Result
0:2
27/09/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- : Liga MX - Apertura - Round 11
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Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.81 | 0.42 |
Ball Possession |
---|
70% | 30% |
Total shots |
---|
13 | 6 |
Shots on target |
---|
1 | 2 |
Big Chances |
---|
0 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
5 | 6 |
Passes |
---|
84% (394/470) | 63% (124/196) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
3 | 2 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.81 | 0.42 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
0.02 | 0.21 |
Total shots |
---|
13 | 6 |
Shots on target |
---|
1 | 2 |
Shots off target |
---|
9 | 1 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
3 | 3 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
8 | 4 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
5 | 2 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
0 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
5 | 6 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
23 | 10 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
0 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
1 | 2 |
Free Kicks |
---|
17 | 8 |
Passes |
---|
84% (394/470) | 63% (124/196) |
Long passes |
---|
65% (41/63) | 32% (18/57) |
Passes in final third |
---|
68% (89/131) | 47% (31/66) |
Crosses |
---|
29% (9/31) | 31% (4/13) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
1.37 | 0.24 |
Throw-ins |
---|
31 | 17 |
Fouls |
---|
8 | 17 |
Tackles |
---|
67% (10/15) | 64% (7/11) |
Duels won |
---|
63 | 38 |
Clearances |
---|
25 | 40 |
Interceptions |
---|
8 | 9 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
0 | 1 |
xGOT faced |
---|
0.21 | 0.02 |
Goals prevented |
---|
-1.79 | 0.02 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 6', 0 - 1, Gonzalez B. ⚽, Ledezma R. (A),
- 12', 0 - 2, Govea O. ⚽, Alvarez E. (A),
- 30', Sandoval S. 🟨,
- 33', Cristante H. 🟨,
- 34', Gonzalez O. ↓, Guerra E. ↑,
- 36', Castillo J. 🟨,
- 45+2', Castillo R. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Sandoval S. ↓, Cowell C. ↑,
- 46', Gonzalez B. ↓, Gomez M. ↑,
- 46', Castillo R. ↓, Baltazar C. ↑,
- 58', Alvarez E. ↓, Tapias M. ↑,
- 59', Ramirez M. ↓, Lozano E. ↑,
- 69', Monarrez F. 🟨,
- 69', Ledezma R. ↓, Brizuela I. ↑,
- 79', Monarrez F. ↓, Moreno I. ↑,
- 79', Gonzalez A. ↓, Pulido A. ↑,
- 87', Guerra E. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Puebla 28% | Draw 27.4% | Chivas Guadalajara 44.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Puebla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)Chivas Guadalajara has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Puebla than the current prediction. (+2.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chivas Guadalajara than the current prediction. (-0.4%)
Puebla - Chivas Guadalajara Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
3.39 ↑ (3.14) |
3.44 ↓ (3.66) |
2.15 ↑ (2.09) |
5.1% (7.1%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Puebla - Chivas Guadalajara?
Users Predictions:
Chivas Guadalajara will win
(10 of 11 users predict this - 90.91%).
Confidence interval (95%): 73.92% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Chivas Guadalajara will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 18 and 11).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Puebla won 2.
- Recent form of Puebla has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Guadalajara has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Puebla may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Guadalajara has had a series of home games.
- Guadalajara is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Puebla: Cavallini L.
(Knee Injury)
Fedorco J.
(Injury)
Pachuca Martinez J. R.
(International duty)
- There will not play in Guadalajara: Aguirre D.
(Injury)
Alvarado R.
(Ankle Injury)
Chicharito
(Knock)
Gutierrez E.
(Muscle Injury)
Mozo A.
(Knee Injury)
Padilla Y.
(Hip Injury)
Sepulveda L.
(Ankle Injury)
- There are questionable in Puebla: Navarro E.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Puebla won 9 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 25:27. (average 1.3:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Puebla won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 13:16. (average 1.1:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Puebla won against Chivas Guadalajara?
Puebla has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Chivas Guadalajara won against Puebla?
Chivas Guadalajara has won 4 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Puebla - Chivas Guadalajara were as follows:
15.04.2025
Chivas Guadalajara
-
Puebla
1:0
25.10.2024
Puebla
-
Chivas Guadalajara
1:0
06.04.2024
Chivas Guadalajara
-
Puebla
3:2
20.10.2023
Puebla
-
Chivas Guadalajara
0:2
10.03.2023
Puebla
-
Chivas Guadalajara
1:0
Latest results of Chivas Guadalajara
Mexican Liga MX Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Toluca | 12 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 35:16 | 19 | 28 |
2 | Club America | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 26:11 | 15 | 27 |
3 | Monterrey | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 25:19 | 6 | 26 |
4 | Cruz Azul | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 22:15 | 7 | 25 |
5 | Tigres UANL | 12 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 22:10 | 12 | 23 |
6 | Club Tijuana | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 23:13 | 10 | 20 |
7 | Pachuca | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 16:13 | 3 | 20 |
8 | Juarez | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 16:15 | 1 | 18 |
9 | Guadalajara Chivas | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 18:18 | 0 | 17 |
10 | UNAM Pumas | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 15:19 | -4 | 13 |
11 | Atlas | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 21:27 | -6 | 13 |
12 | Club Leon | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 12:22 | -10 | 12 |
13 | Mazatlan FC | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 15:21 | -6 | 11 |
14 | Queretaro | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 14:21 | -7 | 11 |
15 | Atl. San Luis | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 17:20 | -3 | 10 |
16 | Santos Laguna | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 13:21 | -8 | 10 |
17 | Necaxa | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 11:21 | -10 | 9 |
18 | Puebla | 12 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 10:29 | -19 | 5 |
Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play In: )
Which TV channels are streaming of Puebla - Chivas Guadalajara?
It is being streamed on various channels, including:
| |
---|
Mexico | Amazon Prime Video, Azteca 7, Azteca Deportes, Caliente TV, Fox Sports, Tubi TV |
South-america | ViX Latin America |
Usa | TUDN App, TUDN |