Cittadella vs Bari: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Italian Serie B Cittadella - Bari
Result
3:1
09/05/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Serie B - Round 38
  • Referee: Massimi L. (Ita)
Cittadella - Bari - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.860.85
Ball Possession
50%50%
Total shots
1912
Shots on target
72
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
23
Passes
76% (297/391)73% (289/394)
Yellow Cards
23
Expected Goals (xG)
1.860.85
xG on target (xGOT)
2.901.80
Total shots
1912
Shots on target
72
Shots off target
116
Blocked Shots
14
Shots inside the Box
89
Shots outside the Box
113
Hit the Woodwork
01
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
23
Touches in opposition box
1727
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
00
Free Kicks
1517
Passes
76% (297/391)73% (289/394)
Long passes
41% (15/37)43% (33/77)
Passes in final third
73% (99/135)61% (77/126)
Crosses
33% (8/24)28% (5/18)
Expected assists (xA)
1.210.68
Throw-ins
2221
Fouls
1715
Tackles
40% (6/15)45% (10/22)
Duels won
5271
Clearances
2927
Interceptions
911
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
14
xGOT faced
1.802.90
Goals prevented
-0.07-0.10

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 6', Salvi A. 🟨,
  • 31', 0 - 1, Favilli A. , Dorval M. (A),
  • 2nd Half (3 - 0)
  • 46', Tessiore A. , Rabbi S. ,
  • 47', 1 - 1, Rabbi S. ,
  • 55', Maiello R. 🟨,
  • 59', Favilli A. 🟨,
  • 60', Bonfanti N. , Lasagna K. ,
  • 60', Favilli A. , Novakovich A. ,
  • 66', 2 - 1, Palmieri R. , Salvi A. (A),
  • 67', Palmieri R. 🟨,
  • 67', Okwonkwo O. , Pandolfi L. ,
  • 69', Palmieri R. , D'Alessio F. ,
  • 72', Oliveri A. , Maggiore G. ,
  • 80', Maiello R. , Pereiro G. ,
  • 81', 3 - 1, Pandolfi L. , Rabbi S. (A),
  • 87', Pereiro G. 🟨,
  • 90+5', Tronchin S. , Vita A. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Cittadella
32.7%
Draw
29.8%
Bari
37.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
30.7% 29.9% 39.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.3% 29.5% 39.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Cittadella has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)
  • Bari has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cittadella than the current prediction. (-2.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bari than the current prediction. (+2.4%)
  • Cittadella - Bari Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.86
    (3.05)
    3.15
    (3.13)
    2.53
    (2.38)
    6.3%
    (6.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Cittadella - Bari?
    The most likely score is 1:1. User prediction is will win! ( of users predict this).
    Preview Facts
    • An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cittadella won 0.
    • Cittadella is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Bari has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • There will not play in Cittadella: Cecchetto A. (Inactive) Diaw D. (Inactive) Djibril A. (Injury) Masciangelo E. (Yellow Cards) Negro S. (Injury) Rizza A. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Bari: Maita M. (Yellow Cards) Radunovic B. (Yellow Cards)
    • In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Cittadella won 3 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 16:23. (average 0.9:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Cittadella won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:9. (average 0.8:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Cittadella - Bari were as follows:
    24.11.2024 Bari - Cittadella 3:2
    05.05.2024 Cittadella - Bari 1:1
    30.08.2023 Bari - Cittadella 1:1
    01.05.2023 Bari - Cittadella 1:1
    08.12.2022 Cittadella - Bari 0:3
    Latest results of Cittadella
    04.05.2025 Frosinone - Cittadella 1:1
    01.05.2025 Cittadella - Brescia 0:1
    25.04.2025 Reggiana - Cittadella 2:1
    12.04.2025 Sampdoria - Cittadella 1:0
    05.04.2025 Cittadella - Carrarese 0:0
    Latest results of Bari
    04.05.2025 Bari - Pisa 1:0
    01.05.2025 Nuova Cosenza - Bari 1:0
    25.04.2025 Bari - Modena 1:2
    11.04.2025 Bari - Palermo 2:1
    06.04.2025 Catanzaro - Bari 3:3
    Draw
    Play Out

    Final
    1Frosinone (16)Salernitana (17)
    Which TV channels are streaming of Cittadella - Bari?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    italyItalyDAZN Italia
    usaUsaFox Soccer Plus
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