Atlanta United II vs Cincinnati 2: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

09/07/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Fifth Third Stadium (Kennesaw, GA).

: MLS Next Pro

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.86	0.34
Ball Possession
70%	30%
Total shots
11	7
Shots on target
3	2
Big Chances
3	0
Corner Kicks
4	2
Passes
89% (586/659)	72% (199/275)
Yellow Cards
1	5
Red Cards
0	1
Expected Goals (xG)
1.86	0.34
xG on target (xGOT)
0.40	0.07
Total shots
11	7
Shots on target
3	2
Shots off target
6	2
Blocked Shots
2	3
Shots inside the Box
8	4
Shots outside the Box
3	3
Hit the Woodwork
1	0
Big Chances
3	0
Corner Kicks
4	2
Touches in opposition box
18	13
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
1	2
Free Kicks
16	13
Passes
89% (586/659)	72% (199/275)
Long passes
59% (47/79)	36% (19/53)
Passes in final third
69% (82/118)	58% (50/86)
Crosses
26% (5/19)	27% (3/11)
Expected assists (xA)
1.20	0.52
Throw-ins
13	17
Fouls
13	16
Tackles
82% (9/11)	50% (8/16)
Duels won
45	40
Clearances
13	19
Interceptions
5	7
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
2	3
xGOT faced
0.07	0.40
Goals prevented
0.07	0.40

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
21', Hurtado D. 🟨,
45+1', Caicedo Y. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Brennan L. ↓, Neri R. ↑,
46', Cobb N. ↓, Moore K. ↑,
67', Locker C. ↓, Manfroy B. ↑,
68', Tablante M. ↓, Carmichael R. ↑,
72', Manfroy B. 🟨,
73', Sanchez C. 🟨,
74', Sanchez C. ↓, Torres A. ↑,
78', Augee B. ↓, Kristel B. ↑,
78', Togashi C. ↓, Weah P. ↑,
86', Chirila A. 🟨,
90+3', Caicedo Y. 🟨,
Penalties (3 - 4)
1, Armas J. (Pen),
1, Ikoba T. (Pen),
2, Mazzaferro S. (Pen),
2, Mangione P. (Pen),
3, Neri R. (Pen),
3, Chavez A. (Pen),
4, Chong-Qui D. (Pen),
4, Adnan N. (Pen),
5, Moore K. (Pen),
5, Daley A. (Pen),

Official Live

Chances of winning

Atlanta United II
55.6%

Draw
22%

Cincinnati 2
22.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52%

21.6%

26.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53%

22%

25.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlanta United II has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

Cincinnati 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlanta United II than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cincinnati 2 than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

Atlanta United II - Cincinnati 2 Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.65 ↓ (1.77)	4.17 ↓ (4.28)	4.1 ↑ (3.49)	8.8% (8.4%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

Preview Facts

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 14 and 11).
Atlanta United II is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Cincinnati 2 is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 5 wins).
Cincinnati 2 may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Atlanta United II has had a series of home games.
In this match, Atlanta United II is a strong favorite.
In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Atlanta United II won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:8. (average 1.3:2).
Including home matches between the teams, Atlanta United II won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:5. (average 2:2.5).

How many head-to-head matches has Atlanta United II won against Cincinnati 2?

Atlanta United II has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Cincinnati 2 won against Atlanta United II?

Cincinnati 2 has won 3 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Atlanta United II - Cincinnati 2 were as follows:

27.04.2025 Cincinnati 2 - Atlanta United II 1:0

21.04.2024 Atlanta United II - Cincinnati 2 1:4

02.09.2023 Atlanta United II - Cincinnati 2 3:1

25.05.2023 Cincinnati 2 - Atlanta United II 2:1

Latest results of Atlanta United II

11.06.2025 Atlanta United II - Huntsville City 0:1 ✺

06.06.2025 Atlanta United II - New York City II 2:3 ✺

30.05.2025 New York Red Bulls 2 - Atlanta United II 1:0 ✺

25.05.2025 Atlanta United II - Orlando City B 3:0 ✺

19.05.2025 Atlanta United II - Crown Legacy 2:3 ✺

Latest results of Cincinnati 2

06.07.2025 Cincinnati 2 - New York City II 3:2 ✺

29.06.2025 New York Red Bulls 2 - Cincinnati 2 3:4 ✺

21.06.2025 Chattanooga - Cincinnati 2 0:1 ✺

15.06.2025 New England Revolution II - Cincinnati 2 0:1 ✺

08.06.2025 Cincinnati 2 - Toronto FC II 2:1 ✺

MLS Next Pro Table

2025

Northeast Division

		Pl	W	W	L	L		Pts
1	New York Red Bulls 2	24	15	2	2	5	61:50	51
2	Philadelphia Union II	24	11	5	3	5	50:27	46
3	Chicago Fire II	23	11	4	2	6	56:39	43
4	New England Revolution II	22	10	5	2	5	42:29	42
5	Toronto FC II	24	10	1	4	9	31:36	36
6	New York City II	24	8	2	4	10	44:49	32
7	Cincinnati 2	23	5	7	0	11	26:33	29
8	Columbus Crew 2	23	4	1	3	15	29:54	17

Southeast Division

		Pl	W	W	L	L		Pts
1	Huntsville	23	11	4	2	6	46:27	43
2	Chattanooga	23	10	4	3	6	35:33	41
3	Orlando City B	24	9	2	2	11	33:46	33
4	Carolina Core	24	7	4	4	9	35:36	33
5	Atlanta United 2	23	7	2	6	8	35:35	31
6	Crown Legacy	25	6	3	5	11	42:49	29
7	Inter Miami II	23	6	0	4	13	35:57	22

Pacific Division

		Pl	W	W	L	L		Pts
1	Town FC	23	12	4	2	5	51:29	46
2	Real Monarchs	24	9	4	4	7	42:37	39
3	Ventura County	24	10	2	4	8	45:42	38
4	Vancouver Whitecaps 2	24	10	3	1	10	54:45	37
5	Los Angeles FC II	24	9	2	1	12	40:48	32
6	Portland Timbers 2	24	7	2	4	11	37:46	29
7	Tacoma Defiance	23	7	2	2	12	52:59	27

Frontier Division

		Pl	W	W	L	L		Pts
1	St. Louis City 2	24	16	3	1	4	55:32	55
2	Colorado Rapids 2	24	13	1	4	6	48:36	45
3	Minnesota 2	24	10	2	3	9	38:37	37
4	North Texas	24	9	4	1	10	37:48	36
5	Austin FC II	24	8	3	5	8	29:30	35
6	Houston Dynamo 2	24	7	4	2	11	34:39	31
7	Sporting Kansas City II	24	3	1	3	17	25:59	14

Eastern Conference

		Pl	W	W	L	L		Pts
1	New York Red Bulls 2	24	15	2	2	5	61:50	51
2	Philadelphia Union II	24	11	5	3	5	50:27	46
3	Huntsville	23	11	4	2	6	46:27	43
4	Chicago Fire II	23	11	4	2	6	56:39	43
5	New England Revolution II	22	10	5	2	5	42:29	42
6	Chattanooga	23	10	4	3	6	35:33	41
7	Toronto FC II	24	10	1	4	9	31:36	36
8	Orlando City B	24	9	2	2	11	33:46	33
9	Carolina Core	24	7	4	4	9	35:36	33
10	New York City II	24	8	2	4	10	44:49	32
11	Atlanta United 2	23	7	2	6	8	35:35	31
12	Crown Legacy	25	6	3	5	11	42:49	29
13	Cincinnati 2	23	5	7	0	11	26:33	29
14	Inter Miami II	23	6	0	4	13	35:57	22
15	Columbus Crew 2	23	4	1	3	15	29:54	17

Western Conference

		Pl	W	W	L	L		Pts
1	St. Louis City 2	24	16	3	1	4	55:32	55
2	Town FC	23	12	4	2	5	51:29	46
3	Colorado Rapids 2	24	13	1	4	6	48:36	45
4	Real Monarchs	24	9	4	4	7	42:37	39
5	Ventura County	24	10	2	4	8	45:42	38
6	Vancouver Whitecaps 2	24	10	3	1	10	54:45	37
7	Minnesota 2	24	10	2	3	9	38:37	37
8	North Texas	24	9	4	1	10	37:48	36
9	Austin FC II	24	8	3	5	8	29:30	35
10	Los Angeles FC II	24	9	2	1	12	40:48	32
11	Houston Dynamo 2	24	7	4	2	11	34:39	31
12	Portland Timbers 2	24	7	2	4	11	37:46	29
13	Tacoma Defiance	23	7	2	2	12	52:59	27
14	Sporting Kansas City II	24	3	1	3	17	25:59	14

Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)

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It is being streamed on channel


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