Pau vs Clermont: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer French Ligue 2 Pau - Clermont
Result
3:1
03/10/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Ligue 2 - Round 9
  • Referee: Rosier E. (Fra)
Pau - Clermont - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.910.68
Ball Possession
47%53%
Total shots
711
Shots on target
42
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
56
Passes
88% (376/429)89% (443/500)
Expected Goals (xG)
1.910.68
xG on target (xGOT)
2.100.58
Total shots
711
Shots on target
42
Shots off target
24
Blocked Shots
15
Shots inside the Box
65
Shots outside the Box
16
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
56
Touches in opposition box
916
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
10
Free Kicks
1111
Passes
88% (376/429)89% (443/500)
Long passes
59% (30/51)62% (26/42)
Passes in final third
79% (77/97)70% (82/117)
Crosses
27% (4/15)20% (3/15)
Expected assists (xA)
0.690.72
Throw-ins
1812
Fouls
1111
Tackles
88% (7/8)86% (12/14)
Duels won
2432
Clearances
1513
Interceptions
76
Errors leading to shot
11
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
11
xGOT faced
0.582.10
Goals prevented
-0.42-0.90

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (3 - 0)
  • 12', 1 - 0, Sadik O. ,
  • 22', 2 - 0, Versini G. , Touzghar R. (A),
  • 33', 3 - 0, Versini G. , Beusnard S. (A),
  • 43', Beusnard S. , Gasnier K. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Bellache Y. , Ackra A. ,
  • 46', Boto K. , Coulibaly I. ,
  • 67', Gastien J. , Baallal A. ,
  • 68', Sadik O. , Sissoko O. ,
  • 68', Pouilly T. , Glossoa N. ,
  • 74', Socka Bongue L. , Fakili I. ,
  • 77', Kalulu J. , Zuliani E. ,
  • 77', Versini G. , Karamoko S. ,
  • 81', 3 - 1, Bamba K. , Baallal A. (A),

Chances of winning


Pau
68.4%
Draw
19%
Clermont
12.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
51.1% 27.4% 21.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.2% 26.8% 21%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Pau has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+17.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Pau's performance.
  • Clermont has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Clermont might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pau than the current prediction. (-16.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Pau that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Clermont than the current prediction. (+8.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Clermont could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Pau - Clermont Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.53
    (1.84)
    6.39
    (3.45)
    9.91
    (4.38)
    -8.7%
    (6.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Pau - Clermont?
  • Users Predictions: Pau will win (21 of 22 users predict this - 95.45%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 86.74%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Pau will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final) and 10).
    • Pau is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Clermont's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • In this match, Pau is considered a favorite.
    • There will not play in Pau: Gasnier K. (Inactive) Gaspar J. (Inactive) Lebouath S. (Inactive) Messi R. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Clermont: Astic J. (Injury) Diedhiou F. (Inactive) Donavin M. (Inactive) Douane M. (Knee Injury) Hunou A. (Inactive) Salmier Y. (Red Card)
    • In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Pau won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:8. (average 1.5:2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Pau won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:3. (average 2:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Pau - Clermont were as follows:
    11.04.2025 Pau - Clermont 2:2
    16.08.2024 Clermont - Pau 2:2
    Latest results of Pau
    26.09.2025 Rodez - Pau 1:2
    23.09.2025 Pau - Laval 1:0
    19.09.2025 Boulogne - Pau 0:3
    12.09.2025 Pau - Red Star 0:3
    29.08.2025 Nancy - Pau 2:2
    Latest results of Clermont
    26.09.2025 Clermont - Le Mans 1:1
    23.09.2025 Reims - Clermont 4:1
    19.09.2025 Rodez - Clermont 0:1
    13.09.2025 Clermont - Saint-Étienne 1:2
    29.08.2025 Laval - Clermont 0:0
    French Ligue 2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Troyes962119:91020
    2St Etienne962119:10920
    3Pau FC962116:8820
    4Red Star952215:9617
    5Reims942314:13114
    6Guingamp942316:19-314
    7Nancy933310:11-112
    8Rodez93338:11-312
    9Montpellier93248:10-211
    10Dunkerque924316:14210
    11Le Mans924311:12-110
    12Clermont92439:13-410
    13Amiens923411:13-29
    14Grenoble923410:12-29
    15Annecy92349:12-39
    16Boulogne93067:11-49
    17Laval91537:11-48
    18Bastia90454:11-74

          Promotion ~ Ligue 1
          Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)
          Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Ligue 2 (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ National

    Which TV channels are streaming of Pau - Clermont?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 5, Free
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