New York City II vs Chicago Fire II: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer MLS Next Pro New York City II - Chicago Fire II
Result
3:4 penalties
08/08/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : MLS Next Pro
New York City II - Chicago Fire II - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.551.24
Ball Possession
47%53%
Total shots
1815
Shots on target
75
Big Chances
81
Corner Kicks
62
Passes
85% (380/449)86% (430/499)
Yellow Cards
30
Expected Goals (xG)
2.551.24
xG on target (xGOT)
2.511.22
Total shots
1815
Shots on target
75
Shots off target
810
Blocked Shots
30
Shots inside the Box
1610
Shots outside the Box
25
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
81
Corner Kicks
62
Touches in opposition box
3524
Accurate through passes
20
Offsides
11
Free Kicks
59
Passes
85% (380/449)86% (430/499)
Long passes
67% (33/49)43% (18/42)
Passes in final third
71% (100/140)72% (83/115)
Crosses
27% (3/11)43% (6/14)
Expected assists (xA)
2.010.87
Throw-ins
919
Fouls
105
Tackles
68% (13/19)80% (8/10)
Duels won
4242
Clearances
1219
Interceptions
1213
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
24
xGOT faced
1.222.51
Goals prevented
-0.78-0.49

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 2)
  • 9', 1 - 0, Garfield Reid S. , Sunjic L. (A),
  • 11', Musu S. 🟨,
  • 21', 2 - 0, Garfield Reid S. , Cavallo N. (A), Lim E. (A2)
  • 31', 2 - 1, McCamy C. (Own goal),
  • 37', 2 - 2, Cassano C. , Hlyut V. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Lim E. , Elias P. ,
  • 57', Pfrommer J. , Kanyane G. ,
  • 59', 3 - 2, Murray M. , Musu S. (A),
  • 69', Hlyut V. , Boltz D. ,
  • 69', Borso D. , Montiel J. ,
  • 69', Konincks D. , Herrera E. ,
  • 70', 3 - 3, Shokalook J. , Montiel J. (A),
  • 80', Musu S. , Lacher J. ,
  • 83', Garfield Reid S. 🟨,
  • 90+5', Sunjic L. 🟨,
  • Penalties (1 - 4)
  • 1, Shokalook J. (Pen),
  • 1, Garfield Reid S. (Pen),
  • 2, Reynolds J. (Pen),
  • 2, Elias P. (Pen),
  • 3, Boltz D. (Pen),
  • 3, Baiera A. (Pen),
  • 4, Diouf J. (Pen),

Official Live

Chances of winning


New York City II
35.9%
Draw
23.7%
Chicago Fire II
40.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
29.7% 23.4% 46.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.5% 22.4% 48.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • New York City II has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in New York City II's performance.
  • Chicago Fire II has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Chicago Fire II might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for New York City II than the current prediction. (-7.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with New York City II that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chicago Fire II than the current prediction. (+8.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Chicago Fire II could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • New York City II - Chicago Fire II Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.55
    (3.09)
    3.86
    (3.92)
    2.26
    (1.95)
    9.4%
    (9.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, New York City II won 4.
    • In recent matches, New York City II has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Chicago Fire II is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • In the last 8 head-to-head matches, New York City II won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 19:17. (average 2.4:2.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, New York City II won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 11:7. (average 2.8:1.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between New York City II - Chicago Fire II were as follows:
    23.05.2025 New York City II - Chicago Fire II 3:2
    23.08.2024 New York City II - Chicago Fire II 3:2
    14.07.2024 Chicago Fire II - New York City II 0:2
    13.05.2024 Chicago Fire II - New York City II 2:4
    16.08.2023 Chicago Fire II - New York City II 3:2
    Latest results of New York City II
    Latest results of Chicago Fire II
    MLS Next Pro Table
    2025

    Northeast Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1New York Red Bulls 2211322451:4245
    2Philadelphia Union II201052345:1942
    3Chicago Fire II201032552:3638
    4New England Revolution II19851533:2435
    5New York City II21724840:4329
    6Cincinnati 220570823:2729
    7Toronto FC II21804925:3428
    8Columbus Crew 2203131322:4314


    Southeast Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1Huntsville191032442:2138
    2Chattanooga21843633:3335
    3Orlando City B217221029:4327
    4Carolina Core21544828:3027
    5Crown Legacy21535833:4326
    6Atlanta United 219426727:3222
    7Inter Miami II206031132:4521


    Pacific Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1Ventura County201023542:3437
    2Town FC181022444:2536
    3Real Monarchs19743535:3232
    4Vancouver Whitecaps 2217311044:4228
    5Tacoma Defiance19721949:5026
    6Portland Timbers 220623932:3825
    7Los Angeles FC II206211133:4523


    Frontier Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1St. Louis City 2211430447:2948
    2Colorado Rapids 2211014640:3336
    3Austin FC II20735526:2332
    4North Texas20831834:4031
    5Minnesota 220813833:3329
    6Houston Dynamo 2216321029:3526
    7Sporting Kansas City II202131420:4911


    Eastern Conference
    PlWWLLPts
    1New York Red Bulls 2211322451:4245
    2Philadelphia Union II201052345:1942
    3Huntsville191032442:2138
    4Chicago Fire II201032552:3638
    5New England Revolution II19851533:2435
    6Chattanooga21843633:3335
    7New York City II21724840:4329
    8Cincinnati 220570823:2729
    9Toronto FC II21804925:3428
    10Orlando City B217221029:4327
    11Carolina Core21544828:3027
    12Crown Legacy21535833:4326
    13Atlanta United 219426727:3222
    14Inter Miami II206031132:4521
    15Columbus Crew 2203131322:4314


    Western Conference
    PlWWLLPts
    1St. Louis City 2211430447:2948
    2Ventura County201023542:3437
    3Town FC181022444:2536
    4Colorado Rapids 2211014640:3336
    5Real Monarchs19743535:3232
    6Austin FC II20735526:2332
    7North Texas20831834:4031
    8Minnesota 220813833:3329
    9Vancouver Whitecaps 2217311044:4228
    10Tacoma Defiance19721949:5026
    11Houston Dynamo 2216321029:3526
    12Portland Timbers 220623932:3825
    13Los Angeles FC II206211133:4523
    14Sporting Kansas City II202131420:4911

          Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)

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