Chorley vs Chester: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer English National League North Chorley - Chester
Result
3:0
16/08/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : National League North - Round 2
Chorley - Chester - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Red Cards
01

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 10', Bainbridge J. 🟥,
  • 2nd Half (3 - 0)
  • 51', 1 - 0, Calveley M. ,
  • 53', 2 - 0, Sampson J. ,
  • 60', 3 - 0, Sampson J. ,

Chances of winning


Chorley
39.7%
Draw
30%
Chester
30.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
34.1% 28% 37.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.8% 27.8% 38.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Chorley has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Chorley's performance.
  • Chester has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Chester might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chorley than the current prediction. (-5.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Chorley that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chester than the current prediction. (+7.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Chester could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Chorley - Chester Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.39
    (2.67)
    3.18
    (3.25)
    3.24
    (2.4)
    4.2%
    (9.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chorley won 1.
    • Chorley is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • In recent matches, Chester has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Chester may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Chorley has had a series of home games.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Chorley won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 14:11. (average 1.3:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Chorley won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:7. (average 1.8:1.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Chorley - Chester were as follows:
    08.03.2025 Chorley - Chester 3:2
    23.11.2024 Chester - Chorley 2:1
    23.01.2024 Chorley - Chester 0:2
    15.08.2023 Chester - Chorley 0:0
    07.04.2023 Chester - Chorley 0:0
    Latest results of Chorley
    09.08.2025 Darlington - Chorley 2:3
    23.07.2025 Chorley - Rochdale 1:2
    11.07.2025 Chorley - Bradford City 0:0
    05.07.2025 Chorley - Wigan Athletic 1:2
    Latest results of Chester
    02.08.2025 Chester - Carlisle United 0:2
    26.07.2025 Glentoran - Chester 1:1
    19.07.2025 Chester - Salford City 0:3
    15.07.2025 Runcorn Linnets - Chester 1:2
    English National League North Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1South Shields44009:0912
    2Chorley431012:5710
    3Merthyr Town43019:369
    4AFC Fylde43019:639
    5Marine43017:439
    6Spennymoor43016:609
    7Kingu2019s Lynn42209:278
    8Macclesfield42117:527
    9Scarborough42117:527
    10Buxton42025:506
    11Kidderminster41214:405
    12Leamington41213:4-15
    13Darlington41127:704
    14Bedford41127:8-14
    15Oxford City41126:7-14
    16Worksop41125:6-14
    17Chester41124:10-64
    18Southport41034:7-33
    19Radcliffe41034:7-33
    20Curzon Ashton40313:6-33
    21Hereford41033:9-63
    22AFC Telford40223:6-32
    23Alfreton40223:8-52
    24Peterborough Sports40133:9-61

          Promotion ~ National League
          Promotion ~ National League North (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Promotion ~ National League North (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
          Relegation

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