Result
28/09/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
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Chances of winning
Cienciano
42.7% | Draw
28.5% | Alianza Lima
28.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cienciano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)Alianza Lima has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cienciano than the current prediction. (-0.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alianza Lima than the current prediction. (+0.1%)
Cienciano - Alianza Lima Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.2 ↓
(2.28) |
3.24 ↑
(3.2) |
3.26 ↑
(3.13) |
7.1%
(7.2%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 7 and 5).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cienciano won 2.
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- Alianza Lima may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Cienciano is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Cienciano won 8 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 16:23. (average 0.9:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Cienciano won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 13:9. (average 1.4:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Cienciano won against Alianza Lima?
Cienciano has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Alianza Lima won against Cienciano?
Alianza Lima has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Cienciano - Alianza Lima were as follows:
02.05.2025
Alianza Lima
-
Cienciano
0:1
20.08.2024
Alianza Lima
-
Cienciano
3:0
13.03.2024
Cienciano
-
Alianza Lima
2:1
20.08.2023
Cienciano
-
Alianza Lima
0:0
01.04.2023
Alianza Lima
-
Cienciano
2:0
Latest results of Cienciano
Latest results of Alianza Lima
Peruvian Liga 1 Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | U. de Deportes | 9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 15:6 | 9 | 21 |
| 2 | Cusco | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 11:5 | 6 | 19 |
| 3 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 9 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 14:8 | 6 | 17 |
| 4 | Sporting Cristal | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 15:5 | 10 | 16 |
| 5 | Alianza Lima | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 14:9 | 5 | 15 |
| 6 | FBC Melgar | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 15:12 | 3 | 13 |
| 7 | AD Tarma | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 10:12 | -2 | 13 |
| 8 | Cienciano | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 14:12 | 2 | 12 |
| 9 | Sport Huancayo | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 16:16 | 0 | 12 |
| 10 | Los Chankas | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 12:20 | -8 | 12 |
| 11 | Grau | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 12:12 | 0 | 11 |
| 12 | Comerciantes Unidos | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 10:14 | -4 | 11 |
| 13 | Alianza Atl | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 6:3 | 3 | 10 |
| 14 | Juan Pablo II | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 7:8 | -1 | 10 |
| 15 | Alianza Huanuco | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 9:15 | -6 | 10 |
| 16 | Ayacucho | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 6:13 | -7 | 7 |
| 17 | Sport Boys | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 5:13 | -8 | 6 |
| 18 | Cajamarca | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 6:14 | -8 | 2 |
| 19 | Binacional | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
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