Monterrey vs Chivas Guadalajara: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Mexican Liga MX Monterrey - Chivas Guadalajara
Result
3:1
05/04/2025 at 21:05 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Liga MX - Clausura - Round 14
  • Referee: Pacheco Larios G. (Mex)
Monterrey - Chivas Guadalajara - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.301.10
Ball Possession
51%49%
Total shots
149
Shots on target
84
Big Chances
01
Corner Kicks
44
Passes
85% (374/441)86% (362/421)
Yellow Cards
14
Red Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
1.301.10
xG on target (xGOT)
2.281.31
Total shots
149
Shots on target
84
Shots off target
23
Blocked Shots
42
Shots inside the Box
117
Shots outside the Box
32
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
01
Corner Kicks
44
Touches in opposition box
2220
Offsides
12
Free Kicks
1111
Passes
85% (374/441)86% (362/421)
Long passes
59% (32/54)56% (33/59)
Passes in final third
73% (88/120)69% (70/102)
Crosses
27% (3/11)24% (5/21)
Expected assists (xA)
1.020.94
Fouls
1111
Tackles
81% (13/16)79% (11/14)
Duels won
3636
Clearances Total
1714
Interceptions
75
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
35
xGOT faced
1.312.28
Goals prevented
0.31-0.72

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 9', 1 - 0, de la Rosa R. ,
  • 28', 2 - 0, Berterame G. , de la Rosa R. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Guzman V. , Padilla Y. ,
  • 46', Beltran F. , Gonzalez F. ,
  • 48', Sepulveda G. 🟨,
  • 51', 2 - 1, Alvarado R. , Romo L. (A),
  • 53', Deossa N. 🟨,
  • 65', de la Rosa R. , Ocampos L. ,
  • 67', Chicharito , Pulido A. ,
  • 67', Cowell C. , Camberos H. ,
  • 68', 🟨,
  • 74', Torres O. , Alvarado A. ,
  • 78', Alvarado R. 🟨,
  • 79', Fimbres I. , Cortizo J. ,
  • 79', Berterame G. , Rodriguez J. ,
  • 80', Romo L. 🟥,
  • 85', 3 - 1, Deossa N. ,
  • 90+3', Padilla Y. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Monterrey
46.1%
Draw
27.7%
Chivas Guadalajara
26.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
49.9% 26.2% 23.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.6% 25.8% 23.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Monterrey has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)
  • Chivas Guadalajara has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Monterrey than the current prediction. (+4.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chivas Guadalajara than the current prediction. (-2.6%)
  • Monterrey - Chivas Guadalajara Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.03
    (1.89)
    3.4
    (3.6)
    3.61
    (3.96)
    6.3%
    (5.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Monterrey - Chivas Guadalajara?
  • Users Predictions: Monterrey will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 64.58%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 9 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play In: ) and 11).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Monterrey won 1.
    • One and the other team get a very uncertain game.
    • Monterrey will have a small advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Monterrey: Salcedo C. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Guadalajara: Castillo J. (Thigh Injury) Olivas Salcedo L. A. (Knee Injury) Tapias M. (Achilles Tendon Injury)
    • Last 20 head-to-head matches Monterrey won 6 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 25:28 (average 1.3:1.4).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Monterrey won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 12:18 (average 1.2:1.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Monterrey - Chivas Guadalajara were as follows:
    28.09.2024 Chivas Guadalajara - Monterrey 1:1
    30.03.2024 Monterrey - Chivas Guadalajara 0:2
    03.09.2023 Chivas Guadalajara - Monterrey 1:2
    07.01.2023 Monterrey - Chivas Guadalajara 0:1
    23.08.2022 Chivas Guadalajara - Monterrey 1:0
    Latest results of Monterrey
    Latest results of Chivas Guadalajara
    Mexican Liga MX Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Toluca22007:346
    2Pachuca22006:246
    3Club America21104:224
    4Atlas21106:514
    5Mazatlan FC21102:114
    6Club Tijuana31113:4-14
    7Tigres UANL11001:013
    8Santos Laguna31025:503
    9Necaxa21014:403
    10Atl. San Luis21011:103
    11Club Leon21011:103
    12Puebla31024:5-13
    13UNAM Pumas31024:6-23
    14Monterrey21011:3-23
    15Cruz Azul20203:302
    16Juarez30212:3-12
    17Guadalajara Chivas10010:1-10
    18Queretaro30031:6-50

          Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
          Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play In: )

    Which TV channels are streaming of Monterrey - Chivas Guadalajara?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    mexicoMexicoCanal 5, TUDN, VIX+, ViX Premium
    south-americaSouth-americaViX Latin America
    usaUsaTUDN, Univision
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