Clermont vs Ulster: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Rugby union Challenge Cup Rugby Clermont - Ulster
Result
53:14
13/04/2024 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • EUROPE: Challenge Cup - Play Offs - Quarter-finals
Clermont - Ulster - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Tries
72
Conversion Goals
62
Conversion Goal Attempts
00
Penalty Goals
20
Penalty Goal Attempts
00
Goals %
00
Dropped Goals
00
Total Runs
00
Metres Run With Ball
00

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (20 - 14)
  • 12', Timoney N. (Try),
  • 12', Cooney J. (Conversion Goal),
  • 18', Yato P. (Try),
  • 19', Belleau A. (Conversion Goal),
  • 28', Belleau A. (Penalty Goal),
  • 32', Belleau A. (Penalty Goal),
  • 36', Sowakula P. (Try),
  • 37', Belleau A. (Conversion Goal),
  • 40+3', Timoney N. (Try),
  • 40+5', Cooney J. (Conversion Goal),
  • 2nd Half (33 - 0)
  • 44', Newsome A. (Try),
  • 46', Delguy B. (Conversion Goal),
  • 61', Sowakula P. (Try),
  • 62', Belleau A. (Conversion Goal),
  • 64', Simmons R. (Try),
  • 65', Belleau A. (Conversion Goal),
  • 68', Yato P. (Try),
  • 69', Belleau A. (Conversion Goal),
  • 80', Jurand J. (Try),

Chances of winning


Clermont
63.1%
Draw
4.4%
Ulster
32.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
67.5% 4.6% 27.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71.6% 4.3% 26.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Clermont has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)
  • Ulster has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Clermont than the current prediction. (+8.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Clermont, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ulster than the current prediction. (-6.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ulster, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Clermont - Ulster Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.45
    (1.36)
    21
    (19.8)
    2.81
    (3.3)
    9.2%
    (8.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 50.50
  • The most likely Handicap: 1 (-5)
  • Preview Facts
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Clermont won 2.
    • Two teams are playing changeable.
    • Recently Ulster have a series of guest games.
    • Clermont will have a small advantage in this match.
    • Our prediction for today's Clermont to win the game is with odds 1.45.
    • Last 6 head-to-head matches Clermont won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 166-152.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Clermont won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 90-61.
    Latest results of Clermont
    06.04.2024 Clermont - Cheetahs 27:22
    30.03.2024 Racing Métro - Clermont 26:10
    23.03.2024 Clermont - Section Paloise 31:28
    09.03.2024 Clermont - Oyonnax Rugby 15:15
    03.03.2024 La Rochelle - Clermont 42:3
    Latest results of Ulster
    07.04.2024 Montpellier - Ulster 17:40
    30.03.2024 Stormers - Ulster 13:7
    23.03.2024 Sharks - Ulster 22:12
    18.02.2024 Ospreys - Ulster 19:17
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/8-finals
    1EdinburghLions24 : 12
    2Aviron BayonnaisBulls22 : 32
    3Section PaloiseBath24 : 49
    4MontpellierGloucester17 : 24
    5OspreysScarlets36 : 14
    6LyonSharks34 : 21
    7ConnachtCardiff Rugby35 : 20
    8USA PerpignanRacing 9218 : 24

    Quarter-finals
    1EdinburghBulls34 : 28
    2BathGloucester61 : 26
    3OspreysLyon18 : 20
    4ConnachtRacing 9240 : 43

    Semi-finals
    1EdinburghBath24 : 39
    2LyonRacing 9229 : 15

    Final
    1BathLyon37 : 12
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