FBC Melgar vs Cienciano: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Peruvian Liga 1 FBC Melgar - Cienciano
02/10/2025 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
FBC Melgar - Cienciano - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Chances of winning


FBC Melgar
46.8%
Draw
26%
Cienciano
27.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
51.1% 24.5% 24.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.5% 23.8% 23.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • FBC Melgar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)
  • Cienciano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for FBC Melgar than the current prediction. (+5.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for FBC Melgar, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cienciano than the current prediction. (-3.4%)
  • FBC Melgar - Cienciano Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.95
    (1.82)
    3.7
    (3.8)
    3.46
    (3.8)
    7.2%
    (7.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  • Preview Facts
    • A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 6 and 8)
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Melgar won 4.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Cienciano may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Melgar is the team to beat.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Melgar won 13 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 34:17. (average 1.7:0.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Melgar won 8 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 19:2. (average 2.1:0.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between FBC Melgar - Cienciano were as follows:
    10.05.2025 Cienciano - FBC Melgar 1:2
    25.08.2024 Cienciano - FBC Melgar 3:1
    30.03.2024 FBC Melgar - Cienciano 2:0
    09.09.2023 Cienciano - FBC Melgar 0:1
    14.04.2023 FBC Melgar - Cienciano 1:0
    Latest results of FBC Melgar
    Latest results of Cienciano
    Peruvian Liga 1 Table
    Clausura
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1U. de Deportes1073018:81024
    2Cusco961213:8519
    3Deportivo Garcilaso1046014:8618
    4Sporting Cristal944115:51016
    5AD Tarma1051411:12-116
    6Alianza Lima943214:9515
    7FBC Melgar1135316:13314
    8Grau1042415:13214
    9Cienciano933314:12212
    10Sport Huancayo1133517:19-212
    11Comerciantes Unidos1033411:15-412
    12Los Chankas840412:20-812
    13Alianza Atl92436:4210
    14Juan Pablo II92438:10-210
    15Ayacucho103168:14-610
    16Alianza Huanuco1031611:18-710
    17Sport Boys112368:15-79
    18Cajamarca90366:14-83
    19Binacional00000:000

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