Arzúa vs Choco: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1 Arzúa - Choco
Result
3:1
16/04/2023 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • SPAIN: TERCERA RFEF - GROUP 1 - ROUND 29
Arzúa - Choco - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Chances of winning


Arzúa
61.8%
Draw
22.6%
Choco
15.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
66.2% 22.1% 11.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.2% 13.8% 18.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Arzúa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)
  • Choco has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arzúa than the current prediction. (-20.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Arzúa that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Choco than the current prediction. (+3.3%)
  • Arzúa - Choco Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.47
    (1.36)
    4.02
    (4.07)
    5.85
    (7.71)
    10%
    (11.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • Preview Facts
    • This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation and 16 in the zone Relegation).
    • Both teams have a series of defeats in the last matches.
    • Choco could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • In this match Arzúa is the unquestionable favorite.
    • Last 3 head-to-head matches Arzúa won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-4.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Arzúa won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Arzúa - Choco were as follows:
    17.12.2022 Choco - Arzúa 1:1
    Latest results of Arzúa
    09.04.2023 Atlético Arteixo - Arzúa 1:0
    02.04.2023 Arzúa - Silva SD 0:1
    26.03.2023 Gran Peña - Arzúa 3:1
    19.03.2023 Arzúa - Viveiro 0:0
    11.03.2023 Rápido de Bouzas - Arzúa 3:2
    Latest results of Choco
    06.04.2023 Choco - Estradense 0:1
    01.04.2023 Arosa - Choco 1:0
    18.03.2023 Paiosaco - Choco 1:0
    12.03.2023 Choco - Barco 0:2
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Semi-finals
    1Estradense (2)Noia (5)2 : 0, 1 : 1
    2Sarriana (3)Racing Club Villalbes (4)0 : 1, 1 : 0

    Final
    1Estradense (2)Sarriana (3)0 : 2, 0 : 2
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