Cienciano vs Universitario de Deportes: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Peruvian Liga 1 Cienciano - Universitario de Deportes
Result
1:1
26/07/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Liga 1 - Clausura - Round 2
  • Referee: Menendez A. (Per)
Cienciano - Universitario de Deportes - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.411.11
Ball Possession
66%34%
Total shots
108
Shots on target
44
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
74
Passes
84% (376/447)68% (154/228)
Yellow Cards
24
Expected Goals (xG)
0.411.11
xG on target (xGOT)
0.641.32
Total shots
108
Shots on target
44
Shots off target
52
Blocked Shots
12
Shots inside the Box
43
Shots outside the Box
65
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
74
Touches in opposition box
158
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
24
Free Kicks
1111
Passes
84% (376/447)68% (154/228)
Long passes
60% (45/75)38% (20/53)
Passes in final third
72% (83/116)48% (30/63)
Crosses
26% (5/19)20% (3/15)
Expected assists (xA)
0.690.25
Throw-ins
2321
Fouls
1111
Tackles
63% (5/8)77% (10/13)
Duels won
3440
Clearances
2125
Interceptions
117
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
33
xGOT faced
1.320.64
Goals prevented
0.32-0.36

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 51', Gonzalez A. 🟨,
  • 56', Santamaria A. 🟨,
  • 66', Benites Vargas L. E. , Hohberg A. ,
  • 66', Perez M. , Castillo J. ,
  • 66', Inga C. , Carabali J. ,
  • 70', Carabali J. 🟨,
  • 71', Concha J. , Calcaterra H. ,
  • 71', Flores E. , Rivera J. ,
  • 79', Corzo A. 🟨,
  • 84', 0 - 1, Valera A. (Pen),
  • 84', Valera A. 🟨,
  • 84', Flores E. 🟨,
  • 86', Da Silva B. , La Torre D. ,
  • 86', Neira C. , Ortiz J. ,
  • 90', Gonzalez A. , Noronha O. ,
  • 90+5', 1 - 1, Hohberg A. , Galeano L. (A),
  • 90+7', Valoyes J. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Cienciano
36.5%
Draw
30.7%
Universitario de Deportes
32.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
25.6% 29.6% 44.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.5% 29.5% 45.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Cienciano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Cienciano's performance.
  • Universitario de Deportes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Universitario de Deportes might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cienciano than the current prediction. (-11%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Cienciano that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Universitario de Deportes than the current prediction. (+12.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Universitario de Deportes could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Cienciano - Universitario de Deportes Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.59
    (3.62)
    3.03
    (3.13)
    2.8
    (2.06)
    7.3%
    (8.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Cienciano - Universitario de Deportes?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Cienciano (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cienciano won 0.
    • Cienciano has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Uni de Deportes is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Uni de Deportes may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Cienciano won 3 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 16:32. (average 0.8:1.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Cienciano won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:7. (average 0.9:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Cienciano - Universitario de Deportes were as follows:
    15.02.2025 Universitario de Deportes - Cienciano 3:2
    27.10.2024 Universitario de Deportes - Cienciano 3:1
    20.05.2024 Cienciano - Universitario de Deportes 0:0
    22.06.2023 Cienciano - Universitario de Deportes 1:1
    24.03.2023 Universitario de Deportes - Cienciano 3:0
    Latest results of Cienciano
    Peruvian Liga 1 Table
    Clausura
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1U. de Deportes963015:6921
    2Cusco861111:5619
    3Deportivo Garcilaso945014:8617
    4Sporting Cristal944115:51016
    5Alianza Lima943214:9515
    6FBC Melgar1034315:12313
    7AD Tarma941410:12-213
    8Cienciano933314:12212
    9Sport Huancayo1033416:16012
    10Los Chankas840412:20-812
    11Grau932412:12011
    12Comerciantes Unidos932410:14-411
    13Alianza Atl82426:3310
    14Juan Pablo II82427:8-110
    15Alianza Huanuco93159:15-610
    16Ayacucho92166:13-77
    17Sport Boys101365:13-86
    18Cajamarca80266:14-82
    19Binacional00000:000

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