New York City II vs Chicago Fire II: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer MLS Next Pro New York City II - Chicago Fire II
Result
3:4 penalties
08/08/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : MLS Next Pro
New York City II - Chicago Fire II - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.551.24
Ball Possession
47%53%
Total shots
1815
Shots on target
75
Big Chances
81
Corner Kicks
62
Passes
85% (380/449)86% (430/499)
Yellow Cards
30
Expected Goals (xG)
2.551.24
xG on target (xGOT)
2.511.22
Total shots
1815
Shots on target
75
Shots off target
810
Blocked Shots
30
Shots inside the Box
1610
Shots outside the Box
25
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
81
Corner Kicks
62
Touches in opposition box
3524
Accurate through passes
20
Offsides
11
Free Kicks
59
Passes
85% (380/449)86% (430/499)
Long passes
67% (33/49)43% (18/42)
Passes in final third
71% (100/140)72% (83/115)
Crosses
27% (3/11)43% (6/14)
Expected assists (xA)
2.010.87
Throw-ins
919
Fouls
105
Tackles
68% (13/19)80% (8/10)
Duels won
4242
Clearances
1219
Interceptions
1213
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
24
xGOT faced
1.222.51
Goals prevented
-0.78-0.49

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 2)
  • 9', 1 - 0, Garfield Reid S. , Sunjic L. (A),
  • 11', Musu S. 🟨,
  • 21', 2 - 0, Garfield Reid S. , Cavallo N. (A), Lim E. (A2)
  • 31', 2 - 1, McCamy C. (Own goal),
  • 37', 2 - 2, Cassano C. , Hlyut V. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Lim E. , Elias P. ,
  • 57', Pfrommer J. , Kanyane G. ,
  • 59', 3 - 2, Murray M. , Musu S. (A),
  • 69', Hlyut V. , Boltz D. ,
  • 69', Borso D. , Montiel J. ,
  • 69', Konincks D. , Herrera E. ,
  • 70', 3 - 3, Shokalook J. , Montiel J. (A),
  • 80', Musu S. , Lacher J. ,
  • 83', Garfield Reid S. 🟨,
  • 90+5', Sunjic L. 🟨,
  • Penalties (1 - 4)
  • 1, Shokalook J. (Pen),
  • 1, Garfield Reid S. (Pen),
  • 2, Reynolds J. (Pen),
  • 2, Elias P. (Pen),
  • 3, Boltz D. (Pen),
  • 3, Baiera A. (Pen),
  • 4, Diouf J. (Pen),

Official Live

Chances of winning


New York City II
35.9%
Draw
23.7%
Chicago Fire II
40.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
29.7% 23.4% 46.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.5% 22.4% 48.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • New York City II has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in New York City II's performance.
  • Chicago Fire II has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Chicago Fire II might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for New York City II than the current prediction. (-7.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with New York City II that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chicago Fire II than the current prediction. (+8.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Chicago Fire II could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • New York City II - Chicago Fire II Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.55
    (3.09)
    3.86
    (3.92)
    2.26
    (1.95)
    9.4%
    (9.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, New York City II won 4.
    • In recent matches, New York City II has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Chicago Fire II is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • In the last 8 head-to-head matches, New York City II won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 19:17. (average 2.4:2.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, New York City II won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 11:7. (average 2.8:1.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between New York City II - Chicago Fire II were as follows:
    23.05.2025 New York City II - Chicago Fire II 3:2
    23.08.2024 New York City II - Chicago Fire II 3:2
    14.07.2024 Chicago Fire II - New York City II 0:2
    13.05.2024 Chicago Fire II - New York City II 2:4
    16.08.2023 Chicago Fire II - New York City II 3:2
    Latest results of New York City II
    Latest results of Chicago Fire II
    MLS Next Pro Table
    2025

    Northeast Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1New York Red Bulls 2241522561:5051
    2Philadelphia Union II241153550:2746
    3Chicago Fire II231142656:3943
    4New England Revolution II221052542:2942
    5Toronto FC II241014931:3636
    6New York City II248241044:4932
    7Cincinnati 2235701126:3329
    8Columbus Crew 2234131529:5417


    Southeast Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1Huntsville231142646:2743
    2Chattanooga231043635:3341
    3Orlando City B249221133:4633
    4Carolina Core24744935:3633
    5Atlanta United 223726835:3531
    6Crown Legacy256351142:4929
    7Inter Miami II236041335:5722


    Pacific Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1Town FC221232549:2744
    2Real Monarchs23944641:3539
    3Vancouver Whitecaps 22410311054:4537
    4Ventura County231023844:4137
    5Los Angeles FC II249211240:4832
    6Portland Timbers 2237231135:4428
    7Tacoma Defiance237221252:5927


    Frontier Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1St. Louis City 2241631455:3255
    2Colorado Rapids 2241314648:3645
    3Minnesota 2241023938:3737
    4Austin FC II24835829:3035
    5North Texas239311036:4734
    6Houston Dynamo 2247421134:3931
    7Sporting Kansas City II232131723:5811


    Eastern Conference
    PlWWLLPts
    1New York Red Bulls 2241522561:5051
    2Philadelphia Union II241153550:2746
    3Huntsville231142646:2743
    4Chicago Fire II231142656:3943
    5New England Revolution II221052542:2942
    6Chattanooga231043635:3341
    7Toronto FC II241014931:3636
    8Orlando City B249221133:4633
    9Carolina Core24744935:3633
    10New York City II248241044:4932
    11Atlanta United 223726835:3531
    12Crown Legacy256351142:4929
    13Cincinnati 2235701126:3329
    14Inter Miami II236041335:5722
    15Columbus Crew 2234131529:5417


    Western Conference
    PlWWLLPts
    1St. Louis City 2241631455:3255
    2Colorado Rapids 2241314648:3645
    3Town FC221232549:2744
    4Real Monarchs23944641:3539
    5Vancouver Whitecaps 22410311054:4537
    6Ventura County231023844:4137
    7Minnesota 2241023938:3737
    8Austin FC II24835829:3035
    9North Texas239311036:4734
    10Los Angeles FC II249211240:4832
    11Houston Dynamo 2247421134:3931
    12Portland Timbers 2237231135:4428
    13Tacoma Defiance237221252:5927
    14Sporting Kansas City II232131723:5811

          Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)

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