Alebrijes de Oaxaca vs Cimarrones de Sonora: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Mexican Liga de Expansion MX Alebrijes de Oaxaca - Cimarrones de Sonora
Result
2:1 penalties
17/04/2024 at 21:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • MEXICO: Liga de Expansion MX - Clausura - Play In - Semi-finals
  • Referee: Arce V. (Mex)
Alebrijes de Oaxaca - Cimarrones de Sonora - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Ball Possession
51%49%
Goal Attempts
1310
Shots on Goal
65
Shots off Goal
75
Corner Kicks
45
Goalkeeper Saves
45
Yellow Cards
36
Attacks
10894
Dangerous Attacks
7155

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 24', Tejeda D. 🟨,
  • 30', Monreal E. 🟨,
  • 44', Torres Rodriguez R. D. 🟨,
  • 45+2', Rodriguez J. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Orrantia E. , Jimenez D. ,
  • 50', 0 - 1, Manriquez S. ,
  • 55', Morales F. , Ochoa Sanchez J. A. ,
  • 55', Gonzalez Sandoval A. , Garcia B. ,
  • 64', Martinez J. 🟨,
  • 65', Jimenez D. (Pen),
  • 66', Manriquez S. 🟨,
  • 68', Monarrez F. , Navarro B. ,
  • 68', Tejeda D. , Acuna F. ,
  • 70', 1 - 1, Ochoa Sanchez J. A. ,
  • 72', Franco J. 🟨,
  • 77', Manriquez S. , Lopez D. ,
  • 77', Rodriguez J. , Reyes J. ,
  • 78', Franco J. , Minota V. ,
  • 87', Espinoza G. 🟨,
  • 87', 🟨,
  • 87', Martinez J. , Esqueda Romero J. A. ,
  • Penalties (6 - 5)
  • 1, Monreal E. (Pen),
  • 1, Ballesteros O. (Pen),
  • 2, Lopez D. (Pen),
  • 2, Lopez F. (Pen),
  • 3, Acuna F. (Pen),
  • 3, Gomez J. (Pen),
  • 4, Navarro B. (Pen),
  • 4, Esqueda Romero J. A. (Pen),
  • 5, Peralta J. (Pen),
  • 5, Torres Rodriguez R. D. (Pen),
  • 6, Cisneros D. (Pen),
  • 6, Garcia B. (Pen),

Chances of winning


Alebrijes de Oaxaca
33.2%
Draw
27.9%
Cimarrones de Sonora
38.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
41.1% 27.8% 31.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.7% 26.8% 29.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Alebrijes de Oaxaca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Alebrijes de Oaxaca's form might have worsened.
  • Cimarrones de Sonora has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Cimarrones de Sonora's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alebrijes de Oaxaca than the current prediction. (+9.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Alebrijes de Oaxaca, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cimarrones de Sonora than the current prediction. (-9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Cimarrones de Sonora, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Alebrijes de Oaxaca - Cimarrones de Sonora Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.78
    (2.25)
    3.31
    (3.33)
    2.37
    (2.98)
    8.4%
    (8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Alebrijes de Oaxaca - Cimarrones de Sonora?
    The most likely score is 1:1. User prediction is will win! ( of users predict this).
    Preview Facts
    • This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 9 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Play ~ In: ) and 10 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Play ~ In: )).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Alebrijes de Oaxaca won 0.
    • Both teams are now playing unstable.
    • Cimarrones de Sonora could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.
    • Last 20 head-to-head matches Alebrijes de Oaxaca won 6 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 24-27.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Alebrijes de Oaxaca won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 14-12.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Alebrijes de Oaxaca - Cimarrones de Sonora were as follows:
    23.01.2024 Alebrijes de Oaxaca - Cimarrones de Sonora 2:2
    23.08.2023 Cimarrones de Sonora - Alebrijes de Oaxaca 4:2
    28.03.2023 Cimarrones de Sonora - Alebrijes de Oaxaca 0:0
    Latest results of Alebrijes de Oaxaca
    Latest results of Cimarrones de Sonora
    Draw
    Clausura - Play Offs

    Quarter-finals
    1Leones Negros (1)Tepatitlan de Morelos (8)2 : 1, 1 : 2
    2Atlante (2)Atl. Morelia (7)2 : 3, 0 : 0
    3Zacatecas Mineros (3)Venados (6)2 : 0, 0 : 2
    4Celaya (4)Tampico Madero (5)0 : 0, 0 : 1

    Semi-finals
    1Leones Negros (1)Atl. Morelia (7)2 : 0, 0 : 2
    2Zacatecas Mineros (3)Tampico Madero (5)0 : 0, 0 : 1

    Final
    1Leones Negros (1)Tampico Madero (5)1 : 2
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