Choloma vs Victoria La Ceiba: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Honduras Liga Nacional Choloma - Victoria La Ceiba
Result
2:1
18/09/2025 at 21:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Liga Nacional - Apertura - Round 10
Choloma - Victoria La Ceiba - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Ball Possession
56%44%
Total shots
2010
Shots on target
115
Corner Kicks
67
Yellow Cards
22
Red Cards
01
Total shots
2010
Shots on target
115
Shots off target
95
Corner Kicks
67

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 18', Perello M. 🟥,
  • 21', Matute C. , Acevedo H. ,
  • 36', 1 - 0, Aceituno M. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Martinez W. , Portillo A. ,
  • 46', Barrios A. , Monico D. ,
  • 46', Bernardez C. , Espinal M. ,
  • 56', Nunez M. , Santos Y. ,
  • 64', Aceituno M. , Abbott K. ,
  • 64', Cordova J. , Zamora J. ,
  • 69', Franco J. 🟨,
  • 74', 2 - 0, Felix B. ,
  • 76', Franco J. , Diaz A. ,
  • 77', Alvarado , Nunez D. ,
  • 77', Banegas A. , Franco L. ,
  • 78', Portillo A. 🟨,
  • 90', 2 - 1, Franco L. ,
  • 90+1', Card S. 🟨,
  • 90+3', Diaz A. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Choloma
37.6%
Draw
27.2%
Victoria La Ceiba
35.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
43.5% 27% 29.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.2% 26.6% 29%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Choloma has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Choloma's form might have worsened.
  • Victoria La Ceiba has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Victoria La Ceiba's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Choloma than the current prediction. (+6.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Choloma, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Victoria La Ceiba than the current prediction. (-6.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Victoria La Ceiba, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Choloma - Victoria La Ceiba Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.45
    (2.08)
    3.38
    (3.35)
    2.61
    (3.07)
    8.9%
    (10.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • Preview Facts
    • We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 10 and 11).
    • Both teams are struggling and far from their best.
    • Choloma could have a small edge in this match.
    • In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.
    Latest results of Choloma
    14.09.2025 CD Marathón - Choloma 1:0
    10.09.2025 Choloma - Motagua 0:3
    31.08.2025 Platense - Choloma 3:0
    23.08.2025 Choloma - Génesis PN 2:1
    17.08.2025 Juticalpa - Choloma 3:2
    Latest results of Victoria La Ceiba
    Honduras Liga Nacional Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Olimpia1173126:131324
    2Marathon1155123:101320
    3Olancho1155124:15920
    4UPNFM1144318:19-116
    5Platense1143419:13615
    6Real Espana1143416:13315
    7Motagua1043317:16115
    8Juticalpa1145214:18-413
    9Genesis1123613:18-59
    10Choloma1121812:32-207
    11Victoria1111910:25-154

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