Cincinnati 2 vs New York City II: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer MLS Next Pro Cincinnati 2 - New York City II
Result
3:2 penalties
06/07/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : MLS Next Pro
Cincinnati 2 - New York City II - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.861.31
Ball Possession
34%66%
Total shots
910
Shots on target
75
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
45
Passes
69% (173/251)82% (420/512)
Yellow Cards
12
Expected Goals (xG)
0.861.31
xG on target (xGOT)
2.133.02
Total shots
910
Shots on target
75
Shots off target
11
Blocked Shots
14
Shots inside the Box
66
Shots outside the Box
34
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
45
Touches in opposition box
2318
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
31
Free Kicks
1013
Passes
69% (173/251)82% (420/512)
Long passes
27% (13/48)26% (12/47)
Passes in final third
58% (64/111)73% (94/129)
Crosses
64% (7/11)11% (1/9)
Expected assists (xA)
0.690.87
Throw-ins
1424
Fouls
1310
Tackles
55% (11/20)80% (8/10)
Duels won
4938
Clearances
2317
Interceptions
1018
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
11
Goalkeeper Saves
35
xGOT faced
3.022.13
Goals prevented
1.020.13

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 3', Musu S. 🟨,
  • 26', Baiera A. (Pen),
  • 36', Jimenez S. , Locker C. ,
  • 43', 1 - 0, Chirila S. ,
  • 45+1', 1 - 1, Elias P. , Lacher J. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Mboma K. , Ikoba T. ,
  • 51', 1 - 2, Musu S. , Murray M. (A),
  • 57', 2 - 2, Mangione P. , Ikoba T. (A),
  • 66', Schaefer B. , Hurtado D. ,
  • 66', Lim E. , Arroyave J. ,
  • 66', Baiera A. , Tiao C. ,
  • 66', Musu S. , Zeitz U. ,
  • 70', Daley A. 🟨,
  • 76', Davila A. , Chavez A. ,
  • 76', Kuisel W. , Caicedo Y. ,
  • 81', Cavallo N. , Lopez J. ,
  • 81', Mangione P. , Manfroy B. ,
  • 84', Arroyave J. 🟨,
  • 89', Elias P. , Guarino E. ,
  • Penalties (5 - 4)
  • 1, Ikoba T. (Pen),
  • 1, Garfield Reid S. (Pen),
  • 2, Chirila S. (Pen),
  • 2, Tiao C. (Pen),
  • 3, Locker C. (Pen),
  • 3, Guarino E. (Pen),
  • 4, Chavez A. (Pen),
  • 4, Zeitz U. (Pen),
  • 5, Louro E. (Pen),
  • 5, Lopez J. (Pen),

Official Live

Chances of winning


Cincinnati 2
47.9%
Draw
24.6%
New York City II
27.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
42.8% 24.2% 33%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.4% 23.3% 31.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Cincinnati 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Cincinnati 2's performance.
  • New York City II has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and New York City II might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cincinnati 2 than the current prediction. (-3.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for New York City II than the current prediction. (+4.3%)
  • Cincinnati 2 - New York City II Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.92
    (2.12)
    3.73
    (3.75)
    3.35
    (2.75)
    8.8%
    (10.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  • What is the prediction for Cincinnati 2 - New York City II?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Cincinnati 2 (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: Cincinnati 2 will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 100%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 13 and 9).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cincinnati 2 won 2.
    • Cincinnati 2 is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • In recent matches, New York City II has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • New York City II may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Cincinnati 2 will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Cincinnati 2 won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 9:18. (average 1.3:2.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Cincinnati 2 won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:6. (average 1:2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Cincinnati 2 - New York City II were as follows:
    09.04.2025 New York City II - Cincinnati 2 2:3
    29.09.2024 New York City II - Cincinnati 2 3:1
    07.07.2024 Cincinnati 2 - New York City II 1:2
    27.08.2023 Cincinnati 2 - New York City II 2:0
    28.05.2023 New York City II - Cincinnati 2 2:1
    Latest results of Cincinnati 2
    MLS Next Pro Table
    2025

    Northeast Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1New York Red Bulls 2251622564:5254
    2New England Revolution II251352548:3151
    3Philadelphia Union II251253553:2849
    4Chicago Fire II251242762:4546
    5Toronto FC II2610241032:3838
    6New York City II269241150:5635
    7Cincinnati 2245701227:3529
    8Columbus Crew 2265141634:5721


    Southeast Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1Chattanooga241143639:3544
    2Huntsville251142848:3143
    3Carolina Core25844939:3836
    4Orlando City B259321134:4735
    5Atlanta United 225826938:3934
    6Crown Legacy276351344:5429
    7Inter Miami II256051436:6223


    Pacific Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1Town FC241242652:3246
    2Real Monarchs261144747:3945
    3Vancouver Whitecaps 22611411059:4842
    4Ventura County251024946:4438
    5Los Angeles FC II269211444:5632
    6Portland Timbers 2258241142:4932
    7Tacoma Defiance258221355:6230


    Frontier Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1St. Louis City 2261741458:3460
    2Colorado Rapids 2251314748:3745
    3Minnesota 2251024939:3838
    4Austin FC II26935932:3338
    5North Texas259421038:4937
    6Houston Dynamo 2268421236:4134
    7Sporting Kansas City II263241728:6217


    Eastern Conference
    PlWWLLPts
    1New York Red Bulls 2 ✔ 251622564:5254
    2New England Revolution II ✔ 251352548:3151
    3Philadelphia Union II ✔ 251253553:2849
    4Chicago Fire II ✔ 251242762:4546
    5Chattanooga ✔ 241143639:3544
    6Huntsville ✔ 251142848:3143
    7Toronto FC II2610241032:3838
    8Carolina Core25844939:3836
    9New York City II269241150:5635
    10Orlando City B259321134:4735
    11Atlanta United 225826938:3934
    12Crown Legacy276351344:5429
    13Cincinnati 2245701227:3529
    14Inter Miami II256051436:6223
    15Columbus Crew 2265141634:5721


    Western Conference
    PlWWLLPts
    1St. Louis City 2 ✔ 261741458:3460
    2Town FC ✔ 241242652:3246
    3Colorado Rapids 2 ✔ 251314748:3745
    4Real Monarchs ✔ 261144747:3945
    5Vancouver Whitecaps 22611411059:4842
    6Ventura County251024946:4438
    7Minnesota 2251024939:3838
    8Austin FC II26935932:3338
    9North Texas259421038:4937
    10Houston Dynamo 2268421236:4134
    11Los Angeles FC II269211444:5632
    12Portland Timbers 2258241142:4932
    13Tacoma Defiance258221355:6230
    14Sporting Kansas City II263241728:6217

          Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    New York Red Bulls 2 is Qualified for MLS Next Pro (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    New England Revolution II is Qualified for MLS Next Pro (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Philadelphia Union II is Qualified for MLS Next Pro (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Chicago Fire II is Qualified for MLS Next Pro (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Chattanooga is Qualified for MLS Next Pro (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Huntsville is Qualified for MLS Next Pro (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    St. Louis City 2 is Qualified for MLS Next Pro (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Town FC is Qualified for MLS Next Pro (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Colorado Rapids 2 is Qualified for MLS Next Pro (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Real Monarchs is Qualified for MLS Next Pro (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Which TV channels are streaming of Cincinnati 2 - New York City II?
    It is being streamed on channel
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