Cincinnati 2 vs New York City II: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer MLS Next Pro Cincinnati 2 - New York City II
Result
3:2 penalties
06/07/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : MLS Next Pro
Cincinnati 2 - New York City II - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.861.31
Ball Possession
34%66%
Total shots
910
Shots on target
75
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
45
Passes
69% (173/251)82% (420/512)
Yellow Cards
12
Expected Goals (xG)
0.861.31
xG on target (xGOT)
2.133.02
Total shots
910
Shots on target
75
Shots off target
11
Blocked Shots
14
Shots inside the Box
66
Shots outside the Box
34
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
45
Touches in opposition box
2318
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
31
Free Kicks
1013
Passes
69% (173/251)82% (420/512)
Long passes
27% (13/48)26% (12/47)
Passes in final third
58% (64/111)73% (94/129)
Crosses
64% (7/11)11% (1/9)
Expected assists (xA)
0.690.87
Throw-ins
1424
Fouls
1310
Tackles
55% (11/20)80% (8/10)
Duels won
4938
Clearances
2317
Interceptions
1018
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
11
Goalkeeper Saves
35
xGOT faced
3.022.13
Goals prevented
1.020.13

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 3', Musu S. 🟨,
  • 26', Baiera A. (Pen),
  • 36', Jimenez S. , Locker C. ,
  • 43', 1 - 0, Chirila S. ,
  • 45+1', 1 - 1, Elias P. , Lacher J. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Mboma K. , Ikoba T. ,
  • 51', 1 - 2, Musu S. , Murray M. (A),
  • 57', 2 - 2, Mangione P. , Ikoba T. (A),
  • 66', Schaefer B. , Hurtado D. ,
  • 66', Lim E. , Arroyave J. ,
  • 66', Baiera A. , Tiao C. ,
  • 66', Musu S. , Zeitz U. ,
  • 70', Daley A. 🟨,
  • 76', Davila A. , Chavez A. ,
  • 76', Kuisel W. , Caicedo Y. ,
  • 81', Cavallo N. , Lopez J. ,
  • 81', Mangione P. , Manfroy B. ,
  • 84', Arroyave J. 🟨,
  • 89', Elias P. , Guarino E. ,
  • Penalties (5 - 4)
  • 1, Ikoba T. (Pen),
  • 1, Garfield Reid S. (Pen),
  • 2, Chirila S. (Pen),
  • 2, Tiao C. (Pen),
  • 3, Locker C. (Pen),
  • 3, Guarino E. (Pen),
  • 4, Chavez A. (Pen),
  • 4, Zeitz U. (Pen),
  • 5, Louro E. (Pen),
  • 5, Lopez J. (Pen),

Official Live

Chances of winning


Cincinnati 2
47.9%
Draw
24.6%
New York City II
27.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
42.8% 24.2% 33%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.4% 23.3% 31.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Cincinnati 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Cincinnati 2's performance.
  • New York City II has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and New York City II might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cincinnati 2 than the current prediction. (-3.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for New York City II than the current prediction. (+4.3%)
  • Cincinnati 2 - New York City II Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.92
    (2.12)
    3.73
    (3.75)
    3.35
    (2.75)
    8.8%
    (10.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  • What is the prediction for Cincinnati 2 - New York City II?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Cincinnati 2 (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: Cincinnati 2 will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 100%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 13 and 9).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cincinnati 2 won 2.
    • Cincinnati 2 is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • In recent matches, New York City II has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • New York City II may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Cincinnati 2 will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Cincinnati 2 won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 9:18. (average 1.3:2.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Cincinnati 2 won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:6. (average 1:2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Cincinnati 2 - New York City II were as follows:
    09.04.2025 New York City II - Cincinnati 2 2:3
    29.09.2024 New York City II - Cincinnati 2 3:1
    07.07.2024 Cincinnati 2 - New York City II 1:2
    27.08.2023 Cincinnati 2 - New York City II 2:0
    28.05.2023 New York City II - Cincinnati 2 2:1
    Latest results of Cincinnati 2
    MLS Next Pro Table
    2025

    Northeast Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1New York Red Bulls 2241522561:5051
    2Philadelphia Union II241153550:2746
    3Chicago Fire II231142656:3943
    4New England Revolution II221052542:2942
    5Toronto FC II241014931:3636
    6New York City II248241044:4932
    7Cincinnati 2235701126:3329
    8Columbus Crew 2234131529:5417


    Southeast Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1Huntsville231142646:2743
    2Chattanooga231043635:3341
    3Orlando City B249221133:4633
    4Carolina Core24744935:3633
    5Atlanta United 223726835:3531
    6Crown Legacy256351142:4929
    7Inter Miami II236041335:5722


    Pacific Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1Town FC221232549:2744
    2Real Monarchs24944742:3739
    3Vancouver Whitecaps 22410311054:4537
    4Ventura County231023844:4137
    5Los Angeles FC II249211240:4832
    6Portland Timbers 2237231135:4428
    7Tacoma Defiance237221252:5927


    Frontier Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1St. Louis City 2241631455:3255
    2Colorado Rapids 2241314648:3645
    3Minnesota 2241023938:3737
    4Austin FC II24835829:3035
    5North Texas239311036:4734
    6Houston Dynamo 2247421134:3931
    7Sporting Kansas City II243131725:5914


    Eastern Conference
    PlWWLLPts
    1New York Red Bulls 2241522561:5051
    2Philadelphia Union II241153550:2746
    3Huntsville231142646:2743
    4Chicago Fire II231142656:3943
    5New England Revolution II221052542:2942
    6Chattanooga231043635:3341
    7Toronto FC II241014931:3636
    8Orlando City B249221133:4633
    9Carolina Core24744935:3633
    10New York City II248241044:4932
    11Atlanta United 223726835:3531
    12Crown Legacy256351142:4929
    13Cincinnati 2235701126:3329
    14Inter Miami II236041335:5722
    15Columbus Crew 2234131529:5417


    Western Conference
    PlWWLLPts
    1St. Louis City 2241631455:3255
    2Colorado Rapids 2241314648:3645
    3Town FC221232549:2744
    4Real Monarchs24944742:3739
    5Vancouver Whitecaps 22410311054:4537
    6Ventura County231023844:4137
    7Minnesota 2241023938:3737
    8Austin FC II24835829:3035
    9North Texas239311036:4734
    10Los Angeles FC II249211240:4832
    11Houston Dynamo 2247421134:3931
    12Portland Timbers 2237231135:4428
    13Tacoma Defiance237221252:5927
    14Sporting Kansas City II243131725:5914

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