Result
2:1
13/08/2025 at 21:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- : Liga MX Women - Apertura - Round 6
- Referee: Martinez F. M. G. (Mex)
Advertisement
Watch and bet Toluca - Chivas Guadalajara live
-
Sign in or
Register
(it's free) to watch and bet Live Stream*
- To place a bet while streaming, go to
Live In-Play
- Prior to joining Bet365.com and funding your account in order to view this event,
or any other particular event via Bet365.com live stream,
you are strongly advised to check with Bet365.com if,
depending on your place of residence, it is possible to view this live stream.
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 52% | 48% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 14', Peraza C. 🟨,
- 30', 1 - 0, Henry A. ⚽,
- 45+1', 2 - 0, Le Sommer E. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 50', Gonzalez Rendon I. A. 🟨,
- 55', Peraza C. ↓, Cuevas B. ↑,
- 59', Montero C. 🟨,
- 61', Gonzalez Rendon I. A. ↓, Montoya J. ↑,
- 65', Le Sommer E. ↓, Cortez V. ↑,
- 67', 2 - 1, Montero C. ⚽,
- 70', Salazar E. ↓, Castro D. ↑,
- 81', Robert F. ↓, Monroy F. ↑,
- 84', Guzman K. ↓, Iturbide A. ↑,
Chances of winning
Toluca
41.1% | Draw
26.1% | Chivas Guadalajara
32.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Toluca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Toluca's performance.Chivas Guadalajara has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Chivas Guadalajara might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Toluca than the current prediction. (-10.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Toluca that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chivas Guadalajara than the current prediction. (+8.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Chivas Guadalajara could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Toluca - Chivas Guadalajara Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.24 ↓
(2.92) |
3.53 ↑
(3.2) |
2.82 ↑
(2.18) |
8.5%
(11.4%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
Preview Facts
- Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX Women (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX Women (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Toluca won 1.
- Toluca has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Guadalajara is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Guadalajara may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Toluca won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 9:32. (average 0.6:2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Toluca won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 6:18. (average 0.8:2.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Toluca won against Chivas Guadalajara?
Toluca has won 1 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Chivas Guadalajara won against Toluca?
Chivas Guadalajara has won 4 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Toluca - Chivas Guadalajara were as follows:
13.02.2025
Chivas Guadalajara
-
Toluca
1:0
02.09.2024
Toluca
-
Chivas Guadalajara
2:0
21.01.2024
Chivas Guadalajara
-
Toluca
1:1
12.11.2023
Chivas Guadalajara
-
Toluca
2:1
09.11.2023
Toluca
-
Chivas Guadalajara
0:3
Latest results of Chivas Guadalajara
Mexican Liga MX Women Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Tigres UANL W | 13 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 48:7 | 41 | 32 |
| 2 | Pachuca W | 13 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 42:16 | 26 | 30 |
| 3 | Club America W | 13 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 45:16 | 29 | 29 |
| 4 | Guadalajara Chivas W | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 19:11 | 8 | 26 |
| 5 | Toluca W | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 22:15 | 7 | 25 |
| 6 | Monterrey W | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 28:19 | 9 | 23 |
| 7 | UNAM Pumas W | 13 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 27:20 | 7 | 22 |
| 8 | Atl. San Luis W | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 19:15 | 4 | 21 |
| 9 | Club Leon W | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 23:23 | 0 | 21 |
| 10 | Juarez W | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 16:14 | 2 | 19 |
| 11 | Atlas W | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 19:21 | -2 | 19 |
| 12 | Cruz Azul W | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 28:20 | 8 | 18 |
| 13 | Club Tijuana W | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 12:18 | -6 | 12 |
| 14 | Santos Laguna W | 13 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 15:32 | -17 | 8 |
| 15 | Necaxa W | 13 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 8:31 | -23 | 8 |
| 16 | Queretaro W | 13 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 12:42 | -30 | 7 |
| 17 | Puebla W | 13 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 5:33 | -28 | 5 |
| 18 | Mazatlan FC W | 13 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 7:42 | -35 | 2 |
Promotion ~ Liga MX Women (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Which TV channels are streaming of Toluca - Chivas Guadalajara?
It is being streamed on various channels, including:
| |
|---|
 Mexico | ViX Gratis, VIX+ |
 South-america | ViX Latin America |
