Casey Scorpions vs Coburg: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Aussie rules VFL Casey Scorpions - Coburg
Result
71:75
06/07/2025 at 00:35 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : VFL - Round 15
Casey Scorpions - Coburg - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Goals
911
Behinds
179

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Quarter (18 - 7)
  • 2nd Quarter (17 - 8)
  • 3rd Quarter (11 - 28)
  • 4th Quarter (25 - 32)

Chances of winning


Casey Scorpions
68%
Coburg
32%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
67.5% 32.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

75.7% 24.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Casey Scorpions has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)
  • Coburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Casey Scorpions than the current prediction. (+7.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Casey Scorpions, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Coburg than the current prediction. (-7.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Coburg, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Casey Scorpions - Coburg Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.37
    (1.38)

    2.92
    (2.86)
    7.1%
    (7.4%)
  • The most likely Handicap: 1 (-17)
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Casey won 5.
    • Casey is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Coburg has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Coburg may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Casey has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, Casey is the team to beat.
    • We predict that Casey will win today's game, with odds of 1.38.
    • In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Casey won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1034:594. (average 103.4:59.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Casey won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 381:218. (average 95.3:54.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Casey Scorpions - Coburg were as follows:
    21.07.2023 Coburg - Casey Scorpions 53:95
    Latest results of Casey Scorpions
    Latest results of Coburg
    28.06.2025 Coburg - Frankston 64:91
    21.06.2025 Port Melbourne - Coburg 67:77
    14.06.2025 Coburg - Box Hill Hawks 50:88
    06.06.2025 Coburg - Footscray 67:111
    30.05.2025 Gold Coast Suns 2 - Coburg 47:135
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/16-finals
    1Footscray (1)Bye
    2ByeFrankston (4)
    7Brisbane 2 (6)Bye
    8Richmond Tigers 2 (8)GWS Giants 2 (9)116 : 98
    9Box Hill (2)Bye
    10ByeSouthport (3)
    15Casey (5)Bye
    16Collingwood Magpies 2 (7)Williamstown (10)69 : 81

    1/8-finals
    1Footscray (1)Frankston (4)105 : 25
    4Brisbane 2 (6)Richmond Tigers 2 (8)87 : 67
    5Box Hill (2)Southport (3)94 : 115
    8Casey (5)Williamstown (10)132 : 56

    Quarter-finals
    1Footscray (1)Bye
    2Box Hill (2)Brisbane 2 (6)
    3Southport (3)Bye
    4Frankston (4)Casey (5)

    Semi-finals
    1Footscray (1)TBD #2
    2Southport (3)TBD #4
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