Pau vs Clermont: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer French Ligue 2 Pau - Clermont
Result
2:2
11/04/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Ligue 2 - Round 30
  • Referee: Chapapria R. (Fra)
Pau - Clermont - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.040.53
Ball Possession
51%49%
Total shots
227
Shots on target
113
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
75
Passes
87% (355/407)87% (343/395)
Yellow Cards
13
Expected Goals (xG)
2.040.53
xG on target (xGOT)
3.491.30
Total shots
227
Shots on target
113
Shots off target
50
Blocked Shots
64
Shots inside the Box
146
Shots outside the Box
71
Hit the Woodwork
10
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
75
Touches in opposition box
2919
Offsides
23
Free Kicks
1314
Passes
87% (355/407)87% (343/395)
Long passes
51% (20/39)46% (18/39)
Passes in final third
81% (112/139)69% (60/87)
Crosses
23% (7/30)41% (7/17)
Expected assists (xA)
1.360.64
Fouls
1413
Tackles
60% (9/15)62% (8/13)
Duels won
4555
Clearances Total
1743
Interceptions
35
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
19
xGOT faced
1.303.49
Goals prevented
-0.701.49

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 11', 0 - 1, Saivet H. , Douane M. (A),
  • 43', 1 - 1, Mboup P. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', 1 - 2, Douane M. , Bamba K. (A),
  • 55', Magnin Y. 🟨,
  • 66', Bamba K. , Diedhiou F. ,
  • 67', Kante 🟨,
  • 68', Ackra A. 🟨,
  • 73', Obiang J. , Kalulu J. ,
  • 73', Bangre M. , Diawara K. ,
  • 73', Ngom O. , Chahiri M. ,
  • 74', Ackra A. , Baaloudj M. ,
  • 74', Bassouamina M. , Diagouraga T. ,
  • 75', Salmier Y. 🟨,
  • 81', Koudou T. , Gaspar J. ,
  • 82', Diallo B. , Bellache Y. ,
  • 82', Douane M. , Konate C. O. ,
  • 90+3', 2 - 2, Mille A. ,

Chances of winning


Pau
47.1%
Draw
26.3%
Clermont
26.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
50.2% 26.1% 23.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.2% 25.1% 22.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Pau has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)
  • Clermont has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pau than the current prediction. (+5.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Pau, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Clermont than the current prediction. (-3.9%)
  • Pau - Clermont Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2
    (1.86)
    3.58
    (3.57)
    3.52
    (3.95)
    6.4%
    (7.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Pau - Clermont?
    The most likely score is 2:1. User prediction is Pau will win! (22 of 23 users predict this).
    Preview Facts
    • This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 11 and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ National).
    • Recent matches Pau is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Clermont is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Pau will have a mini benefit in this match.
    • There will not play in Pau: Arconte T. (Ankle Injury) Bobichon A. (Ankle Injury) Lopy J. (Inactive) Meddah D. (Inactive) Ngom O. (Inactive) Ruiz J. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Clermont: Da Silva D. (Red Card) Gastien J. (Red Card) M'Bahia I. (Knee Injury)
    • Last 3 head-to-head matches Pau won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4:6 (average 1.3:2).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Pau won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:1
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Pau - Clermont were as follows:
    16.08.2024 Clermont - Pau 2:2
    Latest results of Pau
    05.04.2025 Lorient - Pau 5:0
    28.03.2025 Pau - Annecy 1:0
    14.03.2025 Martigues - Pau 2:2
    07.03.2025 Pau - Troyes 0:2
    28.02.2025 Pau - Grenoble 1:0
    Latest results of Clermont
    04.04.2025 Paris FC - Clermont 2:0
    28.03.2025 Clermont - Amiens 1:1
    14.03.2025 Clermont - Grenoble 0:0
    07.03.2025 Guingamp - Clermont 3:1
    28.02.2025 Clermont - Caen 0:1
    Draw
    Promotion - Play Offs

    Quarter-finals
    1ReimsBye
    3MetzBye
    4DunkerqueGuingamp1 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1ReimsBye
    2MetzDunkerque1 : 0

    Final
    1ReimsMetz
    Which TV channels are streaming of Pau - Clermont?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 7, Free
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