Club Brugge vs Monaco, UEFA Champions League: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer UEFA Champions League
Soccer UEFA Champions League Club Brugge - Monaco
Result
4:1
18/09/2025 at 12:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Champions League - League phase - Round 1
  • Referee: Sozza S. (Ita)
Club Brugge - Monaco - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
3.281.55
Ball Possession
49%51%
Total shots
2613
Shots on target
105
Big Chances
51
Corner Kicks
45
Passes
84% (380/452)86% (417/485)
Yellow Cards
22
Expected Goals (xG)
3.281.55
xG on target (xGOT)
4.371.10
Total shots
2613
Shots on target
105
Shots off target
95
Blocked Shots
73
Shots inside the Box
206
Shots outside the Box
67
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
51
Corner Kicks
45
Touches in opposition box
4021
Accurate through passes
21
Offsides
01
Free Kicks
911
Passes
84% (380/452)86% (417/485)
Long passes
49% (27/55)61% (23/38)
Passes in final third
79% (114/145)72% (90/125)
Crosses
33% (4/12)25% (3/12)
Expected assists (xA)
2.931.17
Throw-ins
1114
Fouls
119
Tackles
40% (6/15)64% (9/14)
Duels won
4236
Clearances
2218
Interceptions
1012
Errors leading to shot
02
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
46
xGOT faced
1.104.37
Goals prevented
0.100.37

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (3 - 0)
  • 10', Akliouche M. (Pen),
  • 11', Mignolet S. 🟨,
  • 19', Mignolet S. ↓, Jackers N. ↑,
  • 32', 1 - 0, Tresoldi N. ⚽, Vanaken H. (A),
  • 39', 2 - 0, Onyedika R. ⚽, Forbs C. (A),
  • 42', Mawissa C. 🟨,
  • 43', 3 - 0, Vanaken H. ⚽,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Caio Henrique ↓, Kehrer T. ↑,
  • 46', Bamba A. ↓, Coulibaly M. ↑,
  • 61', Forbs C. ↓, Diakhon M. ↑,
  • 61', Meijer B. ↓, Seys J. ↑,
  • 63', Balogun F. ↓, Fati A. ↑,
  • 63', Biereth M. ↓, Ilenikhena G. ↑,
  • 67', Vanaken H. 🟨,
  • 72', Coulibaly M. 🟨,
  • 75', 4 - 0, Diakhon M. ⚽, Seys J. (A),
  • 78', Mawissa C. ↓, Ouattara K. ↑,
  • 81', Ordonez J. ↓, Spileers J. ↑,
  • 81', Onyedika R. ↓, Audoor L. ↑,
  • 90+2', 4 - 1, Fati A. ⚽, Minamino T. (A),

Chances of winning


Club Brugge
39.6%		Draw
27.1%		Monaco
33.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
36.2% 25.4% 38.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.4% 25.3% 38.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Club Brugge has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)
  • Monaco has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Monaco might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Club Brugge than the current prediction. (-3.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Monaco than the current prediction. (+4.9%)
    •

    Club Brugge - Monaco Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 2.46 ↓
    (2.65)    		 3.57 ↓
    (3.78)    		 2.9 ↑
    (2.5)    		 3.1%
    (4.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    •
    What is the prediction for Club Brugge - Monaco?
  • Users Predictions: 58 users predict this event. Brugge will win (votes: 27 - 46.6%). Monaco will win (votes: 17 - 29.3%). It will Tie (votes: 14 - 24.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Brugge: 33.8% – 59.4%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 8 high ROI users predict this event. Brugge (votes: 4 - 50%). Monaco (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Tie (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 7 - 87.5%).
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 5 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • Brugge is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Monaco's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Recently, Brugge has had a series of away games.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • There will not play in Brugge: Vermant R. (Muscle Injury)
    • There will not play in Monaco: Golovin A. (Muscle Injury) Hradecky L. (Knee Injury) Pogba P. (Lacking Match Fitness) Salisu M. (Knock) Zakaria D. (Groin Injury)
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Brugge won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:1. (average 2.5:0.5).
    • Including home match between the teams, Brugge won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
    Latest results of Club Brugge
    13.09.2025 RAAL La Louvière - Club Brugge 1:0 ✺
    31.08.2025 Gent - Club Brugge 1:1 ✺
    27.08.2025 Club Brugge - Glasgow Rangers 6:0 ✺
    19.08.2025 Glasgow Rangers - Club Brugge 1:3 ✺
    16.08.2025 Zulte Waregem - Club Brugge 0:1 ✺
    Latest results of Monaco
    13.09.2025 Auxerre - Monaco 1:2 ✺
    31.08.2025 Monaco - Strasbourg 3:2 ✺
    24.08.2025 Lille - Monaco 1:0 ✺
    16.08.2025 Monaco - Le Havre 3:1 ✺
    08.08.2025 Monaco - Inter Milan 1:2 ✺
    UEFA Champions League Table
    League phase
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Eintracht Frankfurt11005:143
    2PSG11004:043
    3Club Brugge KV11004:133
    4Sporting CP11004:133
    5Royale Union SG11003:123
    6Bayern Munich11003:123
    7Arsenal11002:023
    8Inter11002:023
    9Manchester City11002:023
    10Qarabag11003:213
    11Liverpool11003:213
    12Barcelona11002:113
    13Real Madrid11002:113
    14Tottenham11001:013
    15Dortmund10104:401
    16Juventus10104:401
    17Bayer Leverkusen10102:201
    18Bodo/Glimt10102:201
    19Slavia Prague10102:201
    20FC Copenhagen10102:201
    21Pafos10100:001
    22Olympiacos Piraeus10100:001
    23Atl. Madrid10012:3-10
    24Benfica10012:3-10
    25Marseille10011:2-10
    26Newcastle10011:2-10
    27Villarreal10010:1-10
    28Chelsea10011:3-20
    29PSV10011:3-20
    30Napoli10010:2-20
    31Ajax10010:2-20
    32Ath Bilbao10010:2-20
    33Monaco10011:4-30
    34Kairat Almaty10011:4-30
    35Galatasaray10011:5-40
    36Atalanta10010:4-40

          Promotion ~ Champions League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
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