Chicago Fire II vs Cincinnati 2: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer MLS Next Pro Chicago Fire II - Cincinnati 2
Result
2:1
09/05/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : MLS Next Pro
Chicago Fire II - Cincinnati 2 - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.090.54
Ball Possession
50%50%
Total shots
179
Shots on target
42
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
96
Passes
78% (303/389)79% (308/392)
Yellow Cards
11
Red Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
2.090.54
xG on target (xGOT)
1.951.10
Total shots
179
Shots on target
42
Shots off target
75
Blocked Shots
62
Shots inside the Box
105
Shots outside the Box
74
Hit the Woodwork
21
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
96
Touches in opposition box
1417
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
22
Free Kicks
1614
Passes
78% (303/389)79% (308/392)
Long passes
45% (33/74)32% (14/44)
Passes in final third
72% (69/96)60% (74/124)
Crosses
29% (5/17)25% (5/20)
Expected assists (xA)
0.660.39
Throw-ins
2422
Fouls
1416
Tackles
56% (10/18)55% (12/22)
Duels won
6461
Clearances
2517
Interceptions
1110
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
12
xGOT faced
1.101.95
Goals prevented
0.10-0.05

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 15', Caicedo Y. 🟨,
  • 24', 1 - 0, Diouf J. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Ikoba T. , Mboma K. ,
  • 63', Caicedo Y. , Hurtado D. ,
  • 63', Augee B. , Chavez A. ,
  • 63', Manyana X. , Mangione P. ,
  • 72', 2 - 0, Shokalook J. , Cassano C. (A),
  • 74', 2 - 1, Mboma K. , Mangione P. (A),
  • 75', Reynolds J. , Nagle C. ,
  • 77', Hlyut V. 🟨,
  • 84', Hlyut V. , Montiel J. ,
  • 85', Cassano C. , Calle J. ,
  • 89', Shokalook J. , Boltz D. ,
  • 90+1', Adnan N. , Sakr A. ,
  • 90+5', Crockford N. 🟥,

Chances of winning


Chicago Fire II
38.6%
Draw
25.7%
Cincinnati 2
35.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
39.1% 25.8% 35%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.8% 25.6% 35.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Chicago Fire II has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)
  • Cincinnati 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chicago Fire II than the current prediction. (+0.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cincinnati 2 than the current prediction. (-0.5%)
  • Chicago Fire II - Cincinnati 2 Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.4
    (2.36)
    3.61
    (3.57)
    2.59
    (2.63)
    8.1%
    (8.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 10 and 14).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chicago Fire II won 3.
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • Chicago Fire II may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Chicago Fire II has had a series of away games.
    • Recently, Cincinnati 2 has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Chicago Fire II won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 18:12. (average 2:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Chicago Fire II won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:4. (average 1.3:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Chicago Fire II - Cincinnati 2 were as follows:
    30.03.2025 Cincinnati 2 - Chicago Fire II 1:2
    08.09.2024 Chicago Fire II - Cincinnati 2 1:2
    28.07.2024 Cincinnati 2 - Chicago Fire II 5:0
    17.03.2024 Cincinnati 2 - Chicago Fire II 1:2
    10.08.2023 Cincinnati 2 - Chicago Fire II 1:5
    Latest results of Chicago Fire II
    Latest results of Cincinnati 2
    MLS Next Pro Table
    2025

    Northeast Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1New York Red Bulls 2181122345:3239
    2Philadelphia Union II17952142:1439
    3Chicago Fire II17822534:3030
    4New England Revolution II16741428:2130
    5New York City II19623833:3925
    6Cincinnati 217370716:2323
    7Toronto FC II18604820:2922
    8Columbus Crew 2163121017:3113


    Southeast Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1Chattanooga19833530:2933
    2Huntsville17832435:1932
    3Orlando City B19721926:3726
    4Crown Legacy19535630:3526
    5Carolina Core18344722:2521
    6Atlanta United 216326523:2619
    7Inter Miami II185031030:4118


    Pacific Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1Ventura County18913534:2832
    2Town FC16822438:2130
    3Vancouver Whitecaps 218731739:3328
    4Real Monarchs17543529:3126
    5Tacoma Defiance16621740:4023
    6Los Angeles FC II17621827:3423
    7Portland Timbers 217522827:3321


    Frontier Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1St. Louis City 2181220437:2540
    2Colorado Rapids 219913634:3032
    3North Texas18821732:3529
    4Austin FC II18634522:2128
    5Houston Dynamo 219631927:2925
    6Minnesota 217703728:2524
    7Sporting Kansas City II160131211:405


    Eastern Conference
    PlWWLLPts
    1New York Red Bulls 2181122345:3239
    2Philadelphia Union II17952142:1439
    3Chattanooga19833530:2933
    4Huntsville17832435:1932
    5Chicago Fire II17822534:3030
    6New England Revolution II16741428:2130
    7Orlando City B19721926:3726
    8Crown Legacy19535630:3526
    9New York City II19623833:3925
    10Cincinnati 217370716:2323
    11Toronto FC II18604820:2922
    12Carolina Core18344722:2521
    13Atlanta United 216326523:2619
    14Inter Miami II185031030:4118
    15Columbus Crew 2163121017:3113


    Western Conference
    PlWWLLPts
    1St. Louis City 2181220437:2540
    2Ventura County18913534:2832
    3Colorado Rapids 219913634:3032
    4Town FC16822438:2130
    5North Texas18821732:3529
    6Vancouver Whitecaps 218731739:3328
    7Austin FC II18634522:2128
    8Real Monarchs17543529:3126
    9Houston Dynamo 219631927:2925
    10Minnesota 217703728:2524
    11Tacoma Defiance16621740:4023
    12Los Angeles FC II17621827:3423
    13Portland Timbers 217522827:3321
    14Sporting Kansas City II160131211:405

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