Chicago Fire II vs Cincinnati 2: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer MLS Next Pro Chicago Fire II - Cincinnati 2
Result
2:1
09/05/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : MLS Next Pro
Chicago Fire II - Cincinnati 2 - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.090.54
Ball Possession
50%50%
Total shots
179
Shots on target
42
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
96
Passes
78% (303/389)79% (308/392)
Yellow Cards
11
Red Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
2.090.54
xG on target (xGOT)
1.951.10
Total shots
179
Shots on target
42
Shots off target
75
Blocked Shots
62
Shots inside the Box
105
Shots outside the Box
74
Hit the Woodwork
21
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
96
Touches in opposition box
1417
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
22
Free Kicks
1614
Passes
78% (303/389)79% (308/392)
Long passes
45% (33/74)32% (14/44)
Passes in final third
72% (69/96)60% (74/124)
Crosses
29% (5/17)25% (5/20)
Expected assists (xA)
0.660.39
Throw-ins
2422
Fouls
1416
Tackles
56% (10/18)55% (12/22)
Duels won
6461
Clearances
2517
Interceptions
1110
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
12
xGOT faced
1.101.95
Goals prevented
0.10-0.05

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 15', Caicedo Y. 🟨,
  • 24', 1 - 0, Diouf J. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Ikoba T. , Mboma K. ,
  • 63', Caicedo Y. , Hurtado D. ,
  • 63', Augee B. , Chavez A. ,
  • 63', Manyana X. , Mangione P. ,
  • 72', 2 - 0, Shokalook J. , Cassano C. (A),
  • 74', 2 - 1, Mboma K. , Mangione P. (A),
  • 75', Reynolds J. , Nagle C. ,
  • 77', Hlyut V. 🟨,
  • 84', Hlyut V. , Montiel J. ,
  • 85', Cassano C. , Calle J. ,
  • 89', Shokalook J. , Boltz D. ,
  • 90+1', Adnan N. , Sakr A. ,
  • 90+5', Crockford N. 🟥,

Chances of winning


Chicago Fire II
38.6%
Draw
25.7%
Cincinnati 2
35.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
39.1% 25.8% 35%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.8% 25.6% 35.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Chicago Fire II has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)
  • Cincinnati 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chicago Fire II than the current prediction. (+0.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cincinnati 2 than the current prediction. (-0.5%)
  • Chicago Fire II - Cincinnati 2 Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.4
    (2.36)
    3.61
    (3.57)
    2.59
    (2.63)
    8.1%
    (8.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 10 and 14).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chicago Fire II won 3.
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • Chicago Fire II may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Chicago Fire II has had a series of away games.
    • Recently, Cincinnati 2 has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Chicago Fire II won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 18:12. (average 2:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Chicago Fire II won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:4. (average 1.3:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Chicago Fire II - Cincinnati 2 were as follows:
    30.03.2025 Cincinnati 2 - Chicago Fire II 1:2
    08.09.2024 Chicago Fire II - Cincinnati 2 1:2
    28.07.2024 Cincinnati 2 - Chicago Fire II 5:0
    17.03.2024 Cincinnati 2 - Chicago Fire II 1:2
    10.08.2023 Cincinnati 2 - Chicago Fire II 1:5
    Latest results of Chicago Fire II
    Latest results of Cincinnati 2
    MLS Next Pro Table
    2025

    Northeast Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1New York Red Bulls 2241522561:5051
    2Philadelphia Union II241153550:2746
    3Chicago Fire II231142656:3943
    4New England Revolution II221052542:2942
    5Toronto FC II241014931:3636
    6New York City II248241044:4932
    7Cincinnati 2235701126:3329
    8Columbus Crew 2245131533:5420


    Southeast Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1Huntsville231142646:2743
    2Chattanooga231043635:3341
    3Orlando City B249221133:4633
    4Carolina Core24744935:3633
    5Atlanta United 223726835:3531
    6Crown Legacy256351142:4929
    7Inter Miami II246041435:6122


    Pacific Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1Town FC231242551:2946
    2Real Monarchs24944742:3739
    3Ventura County241024845:4238
    4Vancouver Whitecaps 22410311054:4537
    5Los Angeles FC II249211240:4832
    6Portland Timbers 2247241137:4629
    7Tacoma Defiance237221252:5927


    Frontier Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1St. Louis City 2241631455:3255
    2Colorado Rapids 2241314648:3645
    3Minnesota 2241023938:3737
    4North Texas249411037:4836
    5Austin FC II24835829:3035
    6Houston Dynamo 2247421134:3931
    7Sporting Kansas City II243131725:5914


    Eastern Conference
    PlWWLLPts
    1New York Red Bulls 2241522561:5051
    2Philadelphia Union II241153550:2746
    3Huntsville231142646:2743
    4Chicago Fire II231142656:3943
    5New England Revolution II221052542:2942
    6Chattanooga231043635:3341
    7Toronto FC II241014931:3636
    8Orlando City B249221133:4633
    9Carolina Core24744935:3633
    10New York City II248241044:4932
    11Atlanta United 223726835:3531
    12Crown Legacy256351142:4929
    13Cincinnati 2235701126:3329
    14Inter Miami II246041435:6122
    15Columbus Crew 2245131533:5420


    Western Conference
    PlWWLLPts
    1St. Louis City 2241631455:3255
    2Town FC231242551:2946
    3Colorado Rapids 2241314648:3645
    4Real Monarchs24944742:3739
    5Ventura County241024845:4238
    6Vancouver Whitecaps 22410311054:4537
    7Minnesota 2241023938:3737
    8North Texas249411037:4836
    9Austin FC II24835829:3035
    10Los Angeles FC II249211240:4832
    11Houston Dynamo 2247421134:3931
    12Portland Timbers 2247241137:4629
    13Tacoma Defiance237221252:5927
    14Sporting Kansas City II243131725:5914

          Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)

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