Club Brugge vs Olympique Marseille: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer UEFA Champions League Club Brugge - Olympique Marseille
Result
3:0
28/01/2026 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • : Champions League - League phase - Round 8
  • Referee: Guida M. (Ita)
Club Brugge - Olympique Marseille - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
1.670.99
Ball possession
38%62%
Total shots
1118
Shots on target
59
Big chances
41
Corner kicks
410
Passes
77% (270/352)87% (508/581)
Yellow cards
12
Expected goals (xG)
1.670.99
xG on target (xGOT)
1.891.25
Total shots
1118
Shots on target
59
Shots off target
35
Blocked shots
34
Shots inside the box
86
Shots outside the box
312
Hit the woodwork
00
Big chances
41
Corner kicks
410
Touches in opposition box
2327
Accurate through passes
20
Offsides
22
Free kicks
910
Passes
77% (270/352)87% (508/581)
Long passes
34% (18/53)51% (23/45)
Passes in final third
74% (66/89)75% (133/177)
Crosses
20% (2/10)16% (4/25)
Expected assists (xA)
0.950.94
Throw ins
1021
Fouls
109
Tackles
45% (9/20)60% (9/15)
Duels won
4243
Clearances
3510
Interceptions
67
Errors leading to shot
11
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper saves
92
xGOT faced
1.251.89
Goals prevented
1.25-1.11

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 4', 1 - 0, Diakhon M. , Stankovic A. (A),
  • 11', 2 - 0, Vermant R. , Stankovic A. (A),
  • 22', Murillo M. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Traore H. J. , Paixao I. ,
  • 50', Vanaken H. 🟨,
  • 53', Murillo M. , Aubameyang P. ,
  • 69', Diakhon M. , Tzolis C. ,
  • 72', Ordonez J. , Spileers J. ,
  • 79', 3 - 0, Stankovic A. , Forbs C. (A),
  • 80', Gouiri A. 🟨,
  • 85', Sabbe K. , Siquet H. ,
  • 85', Vermant R. , Tresoldi N. ,
  • 85', Stankovic A. , Vetlesen H. ,
  • 86', Gouiri A. , Nadir B. ,
  • 87', Kondogbia G. , O'Riley M. ,

Chances of winning


Club Brugge
36%
Draw
25.9%
Olympique Marseille
38.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
38% 26.4% 35.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.3% 27.3% 34.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Club Brugge has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)
  • Olympique Marseille has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Club Brugge than the current prediction. (+3.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Olympique Marseille than the current prediction. (-3.7%)
  • Club Brugge - Olympique Marseille Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.67
    (2.55)
    3.72
    (3.66)
    2.52
    (2.71)
    3.9%
    (3.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    What is the prediction for Club Brugge - Olympique Marseille?
    • Users Predictions: 40 users predict this event. Brugge will win (votes: 15 - 37.5%). Marseille will win (votes: 17 - 42.5%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 20%).
      Confidence interval (95%) for Marseille: 27.2%57.8%.
    • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 13 Selected Experts predict this event. Brugge (votes: 3 - 23.1%). Marseille (votes: 8 - 61.5%). Tie (votes: 2 - 15.4%).
    • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
      • AH -0.25 - Marseille (2.11) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
      • DC - Marseille (1.52) (votes: 3 - 60%) .
      • BTTS - yes (votes: 10 - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.
      • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 8 - 88.9%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
      • O/U 4 - under (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
      • DNB - Marseille (1.85) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 23 Selected Experts predict this event. Brugge (votes: 3 - 13%). Marseille (votes: 16 - 69.6%). Tie (votes: 2 - 8.7%).
    • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
    Preview Facts
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Marseille may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • There will not play in Brugge: Audoor L. (Muscle Injury) Tzolis C. (Injury) van den Heuvel D. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Marseille: Emerson (Thigh Injury) Maupay N. (Inactive) Pavard B. (Yellow Cards) Vermot T. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Marseille: Nadir B. (Illness)
    • The teams have not played against each other recently.
    Latest results of Club Brugge
    20.01.2026 Kairat - Club Brugge 1:4
    13.01.2026 Charleroi - Club Brugge 2:0
    08.01.2026 Club Brugge - Sturm Graz 2:2
    Latest results of Olympique Marseille
    Draw
    2026/27

    1/8-finals
    1Borac Banja LukaLevski Sofia0 : 4, 1 : 1
    2ML VitebskUniv. Craiova0 : 1, 1 : 4
    3OmoniaBye
    4Kairat AlmatySutjeska2 : 0, 2 : 1
    8ByeAEK Athens
    9CelticBye
    16ByeLASK
    17ThunBye
    18ByeDin. Zagreb
    19KlaksvikBissen2 : 1, 2 : 1
    20Kauno ZalgirisDrita3 : 2, 1 : 1
    24ByeViking
    25MjallbyBye
    26Lincoln Red ImpsInter Escaldes1 : 1, 3 : 1
    27FloraIberia 19992 : 2, 2 : 3
    28ByeSlovan Bratislava
    29Ararat-ArmeniaRiga FC2 : 3, 2 : 0
    30FlorianaShamrock Rovers1 : 5, 2 : 0
    31PetrocubEgnatia1 : 6, 1 : 1
    32ByeCelje
    33Vikingur ReykjavikGyor2 : 2, 1 : 0
    34ByeH. Beer Sheva
    35Tre FioriLarne1 : 2, 0 : 1
    36ByeCrvena zvezda
    37AarhusBye
    38ByeLech Poznan
    39Sabah BakuTNS2 : 1, 2 : 0
    40VardarKuPS3 : 2, 0 : 2
    41FenerbahceBye
    42ByeGornik Zabrze
    43Sturm GrazBye
    44ByeHearts
    45Sparta PragueBye
    48ByeLyon
    49Olympiacos PiraeusBye
    52ByeNijmegen
    53Royale Union SGBye
    56ByeBodo/Glimt

    Quarter-finals
    1Levski SofiaUniv. Craiova2 : 2, 1 : 0
    2OmoniaKairat Almaty0 : 2, 1 : 0
    4ByeAEK Athens
    5CelticBye
    8ByeLASK
    9ThunDin. Zagreb2 : 3, 1 : 1
    10KlaksvikKauno Zalgiris0 : 1, 0 : 0
    12ByeViking
    13MjallbyLincoln Red Imps0 : 0, 3 : 0
    14Iberia 1999Slovan Bratislava1 : 1, 0 : 2
    15Ararat-ArmeniaShamrock Rovers1 : 2, 2 : 0
    16EgnatiaCelje2 : 3, 3 : 3
    17Vikingur ReykjavikH. Beer Sheva0 : 2, 2 : 1
    18LarneCrvena zvezda0 : 5, 0 : 4
    19AarhusLech Poznan5 : 1, 1 : 4
    20Sabah BakuKuPS2 : 0, 1 : 0
    21FenerbahceGornik Zabrze1 : 1, 1 : 0
    22Sturm GrazHearts2 : 0, 4 : 0
    23Sparta PragueBye
    24ByeLyon
    25Olympiacos PiraeusBye
    26ByeNijmegen
    27Royale Union SGBye
    28ByeBodo/Glimt

    Semi-finals
    1Levski SofiaKairat Almaty1 : 0
    2ByeAEK Athens
    3CelticBye
    4ByeLASK
    5Din. ZagrebKauno Zalgiris5 : 0
    6ByeViking
    7MjallbySlovan Bratislava1 : 2
    8Ararat-ArmeniaCelje2 : 1
    9H. Beer ShevaCrvena zvezda1 : 0
    10AarhusSabah Baku2 : 1
    11FenerbahceSturm Graz2 : 0
    12Sparta PragueLyon2 : 1
    13Olympiacos PiraeusNijmegen0 : 0
    14Royale Union SGBodo/Glimt3 : 3

    Final
    1TBD #1AEK Athens
    2CelticLASK
    3TBD #5Viking
    4TBD #7TBD #8
    5TBD #9TBD #10
    6TBD #11TBD #12
    7TBD #13TBD #14
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