cards
01
Throw-ins
2724
Touches in the Opposition Box
357
Passes
85% (467/552)64% (147/228)
Passes in the final third
75% (153/205)46% (36/79)
Crosses
29% (8/28)25% (2/8)
Tackles
75% (6/8)60% (6/10)
Clearances Total
2530
Interceptions
18

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 33', Bishop T. 🟨,
  • 34', Hendrie L. 🟨,
  • 37', Tutonda D. 🟨,
  • 45+2', Angol L. 🟥,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 55', Kelleher F. , Taylor L. ,
  • 56', Anderson H. , Thorn O. ,
  • 65', 1 - 0, Egbo M. , Thorn O. (A),
  • 71', Cooke C. , Tollitt B. ,
  • 74', Simpson T. , Tucker J. ,
  • 77', Lewis A. , Slew J. ,
  • 78', Songo'o Y. , Macadam H. ,
  • 78', White T. , Dackers M. ,
  • 78', Edwards G. , Jones C. ,
  • 87', Bishop T. , Gordon J. ,
  • 87', Edwards O. , Read A. ,
  • 90+1', Thorn O. 🟨,
  • 90+5', Taylor L. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Colchester United
54.5%
Draw
26.5%
Morecambe
18.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
56.9% 26.1% 17.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.6% 24.5% 16.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Colchester United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)
  • Morecambe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Colchester United than the current prediction. (+6.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Colchester United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Morecambe than the current prediction. (-2.8%)
  • Colchester United - Morecambe Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.74
    (1.65)
    3.57
    (3.6)
    5
    (5.5)
    5.6%
    (6.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Colchester United - Morecambe?
    • Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Colchester will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Morecambe will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
      Confidence interval (95%) for Colchester: 4%71%.
    • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
    Preview Facts
    • In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 14 and 23 in the zone Relegation ~ National League).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Colchester won 1.
    • Colchester is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Recent matches Morecambe is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Morecambe could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • Recently Colchester have a series of guest games.
    • In this match Colchester is a favorite.
    • Last 13 head-to-head matches Colchester won 2 matches, drawn 7 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 11:16 (average 0.8:1.2).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Colchester won 0 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 4:8 (average 0.7:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Colchester United - Morecambe were as follows:
    14.09.2024 Morecambe - Colchester United 3:3
    27.01.2024 Morecambe - Colchester United 0:1
    07.10.2023 Colchester United - Morecambe 1:3
    Latest results of Colchester United
    Latest results of Morecambe
    11.01.2025 Chelsea - Morecambe 5:0
    29.12.2024 Salford City - Morecambe 1:0
    English League Two Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bromley361913459:362370
    2MK Dons361911672:363668
    3Cambridge Utd351811650:282265
    4Notts Co35197954:342064
    5Swindon361961159:431663
    6Salford361941350:46461
    7Grimsby351511950:391156
    8Chesterfield361414857:471056
    9Crewe361681253:431056
    10Barnet3614111144:39553
    11Walsall361581343:40353
    12Colchester3514101150:391152
    13Fleetwood3613111247:45250
    14Oldham341213939:31849
    15Accrington351381438:37147
    16Gillingham3511121243:47-445
    17Shrewsbury361181737:56-1941
    18Cheltenham351081738:59-2138
    19Bristol Rovers361142137:58-2137
    20Tranmere36981948:65-1735
    21Crawley366111935:58-2329
    22Barrow35772135:55-2028
    23Newport36772236:63-2728
    24Harrogate36692126:56-3027

          Promotion ~ League One
          Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ National League

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