Chicago Fire II vs Cincinnati 2: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer MLS Next Pro Chicago Fire II - Cincinnati 2
Result
2:1
09/05/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : MLS Next Pro
Chicago Fire II - Cincinnati 2 - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.090.54
Ball Possession
50%50%
Total shots
179
Shots on target
42
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
96
Passes
78% (303/389)79% (308/392)
Yellow Cards
11
Red Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
2.090.54
xG on target (xGOT)
1.951.10
Total shots
179
Shots on target
42
Shots off target
75
Blocked Shots
62
Shots inside the Box
105
Shots outside the Box
74
Hit the Woodwork
21
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
96
Touches in opposition box
1417
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
22
Free Kicks
1614
Passes
78% (303/389)79% (308/392)
Long passes
45% (33/74)32% (14/44)
Passes in final third
72% (69/96)60% (74/124)
Crosses
29% (5/17)25% (5/20)
Expected assists (xA)
0.660.39
Throw-ins
2422
Fouls
1416
Tackles
56% (10/18)55% (12/22)
Duels won
6461
Clearances
2517
Interceptions
1110
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
12
xGOT faced
1.101.95
Goals prevented
0.10-0.05

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 15', Caicedo Y. 🟨,
  • 24', 1 - 0, Diouf J. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Ikoba T. , Mboma K. ,
  • 63', Caicedo Y. , Hurtado D. ,
  • 63', Augee B. , Chavez A. ,
  • 63', Manyana X. , Mangione P. ,
  • 72', 2 - 0, Shokalook J. , Cassano C. (A),
  • 74', 2 - 1, Mboma K. , Mangione P. (A),
  • 75', Reynolds J. , Nagle C. ,
  • 77', Hlyut V. 🟨,
  • 84', Hlyut V. , Montiel J. ,
  • 85', Cassano C. , Calle J. ,
  • 89', Shokalook J. , Boltz D. ,
  • 90+1', Adnan N. , Sakr A. ,
  • 90+5', Crockford N. 🟥,

Chances of winning


Chicago Fire II
38.6%
Draw
25.7%
Cincinnati 2
35.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
39.1% 25.8% 35%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.8% 25.6% 35.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Chicago Fire II has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)
  • Cincinnati 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chicago Fire II than the current prediction. (+0.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cincinnati 2 than the current prediction. (-0.5%)
  • Chicago Fire II - Cincinnati 2 Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.4
    (2.36)
    3.61
    (3.57)
    2.59
    (2.63)
    8.1%
    (8.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 10 and 14).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chicago Fire II won 3.
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • Chicago Fire II may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Chicago Fire II has had a series of away games.
    • Recently, Cincinnati 2 has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Chicago Fire II won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 18:12. (average 2:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Chicago Fire II won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:4. (average 1.3:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Chicago Fire II - Cincinnati 2 were as follows:
    30.03.2025 Cincinnati 2 - Chicago Fire II 1:2
    08.09.2024 Chicago Fire II - Cincinnati 2 1:2
    28.07.2024 Cincinnati 2 - Chicago Fire II 5:0
    17.03.2024 Cincinnati 2 - Chicago Fire II 1:2
    10.08.2023 Cincinnati 2 - Chicago Fire II 1:5
    Latest results of Chicago Fire II
    Latest results of Cincinnati 2
    MLS Next Pro Table
    2025

    Northeast Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1New York Red Bulls 2221322553:4645
    2Philadelphia Union II211052445:2142
    3Chicago Fire II211132554:3641
    4New England Revolution II20951537:2638
    5Toronto FC II22904926:3431
    6New York City II22724941:4529
    7Cincinnati 221570923:2829
    8Columbus Crew 2214131324:4417


    Southeast Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1Huntsville211142446:2443
    2Chattanooga22943634:3338
    3Orlando City B227221130:4527
    4Carolina Core22544928:3127
    5Crown Legacy22535933:4426
    6Atlanta United 220526728:3225
    7Inter Miami II216041134:4722


    Pacific Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1Town FC191122448:2639
    2Ventura County211023643:3837
    3Real Monarchs20743635:3332
    4Vancouver Whitecaps 2217311044:4228
    5Tacoma Defiance20722950:5127
    6Los Angeles FC II217211134:4526
    7Portland Timbers 220623932:3825


    Frontier Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1St. Louis City 2221530450:3051
    2Colorado Rapids 2221114644:3439
    3Austin FC II21735627:2732
    4Minnesota 221823834:3431
    5North Texas21831935:4331
    6Houston Dynamo 2227321032:3629
    7Sporting Kansas City II212131521:5211


    Eastern Conference
    PlWWLLPts
    1New York Red Bulls 2221322553:4645
    2Huntsville211142446:2443
    3Philadelphia Union II211052445:2142
    4Chicago Fire II211132554:3641
    5New England Revolution II20951537:2638
    6Chattanooga22943634:3338
    7Toronto FC II22904926:3431
    8New York City II22724941:4529
    9Cincinnati 221570923:2829
    10Orlando City B227221130:4527
    11Carolina Core22544928:3127
    12Crown Legacy22535933:4426
    13Atlanta United 220526728:3225
    14Inter Miami II216041134:4722
    15Columbus Crew 2214131324:4417


    Western Conference
    PlWWLLPts
    1St. Louis City 2221530450:3051
    2Town FC191122448:2639
    3Colorado Rapids 2221114644:3439
    4Ventura County211023643:3837
    5Real Monarchs20743635:3332
    6Austin FC II21735627:2732
    7Minnesota 221823834:3431
    8North Texas21831935:4331
    9Houston Dynamo 2227321032:3629
    10Vancouver Whitecaps 2217311044:4228
    11Tacoma Defiance20722950:5127
    12Los Angeles FC II217211134:4526
    13Portland Timbers 220623932:3825
    14Sporting Kansas City II212131521:5211

          Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)

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