Guingamp vs Clermont: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer French Ligue 2 Guingamp - Clermont
Result
3:1
07/03/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • FRANCE: Ligue 2 - Round 26
  • Referee: Legat P. (Fra)
Guingamp - Clermont - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.720.45
Ball Possession
65%35%
Goal Attempts
184
Shots on Goal
122
Shots off Goal
31
Blocked Shots
31
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
100
Shots inside the Box
152
Shots outside the Box
22
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
10
Goalkeeper Saves
19
Free Kicks
1914
Offsides
00
Fouls
1419
Yellow Cards
24
Throw-ins
1529
Touches in the Opposition Box
394
Passes
86% (491/569)75% (240/318)
Passes in the final third
76% (128/169)55% (36/65)
Crosses
41% (14/34)0% (0/2)
Tackles
85% (11/13)67% (8/12)
Clearances Total
1529
Interceptions
128

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 17', 0 - 1, Bassouamina M. , Douane M. (A),
  • 24', Ackra A. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (3 - 0)
  • 48', Diallo B. 🟨,
  • 53', Diagouraga T. 🟨,
  • 63', Le Bris T. , Ghrieb R. ,
  • 63', Hemia A. , Labeau B. ,
  • 63', Picard H. , Mendes J. A. ,
  • 65', 1 - 1, Siwe J. ,
  • 71', Gomis D. 🟨,
  • 72', Konate C. O. , Mwimba J. ,
  • 72', Saivet H. , Diedhiou F. ,
  • 74', Bassouamina M. , Baaloudj M. ,
  • 77', Louiserre D. , Phiri L. ,
  • 81', Ghrieb R. 🟨,
  • 83', Ackra A. , Inchaud M. ,
  • 83', Douane M. , Armougom Y. ,
  • 88', 2 - 1, Nair S. , Sissoko A. (A),
  • 90+2', Mwimba J. 🟨,
  • 90+2', 3 - 1, Ghrieb R. (Pen),
  • 90+6', Siwe J. , Riou M. ,

Chances of winning


Guingamp
59%
Draw
23.8%
Clermont
17.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
54.4% 25.8% 19.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.6% 20.7% 24.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Guingamp has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)
  • Clermont has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guingamp than the current prediction. (-15.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Guingamp that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Clermont than the current prediction. (+7.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Clermont could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Guingamp - Clermont Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.61
    (1.7)
    3.97
    (3.59)
    5.47
    (4.68)
    5.6%
    (8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Guingamp - Clermont?
    The most likely score is 1:0. User prediction is Guingamp will win! (21 of 22 users predict this).
    Preview Facts
    • This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 16 in the zone Ligue 2 (Relegation)).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Guingamp won 0.
    • Guingamp is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Clermont has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Clermont could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • Recently Guingamp have a series of guest games.
    • In this match Guingamp is a favorite.
    • There will not play in Guingamp: Guendouz S. (Injury) Le Bris T. (Injury) Luvambo T. (Injury) Ndour A. (Injury) Planeix I. (Knee Injury) Sissoko A. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Clermont: Bamba K. (Muscle Injury) Bouchenna M. (Injury) Da Silva D. (Muscle Injury) Diop O. (Muscle Injury) M'Bahia I. (Knee Injury) Magnin Y. (Injury)
    • Last 7 head-to-head matches Guingamp won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 7:13 (average 1:1.9).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Guingamp won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4:8 (average 1:2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Guingamp - Clermont were as follows:
    05.10.2024 Clermont - Guingamp 4:1
    Latest results of Guingamp
    01.03.2025 Red Star - Guingamp 3:1
    25.02.2025 Cannes - Guingamp 3:1
    21.02.2025 Grenoble - Guingamp 1:1
    15.02.2025 Guingamp - Metz 0:3
    08.02.2025 Ajaccio - Guingamp 0:3
    Latest results of Clermont
    28.02.2025 Clermont - Caen 0:1
    21.02.2025 Dunkerque - Clermont 3:0
    14.02.2025 Clermont - Bastia 1:1
    08.02.2025 Metz - Clermont 3:1
    31.01.2025 Clermont - Ajaccio 0:1
    Draw
    Promotion - Play Offs

    Quarter-finals
    3MetzBye
    4DunkerqueGuingamp1 : 0

    Semi-finals
    2MetzDunkerque

    Final
    1ByeTBD #2
    Which TV channels are streaming of Guingamp - Clermont?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 4, Free
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